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A universal income is not such a silly idea

timharford.com

101–110 of 337 posts

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#101
post #76

Progressives seem to have lost all understanding of the concept of money. It is a means of trade. The spending power of the basic income will ultimately reflect the value its recipients produced in order to obtain it - zero in this case.

Progressives? Did you know that Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman supported the idea?

Friedman supported a negative income tax. While somewhat similar, it is not the same thing.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#102

The thing I genuinely don't understand regarding the basic income for all argument is that surely it just moves the goal posts rather than solves the problem at hand? In the current system, you can go stay at home and get income support, which should provide you with the basics i.e. a home, food, electricity etc. If you would like more than this, you can go and get a job and hopefully earn more (have a better lifesty…

I understand the confusion, but its mostly there thanks to misconception about how things works now,

> If you would like more than this, you can go and get a job and hopefully earn more (have a better lifestyle) than staying at home not working.

Staying home and not working today is not actually an option in most places in the world. The reason is why this new model is called unconditional basic income. The current system called income support is conditional.

And market forces love the fact that its conditional, since it allows exploitation. If income support is for example conditional on the unemployed not having received a job offering, then the market can exploit this fact and offer people jobs for below income support (or what ever is minimum). Unemployed people can not say no, or they loose the government income support, and thus become forced to accept a slave job or loose all income.

unconditional basic income would eliminate this issue from the board, and increase wages for unattractive jobs.

Inflation should also not be effected by much. The total amount of money in society is still the same finite amount as before. There is no "extra money available", only a different form of distribution. There is a larger group with money to spend on products, which drives prices both up (more demand), but also down (more incentives for large scale production). It also makes money change hands more often, and is often attributed as the reason why a income support system do not actually drive prices or wages down.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#103
post #2

Can we stop putting these "universal income" posts on the front page until someone has something genuinely new to say about the idea or there's some news about an actual implementation?

I had a genuinely new idea this morning. Paying people for idleness increases idleness, which isn't necessarily good for the recipient. Why not pay them instead for doing things that make their life individually or collectively better? * Pay them for taking and passing college classes. * Pay them for losing weight and getting their BMI to an acceptable level that reduces collective health care costs. * Pay them for g…

You're describing effectively a Committee for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice. A much softer version than most regressive states offer, but nevertheless a similar thing. I think you'll run into a lot of the standard problems relating to good intentions and unanticipated results.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#104
I don't think this is a good idea. It could do a lot of harm to future generations. If we pay for this through debt, we're slapping a bill on our children.

I also don't like this idea because it increases personal dependence on the state. If the goal is to make people independent and self-confident, how does this help (on the whole, excluding edge cases)? And as the top commenter said, I think this will move the goal posts and surely cause inflation. I also think this will enable some peoples' destructive habits (how does the song go? "It's the first of the month... Get up, wake up!").

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The spending power of the basic income will ultimately reflect the value its recipients produced in order to obtain it - zero in this case. What do you think the purchasing power of welfare money is? Furthermore, can you really separate the purchasing power of the money utilized in the minimum income and the income from working?

I am not separating anything. I am saying that inflation will rise, because that's what happens when a country isn't producing anything more, but the country increases the amount of its currency in circulation. It's like a stock split - absent a rise in the actual value of the company, doubling the number of shares makes each share half as valuable. In this case, over time inflation will adjust to the point that the…

> over time inflation will adjust to the point that the spending power of the basic income will approach zero.

Through what mechanism exactly? Please also explain why this hasn't happened with other, existing forms of social subsidies.

It seems like it is your understanding of money that is laughably over-simplified.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#106

Basic income has potential but I think people are waiting for the governments to provide, while there is possibly another way. Imagine creating bitcoin version that does not favor early adopters, but allows everyone participating to get the same amount of coins every week. Of course it's easier said than done, and it would need to be detailed a little more, but I think it's possible.

The problem with this is how do you prevent people from creating multiple identities and gain more than their fair share? Bitcoin solves this problem by tying money generation with something that can't be faked, computational power.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#107
This is the best timing for this. When the cost of things are driven down anymore, universal income makes more sense than ever.

After all, there's no truth in "having" to work. I think there should be the freedom to choose if you'd like to work or not.

I've always pondered why people think you "need" to work. You "need" a job.

I like working, and have a job, but I know many people are fine getting by, and it stresses them out for having to work everyday, which I think is perfectly fine.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#108

An alternative that I prefer is a welfare system such as in Australia. Australian welfare is very similar to basic income, the main differences being that you have to look for work (but enforcement is not strict) and the way welfare decreases as your income increases, makes your effective marginal tax rate about 50%. I'm not sure what the optimal tax schedule (pre-tax vs post-tax and welfare) should look like, but my…

> the main differences being that you have to look for work

This is a bad idea in the long term. The whole reason basic income is being seriously looked at is because we know automation is eliminating the need for labor and that trend will continue until work simply isn't available for a large percentage of the population. People need to get over the idea that work will be necessary to live or the idea that work is how one contributes to society.

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#109
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not separating anything. I am saying that inflation will rise, because that's what happens when a country isn't producing anything more, but the country increases the amount of its currency in circulation. It's like a stock split - absent a rise in the actual value of the company, doubling the number of shares makes each share half as valuable. In this case, over time inflation will adjust to the point that the…

> over time inflation will adjust to the point that the spending power of the basic income will approach zero. Through what mechanism exactly? Please also explain why this hasn't happened with other, existing forms of social subsidies. It seems like it is your understanding of money that is laughably over-simplified.

They will have to print this money, because there is nowhere else to get it. What happens when you print money but there is no additional demand for it? You guessed it...the value drops. Markets are surprisingly efficient at pricing things like this in.

Are you seriously trying to make the argument that their economy will absorb this with no effect on the value of their currency?

Re: A universal income is not such a silly idea

#110
I'm pretty ambivalent about basic income, although I think it's probably worth a try. Not a version that replaces earned income though, there are too many obvious perverse incentives for such a system, it must be supplementary. On the one hand I can see a lot of positive effects from it. On the other hand one of the biggest downsides is that now you have a very strong divide in terms of citizenship, which could potentially drastically change the dynamics of immigration. Personally I'm very much pro immigration and I think the fact that people from all circumstances have the opportunity to earn substantial benefits from their work by moving to the US (or the developed world in general) is one of the most positive aspects of this country and part of its life blood and character.
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