Live data from Hacker News

Lyft Self-Driving

lyft.com

111–120 of 176 posts

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#111

I recently read a couple (long) articles basically arguing that the simple answer to transportation woes is not about self-driving cars and hyperloops, but basic simple steps to make cities more pedestrian friendly and improvements to mass transit: http://www.kevinklinkenberg.com/blog/autonomous-vehicles-a-v... https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2017/12/what-elon-mus... So I tend to not get excited about Lyft/Ube…

What you'd be arguing for is, instead of revamping the way cars work, revamp the cities themselves. I feel like the market tends to side with whatever is the "lowest initial cost of entry" when picking which direction to go in, as much as I don't agree. So, between the choices currently available - what is the option that is the lowest barrier of entry financially?

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#112
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The algorithm doesn’t have to be perfect, it just has to be a significant improvement over human beings. For every fatality an algorithm causes that a human would not, there could easily be ten fatalities prevented.

You do realize that most people won’t accept that, right? Worse, when the algorithm does kill someone, who is responsible? Edit: Instead of just downvoting and moving on, why not actually formulate a response? Is there anything more empty than disagreement without the capacity to argue your case?

> You do realize that most people won’t accept that, right?

That's why we have courts (and insurance).

Conventional vehicles kill people all the time, sometimes through provable manufacturer negligence. But we still have them.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#113

I recently read a couple (long) articles basically arguing that the simple answer to transportation woes is not about self-driving cars and hyperloops, but basic simple steps to make cities more pedestrian friendly and improvements to mass transit: http://www.kevinklinkenberg.com/blog/autonomous-vehicles-a-v... https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2017/12/what-elon-mus... So I tend to not get excited about Lyft/Ube…

America doesn’t want this. We vote against these designs time and time again. Nothing short of China style totalitarian urban restructuring will make US cities walking utopias.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#114
post #109
post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Self-driving, solar cars solve all problems of mass transit and are far cheaper, since they use existing roads. They don't solve the arguably most important issue: road capacity. A bus that takes the same space on the road as 2-3 cars seats 30 people (and holds another 30 standing). Self-driving cars enable somewhat more efficient traffic patterns, but they will have a hard time overcoming the order-of-magnitude lea…

Buses are not always full. Their average capacity does not have an order of magnitude advantage.

neither are roads.

it doesn't matter how full the bus is when the road is empty, but the number of cars that a bus is taking off the road at peak road usage time is pretty close to the full capacity of the bus, in any bus system i've ever ridden.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#115

I recently read a couple (long) articles basically arguing that the simple answer to transportation woes is not about self-driving cars and hyperloops, but basic simple steps to make cities more pedestrian friendly and improvements to mass transit: http://www.kevinklinkenberg.com/blog/autonomous-vehicles-a-v... https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2017/12/what-elon-mus... So I tend to not get excited about Lyft/Ube…

Self driving cars are the mass transit of low-density suburbia. Electric AVs in the next 10 years would be a significantly cheaper solution than remaking US infrastructure & political culture to be more transit friendly. That is why americans are especially excited about them.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#116

I'm skeptical about all this. Hubert Horan [1] has done a great job exposing Uber's failed business model in 11 part series on NakedCapitalism ("Can Uber Ever Deliver?"). Same goes for Lyft. When it comes to self driving cars, why should Uber or Lyft have any massive advantage over other players and what makes us think it won't turn into something like an airline industry which has been unprofitable for most of their…

This whole thing reminds of Buffett, Charlie Munger and the textile mill machinery story. I need to find the exact link for it though. Here's what I can remember from top of my head: They were offered more "efficient" machinery, which could manufacture more textiles than the old machines. "It will pay for itself" was the pitch. But they refused as more efficient machines meant they had to pass on the savings to the c…

I don't understand why they would have to lower prices just because they bought more efficient machines. That defeats the point (as mentioned) but has two obvious solutions that I can think of: keep prices flat, or raise prices.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#117
post #109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Buses are not always full. Their average capacity does not have an order of magnitude advantage.

neither are roads. it doesn't matter how full the bus is when the road is empty, but the number of cars that a bus is taking off the road at peak road usage time is pretty close to the full capacity of the bus, in any bus system i've ever ridden.

This is assuming that everyone who is on the bus would be driving/riding in a car instead, which I'm not sure is true.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#118

I recently read a couple (long) articles basically arguing that the simple answer to transportation woes is not about self-driving cars and hyperloops, but basic simple steps to make cities more pedestrian friendly and improvements to mass transit: http://www.kevinklinkenberg.com/blog/autonomous-vehicles-a-v... https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2017/12/what-elon-mus... So I tend to not get excited about Lyft/Ube…

Self driving cars are the mass transit of low-density suburbia. Electric AVs in the next 10 years would be a significantly cheaper solution than remaking US infrastructure & political culture to be more transit friendly. That is why americans are especially excited about them.

What's wrong with having a bus + driver service low density suburbia today, than a number of self driving cars? Even a minibus.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#119
post #76

I recently read a couple (long) articles basically arguing that the simple answer to transportation woes is not about self-driving cars and hyperloops, but basic simple steps to make cities more pedestrian friendly and improvements to mass transit: http://www.kevinklinkenberg.com/blog/autonomous-vehicles-a-v... https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2017/12/what-elon-mus... So I tend to not get excited about Lyft/Ube…

Walking and mass transit suck for people who are: traveling with kids, obese, disabled, short on time, carrying groceries, elderly, and/or in a place with bad weather. That's not even mentioning people who can't afford to live in dense, central urban environments. Self-driving, solar cars solve all problems of mass transit and are far cheaper, since they use existing roads.

These are all examples of European mass transit users. We even have places designated fir disabled, injured and elderly people on every bus, tram and metro.

Re: Lyft Self-Driving

#120
post #116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This whole thing reminds of Buffett, Charlie Munger and the textile mill machinery story. I need to find the exact link for it though. Here's what I can remember from top of my head: They were offered more "efficient" machinery, which could manufacture more textiles than the old machines. "It will pay for itself" was the pitch. But they refused as more efficient machines meant they had to pass on the savings to the c…

I don't understand why they would have to lower prices just because they bought more efficient machines. That defeats the point (as mentioned) but has two obvious solutions that I can think of: keep prices flat, or raise prices.

It's all about the moat. If other people have the same efficient machines they will try to get price advantage by lowering prices. And because one person does it, everyone follows the suit, starting the race to the bottom.

I have included a link in my previous post where Charlie Munger talked about this.

Post reply on HN