Live data from Hacker News

Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

theguardian.com

111–120 of 192 posts

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#111
post #13

The most likely thing (imo) that will happen will be highway trains...there will be a real human driver in the front of the caravan, maybe just in a van or car, and then 1-10 self driving heavy duty trucks behind them. They'll draft off of each other and do 99% of the long haul route in an automated way. Once each truck is near it's destination, it will peel off of the pack and park itself near the highway, at which…

> The most likely thing (imo) that will happen will be highway trains

It already happens according to legislation. Though, these vehicle are generally limited to 2 trailers, restricted to some loads), if road condition allows it.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#112
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rails are already there. When I drive down I5, you can see them. The reason this sorry state of affairs exists is because truck traffic is heavily subsidized (highways paid for with taxes) whereas rail traffic is heavily taxed (and the rail companies have to pay for the tracks). It could be improved by increasing weight taxes on trucks, and using the proceeds to subsidize intercity tracks.

At least in the United States, this is incorrect. Long haul trucking is expensive compared to shipping things via the rails. The reason things end up being shipped via truck is that its faster, plain and simple. Shipping via rail car is slow and has no guaranteed arrival date. Or should I say, dependable arrival date. And from a logistics stand point you have to engage a last mile trucker at the rail head nearest you…

These are just organizational problems that could be worked out if the financial incentives were there, instead of tilted heavily in favor of trucking.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#113
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rails are already there. When I drive down I5, you can see them. The reason this sorry state of affairs exists is because truck traffic is heavily subsidized (highways paid for with taxes) whereas rail traffic is heavily taxed (and the rail companies have to pay for the tracks). It could be improved by increasing weight taxes on trucks, and using the proceeds to subsidize intercity tracks.

At least in the United States, this is incorrect. Long haul trucking is expensive compared to shipping things via the rails. The reason things end up being shipped via truck is that its faster, plain and simple. Shipping via rail car is slow and has no guaranteed arrival date. Or should I say, dependable arrival date. And from a logistics stand point you have to engage a last mile trucker at the rail head nearest you…

Why aren't warehouses located at or near rail stations?

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The long haul stuff should go on rails anyway. It's very wasteful to run it on the interstates. The majority of the fatigue damage to the highways comes from trucks, then there's all the rubber dust, fuel inefficiency, etc. The trailers should just be picked up and dropped on flatcars, and trucks used for intracity last mile stuff.

This is Stefan, from Starsky Robotics. I hear this all the time, and honestly in many cases a truck is the transportation of last resort. If you need 5 shipping containers of goods going from A->B all arriving at Time X; it's probably going by train. An issue with rail (as pointed out by others) is how to haul the freight from the rail head (rail yard) to the end warehouses, and the extra time it takes to have goods…

>As far as wear and tear on the highway: that's what weigh stations are for.

That doesn't create a system where trucks pay taxes roughly proportional to the damage they do.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rails are already there. When I drive down I5, you can see them. The reason this sorry state of affairs exists is because truck traffic is heavily subsidized (highways paid for with taxes) whereas rail traffic is heavily taxed (and the rail companies have to pay for the tracks). It could be improved by increasing weight taxes on trucks, and using the proceeds to subsidize intercity tracks.

Yeah the impact on roads increases with the fourth power of vehicle weight. Why doesn't the tax?

At least trucks are carrying something we all need, unlike cars.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think it has anything to do with cashier wages, and more to do with customer perception. Kiosks are already cheaper than people. With minimum wage at $7.25/hour, and a Kiosk being able to replace 2+ shifts (16 hour days 7 days a week), that's $30K/year in savings, which would more than pay for a kiosk and maintenance. Developing the software to run them isn't free, but spreading $15M in development costs amon…

> But many customers would balk at having to order at a kiosk, so McDonalds will still hire humans. A lot of locations around me have both kiosks and staffed registers. I used the kiosk once and thought it was annoying to work through. If you have a simple order like "A medium #3", then its an order of magnitude faster to order through a person. On the other hand, if you like to customize your burger, or order a seve…

> If you have a simple order like "A medium #3", then its an order of magnitude faster to order through a person.

This is a user interface [fixable] problem, not some inherent defect in kiosks. You should be able to walk up to the kiosk, tap #3, wave your NFC payment at it, and walk away with a hamburger. Today's "Tap. Tap. Scroll, Scroll. Tap. Back. Tap. Tap checkout. Tap Ok. Insert credit card in this other machine. Tap confirm. Sign. Remove card. Tap done." mess is merely incompetent product design.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#119
post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is Stefan, from Starsky Robotics. I hear this all the time, and honestly in many cases a truck is the transportation of last resort. If you need 5 shipping containers of goods going from A->B all arriving at Time X; it's probably going by train. An issue with rail (as pointed out by others) is how to haul the freight from the rail head (rail yard) to the end warehouses, and the extra time it takes to have goods…

>As far as wear and tear on the highway: that's what weigh stations are for. That doesn't create a system where trucks pay taxes roughly proportional to the damage they do.

I remember reading the damage a vehicle does is roughly proportional to the fourth power of its weight.

Re: Will automation put an end to the American trucker?

#120

I haven't thought of this until now, but it's going to be interesting to see the impact of self driving trucks on human migration. Today many people feel trapped where they live because it's prohibitively expensive to move. Once self-driving trucks are common, the cost of moving across the country should plummet. Imagine being able to move everything in your apartment or home across the country for a few hundred doll…

I've moved across the country a few times now - I'm not sure the expense of physically moving stuff was ever the largest.

They were for me, by far. What other expenses are there?
Post reply on HN