Earlier quoted context omitted.
The article discusses why LCOE is not a good estimate of the costs. Yes, combining different sources lowers the total cost (by damping intermittency). For Denmark it's offshore wind and solar in a 7 to 1 ratio (plus natural gas or biomethane power plants). > Nobody is suggesting to use solar as the sole source of electricity. You weren't clear on what you propose.
https://has-electricity-decoupled-yet.strommarktberatung.de Germany has a lot of solar. It's suppressing prices below the electricity price you would get with pure gas power generation.
New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
121–130 of 147 posts
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#122Earlier quoted context omitted.
Last year, China installed 1.5GW of nuclear and 300GW of renewables. China's total coal use decreased as they decommissioned and under-utilized more coal than they installed. This same pattern is occurring everywhere, regardless of local politics or local economic system. See Texas as another example. It's because new renewables is superior at contemporary market prices. Markets have decided. Governments have decided…
1 GW of renewables is not equivalent to 1 GW of nuclear or coal capacity,you need backup. China is still building large amount of new coal power plants. In 2025, construction began on 83GW of new coal capacity – down from 98GW in 2024. https://www.carbonbrief.org/rush-for-new-coal-in-china-hits-... For comparision the total EU’s existing coal fleet is 109 GW. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/coal-is-not-makin…
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#123Earlier quoted context omitted.
Please. Show me a nuke that was under 10 billion over budget and less than 20 years late. Seriously. Don't even try to insert nuclear power into the debate before you show it can be competently built, never mind safely run and waste safely disposed. But what about the French you say! The French are discovering they forgot to set aside money for decommissioning.
If you look at how much time and money the French poured into their nuclear plant construction project (and several other pre-decommissioning issues) things look rather less rosy. Also, it was a very high priority for France - keep in mind Napoleon's quote about the relative importance of moral and material. More critically: The logic of "The French did {extremely complex thing} fairly well in the late 1900's, theref…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France#Messme...
The costs were not small, but probably smaller than the costs of German Energiewende. Messmer plan needed not only money, but also capable heavy industry and consistent political support.
https://theinnovationattorney.substack.com/p/the-messmer-pla...
https://carboncredits.com/nuclear-education-how-germany-lost...
Had France have such rich coal reserves as Germany, they would probably build coal power plants instead of nuclear power plants.
Germany 39022 millions short tons
France 176 millions short tons
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_coal_rese...
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#124Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#125And the sad part is that ai would be a perfect fit for intermittent energy sources: run inference 24/7 (on whatever you can muster, even if it's fossil it simply does not consume all that much compared to training) and over-build training to achieve whatever total throughout you need in time of energy abundance. How heavy would CO2 pricing have to be to make the market do this instead of the exact opposite?
Compute has massive initial capital requirements, and a very short obsolescence window. It does not make sense to invest in compute and then not run it 24/7 at 100%. Hardware sitting idle waiting for sunshine/wind is leaving money on the table. Especially if you can burn gas during that time and still be hugely profitable.
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#126The AI data center narrative is the perfect storm: First most of the data center build out is happening in areas that have had little other opportunity so local resistance is muted. Abilene, Texas is referenced and is the kind of place my grandfather would lovingly say is where you go to learn to be a “dirt farmer” Second, every environmentalist in the US is fighting 100 different battles with the most anti-regulatio…
"First most of the data center build out is happening in areas that have had little other opportunity" Speculation presented as fact...
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#127The AI data center narrative is the perfect storm: First most of the data center build out is happening in areas that have had little other opportunity so local resistance is muted. Abilene, Texas is referenced and is the kind of place my grandfather would lovingly say is where you go to learn to be a “dirt farmer” Second, every environmentalist in the US is fighting 100 different battles with the most anti-regulatio…
Don’t forget environmentalists have been fighting against nuclear energy for decades. Update: Since I’m being downvoted I’m going to add a little sting: Good luck with your solar power web servers and skipping flights. Poor judgement really does have a price. It’s now inevitable that it’s going to get a bit warmer… everywhere. We’ll be lucky to hit Net Zero by 2100.
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#128And the sad part is that ai would be a perfect fit for intermittent energy sources: run inference 24/7 (on whatever you can muster, even if it's fossil it simply does not consume all that much compared to training) and over-build training to achieve whatever total throughout you need in time of energy abundance. How heavy would CO2 pricing have to be to make the market do this instead of the exact opposite?
Compute has massive initial capital requirements, and a very short obsolescence window. It does not make sense to invest in compute and then not run it 24/7 at 100%. Hardware sitting idle waiting for sunshine/wind is leaving money on the table. Especially if you can burn gas during that time and still be hugely profitable.
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#129Earlier quoted context omitted.
Nobody is suggesting to use solar as the sole source of electricity. That would obviously be insane and then leads to silly numbers like the ones you gave. A MWh of solar is about 30 Euro/MWh if you levelize the capital costs.
The article discusses why LCOE is not a good estimate of the costs. Yes, combining different sources lowers the total cost (by damping intermittency). For Denmark it's offshore wind and solar in a 7 to 1 ratio (plus natural gas or biomethane power plants). > Nobody is suggesting to use solar as the sole source of electricity. You weren't clear on what you propose.
There are reasons it might not work, not least of all political. But a link to a paper picking a bone with LCoE is talking past GP.
Re: New gas-powered data centers could emit more greenhouse gases than whole nations
#130Earlier quoted context omitted.
The article discusses why LCOE is not a good estimate of the costs. Yes, combining different sources lowers the total cost (by damping intermittency). For Denmark it's offshore wind and solar in a 7 to 1 ratio (plus natural gas or biomethane power plants). > Nobody is suggesting to use solar as the sole source of electricity. You weren't clear on what you propose.
Well, I found the proposal clear and your response confusing. There are reasons it might not work, not least of all political. But a link to a paper picking a bone with LCoE is talking past GP.