Is anyplace in the Bay Area sharing stats by zipcode? For example, San Diego has zipcode breakdown here: https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/sdc/hhsa/programs/phs...
Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
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Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#12Is anyplace in the Bay Area sharing stats by zipcode? For example, San Diego has zipcode breakdown here: https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/sdc/hhsa/programs/phs...
SF County - https://www.sfdph.org/dph/alerts/coronavirus.asp
San Mateo County - https://www.smchealth.org/coronavirus
Alameda County excluding Berkeley - http://www.acphd.org/2019-ncov.aspx
Berkeley - https://www.cityofberkeley.info/coronavirus/
Santa Clara County - https://www.sccgov.org/sites/phd/DiseaseInformation/novel-co...
Marin County has an (ominously named) dashboard - https://coronavirus.marinhhs.org/surveillance
Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#13Where is the most important metric? Daily tested vs tested positive stats.
There are some limited stats to the very far right side of the "SF Bay Area Actuals" sheet.
Anecdotally, Bay Area is seeing <10% positivity rates
Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#14Where is the most important metric? Daily tested vs tested positive stats.
This is not released by most counties, unfortunately. There are some limited stats to the very far right side of the "SF Bay Area Actuals" sheet. Anecdotally, Bay Area is seeing <10% positivity rates
In other places with higher testing, such as Australia, the CFR is 0.6% or less. This implies that the true number of cases is 4-5 times higher... probably a lot more.
Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#15Where is the most important metric? Daily tested vs tested positive stats.
Who gets tested is a moving target. Stanford a short time ago did a free-for-all testing binge in order to collect data, but finished that and is now restricting tests to people requiring specific risk factors to give a test.
The first time I tried to get a test from another provider I just wasn't able, they didn't know of anywhere that would test me outside of hospitalization-type symptoms.
So testing is uneven and not very available, any stats need to include some metric for the criteria to get tests in the first place.
In other words, there is likely an enormous population with no symptoms or mild symptoms who couldn't get tested if they tried.
After two video appointments with separate providers I was able to get tested yesterday and the result came back negative about 22 hours later. It took me about 8 hours of effort and time to get that done, a luxury many people do not have.
Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#16Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#17Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is not released by most counties, unfortunately. There are some limited stats to the very far right side of the "SF Bay Area Actuals" sheet. Anecdotally, Bay Area is seeing <10% positivity rates
Another important data point to assess testing is Case Fatality Rate (CFR). This is about 2.5% in the SF Bay Area. In other places with higher testing, such as Australia, the CFR is 0.6% or less. This implies that the true number of cases is 4-5 times higher... probably a lot more.
That's what a pandemic needs. If it is very deadly very quickly it kills its transmission vectors before they can transmit. If it is entirely symptom free, it is very evolutionarily successful, but no one cares because there aren't any negative effects.
There is an "optimum" of disease characteristics for maximum damage and we seem to be experiencing one.
The bottom line is that it seems to be very difficult to prevent a majority of the world population from getting this disease and the result is going to be a global fatality rate of somewhere in the neighborhood of 1%.
Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#18Re: Spreadsheet of San Francisco Bay Area Covid-19 Data and Charts
#19I developed this for myself but data junkies trying to get a feel for what is happening with the coronavirus spread across the San Francisco Bay Area will appreciate it. I am updating it regularly.
I wish you had the new cases per day graphed for all the bay area counties because that is what I monitor.