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Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

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Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#11
post #9

My job has been inundated with applications from people who are not even in tech in any way (think like barbers & home depot workers). I see now why so many companies use automation to filter out resumes.

To what type of positions ? So like a barber for a random secretary or mail room etc? Or just all up and down the chain

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#12

Building on my analysis from last week: 1. This week's 6.6M new jobless claims represents ~4% of the estimated ~160-165M US Workforce. 2. This is incremental to the 3.3M new jobless claims filed week ending 3/21, totaling ~10M total jobless claims in the past 2 weeks. 3. The US unemployment rate was ~3.5% as of EOM February [1], so cumulatively that means we've hit ~10% unemployment as of EOW 3/28 (~10M incremental j…

I'm also hearing this morning that we've hit the 10% mark. I also heard the same economist say "The economy is collapsing, and it's a global collapse". I don't even need coffee to be alert the rest of the day...

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#13
post #10
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And they want us to believe that it will be ok because of a $1200 check and state unemployment benefits....

..and an additional $60,0000 national debt per household.

It's weird how the national debt is only a problem when the proposal is helping ordinary people and never a problem when the proposal is to go to war overseas.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#14
post #11
post #9

My job has been inundated with applications from people who are not even in tech in any way (think like barbers & home depot workers). I see now why so many companies use automation to filter out resumes.

To what type of positions ? So like a barber for a random secretary or mail room etc? Or just all up and down the chain

To Software Engineer, lvl 3 support, Data Scientist, etc. Roles that they would almost certainly fail in without previous experience.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#15

Building on my analysis from last week: 1. This week's 6.6M new jobless claims represents ~4% of the estimated ~160-165M US Workforce. 2. This is incremental to the 3.3M new jobless claims filed week ending 3/21, totaling ~10M total jobless claims in the past 2 weeks. 3. The US unemployment rate was ~3.5% as of EOM February [1], so cumulatively that means we've hit ~10% unemployment as of EOW 3/28 (~10M incremental j…

I'm also hearing this morning that we've hit the 10% mark. I also heard the same economist say "The economy is collapsing, and it's a global collapse". I don't even need coffee to be alert the rest of the day...

And all this for a virus that kills around 1% of the people who get it, and the majority of them are retired.

Future generations will look at us and wonder how we were this stupid.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#16

Building on my analysis from last week: 1. This week's 6.6M new jobless claims represents ~4% of the estimated ~160-165M US Workforce. 2. This is incremental to the 3.3M new jobless claims filed week ending 3/21, totaling ~10M total jobless claims in the past 2 weeks. 3. The US unemployment rate was ~3.5% as of EOM February [1], so cumulatively that means we've hit ~10% unemployment as of EOW 3/28 (~10M incremental j…

Goldman Sach may estimate the unemployment rate peaking at 15%, but the Fed said it could reach 32% by summer.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#18
Keep in mind that state unemployment websites and call centers are often overloaded and there are many complaints that people can't even file in the first place.

It's is highly likely that these high numbers continue for additional weeks because all the people who couldn't get through will manage to get through in upcoming weeks.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#19

Building on my analysis from last week: 1. This week's 6.6M new jobless claims represents ~4% of the estimated ~160-165M US Workforce. 2. This is incremental to the 3.3M new jobless claims filed week ending 3/21, totaling ~10M total jobless claims in the past 2 weeks. 3. The US unemployment rate was ~3.5% as of EOM February [1], so cumulatively that means we've hit ~10% unemployment as of EOW 3/28 (~10M incremental j…

The forecasted unemployment rate is weird: economists are not forecasting a major increase for April 03s release. Do you happen to know why? https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

They do the monthly survey in the middle of the month. Most of the state shutdowns happened after the surveys were completed.

Don’t ask me why they don’t just use the weekly numbers.

Re: Additional 6.6M File for Initial Unemployment Benefits [pdf]

#20
post #5

Expected 3M. This new figure is about 10x financial crisis high.

And they want us to believe that it will be ok because of a $1200 check and state unemployment benefits....

> And they want us to believe that it will be ok because of a $1200 check and state unemployment benefits....

Not true. The unemployment benefits have also been augmented by up to $600/week above state unemployment benefits. This amount applies even if your state benefits have been exhausted.

The $1200 is an extra stimulus check for people whether or not they’re still employed. Not to be confused with the unemployment benefits.

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