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Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

blog.waymo.com

111–116 of 116 posts

Re: Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

#111

They mention unprotected left turns. I'm really curious how this will be handled in LA because there are a lot, and if you aren't at least a little aggressive, you will miss lights constantly. And some lights are miserable if the cars turning left in front of you are passive, and only one makes it through per light change.

UPS trucks generally avoid left turns whenever possible. They can do the same thing.

Re: Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

#112
post #73
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's still a meaningful comparison as it would highlight the disparity between FSD and Waymo.

The difference is that Waymo works and FSD does not work, so it's going to be a short video. FSD cannot take a trip without a man behind the wheel, full stop. It is not any more "self driving" than any other car.

You can easily find videos of waymo cars doing crazy stuff that stretches the definition of "working" pretty far. E.g.,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdKCQKBvH-A

Nobody has time for shenanigans like that.

Re: Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I completely agree. And autonomous vehicles solve none of the issues of regular cars, except maybe injury rate. The rest is the same -- emissions, inefficiency, expense, noise, traffic congestion, unwalkable cities, and so on.

They're electric, so that solves the emissions and noise problems. Once self-driving cars are common people will figure out that it's safe to jaywalk in front of them, and nobody minds inconveniencing a robot, so I expect jaywalking to rise substantially too. A self-driving hire car isn't idle 23 hours a day like a normal car so that should solve some of the inefficiency and expense issues. All I'm left with on your…

>They're electric, so that solves the emissions and noise problems.

60% [1] of the electricity in the US is produced by burning fossil fuels (21% coal!), and this will not change in a long while. In California specifically it's a bit better, with ~40% fossil fuels [2]. Also, battery production specifically is a tremendously energy intensive industrial process that also involves a lot of emissions [3]. Factoring in efficiency losses it results that electric cars, while maybe better than ICE cars, are inferior to biking, walking, and electric trains.

As for the noise, as other commenters pointed out, at average city speeds most of the noise a regular car makes comes from the tires rolling, not the engine.

>Once self-driving cars are common people will figure out that it's safe to jaywalk in front of them, and nobody minds inconveniencing a robot, so I expect jaywalking to rise substantially too.

If this starts to happen, congestion will only get worse as the average speed of roads goes down. Cars suddenly stopping in the middle of the road isn't good for traffic flow. It also doesn't address the fact that most people in LA can't leave their homes and be anywhere just by walking.

>A self-driving hire car isn't idle 23 hours a day like a normal car so that should solve some of the inefficiency and expense issues.

I concede that this is strictly true -- having a single shared vehicle is more efficient than several privately owned. However, most people need to use their cars at the same time for their commute. Demand still peaks in the morning and in the afternoon, and if you have enough vehicles to cover that, during the rest of the day they will be idle, same as now.

>All I'm left with on your list is congestion, and that'll remain, even if the self-driving cars start communicating with each other to allow closer spacing. Making something cheaper and/or easier inevitably increases usage.

So poor people still don't have access to transport, and the congestion is even worse than before? Why would this be a good solution to the car problems of LA?

[1] https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=427&t=3 [2] https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/califo... [3] https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/how-much-co2-emitted-manufac...

Re: Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're electric, so that solves the emissions and noise problems. Once self-driving cars are common people will figure out that it's safe to jaywalk in front of them, and nobody minds inconveniencing a robot, so I expect jaywalking to rise substantially too. A self-driving hire car isn't idle 23 hours a day like a normal car so that should solve some of the inefficiency and expense issues. All I'm left with on your…

>They're electric, so that solves the emissions and noise problems. 60% [1] of the electricity in the US is produced by burning fossil fuels (21% coal!), and this will not change in a long while. In California specifically it's a bit better, with ~40% fossil fuels [2]. Also, battery production specifically is a tremendously energy intensive industrial process that also involves a lot of emissions [3]. Factoring in ef…

> As for the noise, as other commenters pointed out, at average city speeds most of the noise a regular car makes comes from the tires rolling, not the engine.

If that's true, cars are driving too fast. EV's are silent to about 30mph, and any speeds above 20mph are lethal to pedestrians.

> So poor people still don't have access to transport,

Poor people are the population most reliant on taxis & Ubers. Because they don't own a car, they take taxis for emergencies. They can't afford to do it often but it is a key mode of transportation for poor people.

> and the congestion is even worse than before? Why would this be a good solution to the car problems of LA?

Because it solves the problem for rich people. If a robo-taxi is the best way of getting around for rich people, then some rich people will ditch their cars. And once you've ditched your car you stop using a personal car for everything and start choosing the best option based on circumstance. And sometimes that option will be the train, or walking and not necessarily a robo-taxi.

Re: Next Stop for Waymo One: Los Angeles

#116
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Waymo does work in rain and fog. They are permitted to operate in both of those conditions in San Francisco. They also do extensive weather testing, including areas with snow, so presumably they are close to cracking that as well. https://blog.waymo.com/2021/11/a-fog-blog.html

Driving in the rain in places that don’t usually have rain is a completely different ballgame.

Why?
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