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Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

42floors.com

41–50 of 308 posts

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#41
post #7

Or, consider starting a company outside of San Francisco. Not just outside of SoMA, actually outside of San Francisco. (I know, I know, blasphemy.) Eventually the price of real estate and labor will be so high that the relative disadvantages of other locations will not matter.

I think the advantage of a massive skilled labor pool and investors within walking distance is a nearly insurmountable advantage. For a small company, I'd say the time/cost of hiring a few good engineers is way more than a few months rent. You'll certainly pay a respectable headhunter quite a bit.

[deleted]

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#42
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If all of your employees are remote, what do you show your investors, partners, board members, and creditors when they want a tour of your facility? How do you show them that you've got smart people working on hard problems? For some (bad?) startups, this is an even more valuable function of engineers than engineering.

Rental prop staff, like say, WeWork.

Staff as a Service?

Another source of this might be Labor Ready - warm bodies to fill an office space. And for those with higher skill, maybe we could tap some Hollywood extras?

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#44
post #2

Obvious arbitrage possibility is obvious, and being exploited by new companies (WeWork for $10b valuation) themselves -- if you're better at evaluating startups than big dumb landlords, you can profit here. And there isn't a shortage of capital to play this game.

WeWork might not be in the best position if most of their clients are venture-backed startups and they all go away within a few years.

Worst case, they go out of business if all the other startups go out of business.

It's leverage. When you have ~unbounded upside and capped downside, lever the fuck up. (And yes, this is how you get ants.)

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#45

This is a great analysis and the argument makes perfect sense in every respect. The only thing I find dubious is the idea that the bust is 2-4 years out. I think if you polled most SF commercial landlords, they would tell you that they expect most of their startup tenants to start having difficulty paying the rent in no more than 18 months. It would be interesting to see some actual data on this. After all, there's n…

Agreed, many landlords seem to feel like the trouble is a mere few months away, although often any attempt at getting them to discuss how they arrived at that conclusion gets something like "I just know it." So one wonders about the whole "wisdom of the crowds" or "herd" in this case, and whether or not they can sense something that isn't showing up in other indicators. I've been looking but other than the extensivel…

Everyone I've been talking with seems to say "less than 24 months".

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#46
post #15

Remote work and starting the company elsewhere are pretty easy solutions to this problem.

If all of your employees are remote, what do you show your investors, partners, board members, and creditors when they want a tour of your facility? How do you show them that you've got smart people working on hard problems? For some (bad?) startups, this is an even more valuable function of engineers than engineering.

> For some (bad?) startups, this is an even more valuable function of engineers than engineering.

It would be fantastic if that stopped being an important indicator.

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If all of your employees are remote, what do you show your investors, partners, board members, and creditors when they want a tour of your facility? How do you show them that you've got smart people working on hard problems? For some (bad?) startups, this is an even more valuable function of engineers than engineering.

Tell them that facilities are obsolete and if they don't want to become an obsolete dinosaur, they should jump on the remote-working trend before it eats the world. Then show them your Slack channel, git commit log, and issue tracker to introduce them to the new world. Some will probably leave, but then, they're dinosaurs anyway, and why would you want an investor who just doesn't get it?

> Tell them that facilities are obsolete and if they don't want to become an obsolete dinosaur, they should jump on the remote-working trend before it eats the world.

And then what data do you show them to back up that grandiose proclamation?

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#48
post #15

Remote work and starting the company elsewhere are pretty easy solutions to this problem.

If all of your employees are remote, what do you show your investors, partners, board members, and creditors when they want a tour of your facility? How do you show them that you've got smart people working on hard problems? For some (bad?) startups, this is an even more valuable function of engineers than engineering.

You do a 'team building' week once a year where you fly everyone in, do a team photoshoot and a 'productivity' photoshoot, and then provide paid-for options of fun things to do (ski pass, jetski / paddle board rental, company tab at a local bar, cook-off or potluck competition, short film competition, etc. ). Your team gets a short vacation from working, investors and press get photos and videos of people doing their job, and you don't have to pay for office space again that year. Hopefully your revenue exponentially scales to cover the linear expense as your team grows.

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#49
post #7

Or, consider starting a company outside of San Francisco. Not just outside of SoMA, actually outside of San Francisco. (I know, I know, blasphemy.) Eventually the price of real estate and labor will be so high that the relative disadvantages of other locations will not matter.

I think the advantage of a massive skilled labor pool and investors within walking distance is a nearly insurmountable advantage. For a small company, I'd say the time/cost of hiring a few good engineers is way more than a few months rent. You'll certainly pay a respectable headhunter quite a bit.

I think San Francisco is better for medium sized companies looking to IPO... I think you should get a base level somewhere much cheaper.

Re: Landlords are trying not to rent to startups in San Francisco

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Eventually we might consider that rent is just outright theft, we're not actually paying for value, landlords are parasites who suck surplus value from the economy, etc.

You could also build/buy your own office. Then there would be no landlord.

Probably not a good idea for startups whose long term success is unpredictable though.
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