> The settlement is what permitted Apple and Google to exist in the first place.
How did it permit Google to exist? Google was running fine on IE.
> Amazon was utterly irrelevant back then
It was busy growing into the giant it is today. Nobody saw that coming back then.
> And Google was invented also during that time and would have gone exactly nowhere with an IE monopoly.
Why would an IE monopoly have prevented Google? Google came into existence exactly when Microsoft was dominating the browser market. Microsoft wasn't set out to dominate the web. They were pretty much embracing the dotcom boom (which included Google). They just wanted to make sure you would be browsing the web using their OS.
> Linux for them is not a competitor, it's a tool.
How is being a tool not a measure of success? We all use Windows as our tool. Linux was simply dominating its market.
You paint a grim picture of a predatory company trying to dominate the world. Meanwhile Microsoft was exactly so successful because - on the one hand - they allowed other vendors to create hardware for their OS and - on the other hand - Windows was very much geared towards other companies building software on top of Windows. Sure, Microsoft was taking some protective measures to solidify their business. But what you're implying is that - without the antitrust case - they would've gone straight against their own business model that made them so successful.
I will grant you the 150 million investment into Apple. That would perhaps not have happened without the antitrust case. Perhaps there wouldn't have been an iPhone. But what's often overlooked is how Steam was actually the first app store with auto-update features. Apple wasn't the only player in the mobile market. Android was already under development 4 years before the first iPhone came out. Google had already acquired Android 2 years before the first iPhone came out.
It's all pure speculation. But the fact is there were plenty of corrective/competitive forces. Who knows what would've happened without the antitrust case. I'm not convinced it would have resulted in Microsoft being able to maintain its dominance.