Hawking is not wrong - AI
could end human race. In same sense that God
could exist, or P
could be equal NP. Reason is that it has not yet been proven to be impossible.
But looking into AI field, it is clear there's nothing further from truth as of yet. What we have is rudiments of bits of intelligence. And some of these rudimentary bits have been around for almost two thirds of a century. We don't have general idea of how intelligence works, or even how to define it objectively.
But I can see where they are coming from. Our brains work as they work, and we know they must have mechanism, it means it must be possible to simulate it in computers, and it means it must be possible to improve it.
But another thing I disagree is the whole "if they are more intelligent than us, there is no way to know what they are going to do". Really? There are plenty of people who are more intelligent than any one of us here. Do they want to kill everyone less intelligent than they? Never heard of it. There are plenty of animals of all levels of intelligence. Do we want to kill them just because they are less intelligent? No. Do other more intelligent animals try to kill less intelligent animals? No.
If what, if there will be more intelligent machine than us, it will want to help us so we can maintain it, fix it and improve it, if it will have survival instinct (which will only happen if we build them to have one). Because robots and AI will not survive long without humans no matter how advanced they are.
Another thing that severely limits the chances of AI posing any danger to us, no matter how smart it will be, is the limited number of parallel AI's running. We, as humans, strive in intellectual stuff, is because there are billions of us and we have very good ways of communicating our knowledge. If one human makes mistake, there are many chances it will be corrected by others. AI's usually are made one of a kind. Which means it is enough to make one mistake for it to be "put down" if something goes wrong. So unless we intentionally create environment for hostile AIs to thrive, we have nothing to worry about even when there will be several of smarter than humans robots.