MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
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MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
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Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#2Here's a theory of mine:
Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will manipulate the world to achieve that which it desires, which will be continually more energy. Eventually, this machine will displace much of humanity, as it requires less and less human intervention.
I beleive we are in the midst of this process now.
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#3Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
[citation needed]
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#4Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
[citation needed]
It's a theory of mine (comment updated to reflect this).
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#5Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
Predicting the actual future is a bit harder than writing science fiction.
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#6Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will manipulate the world to achieve that which it desires, which will be continually more energy.
Sounds like Bitcoin!
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#7Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
Predicting the actual future is a bit harder than writing science fiction.
This isn't science fiction. It's just a theory of mine. I truly beleive this is happening. You just have to train your mind to think about intelligence and consciousness differently. Emergence is an unintuitive process, but can eventually be explained by exploring the constituents, and sometimes the history, of whatever has emerged.
But... some science fiction is spot on: http://mashable.com/2014/07/23/sci-fi-books-the-future/
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#8Earlier quoted context omitted.
Predicting the actual future is a bit harder than writing science fiction.
This isn't science fiction. It's just a theory of mine. I truly beleive this is happening. You just have to train your mind to think about intelligence and consciousness differently. Emergence is an unintuitive process, but can eventually be explained by exploring the constituents, and sometimes the history, of whatever has emerged. But... some science fiction is spot on: http://mashable.com/2014/07/23/sci-fi-books-t…
That's tainted by selection bias. How about all the times predictions didn't come true?
http://www.theguardian.com/science/occams-corner/2013/jan/24...
https://litreactor.com/columns/the-accuracy-of-edward-bellam...
http://www.wired.com/2012/09/interview-with-william-gibson/
http://unrealitymag.com/movies/specific-dates-in-science-fic...
https://medium.com/sci-fi-strange/science-fiction-doesnt-pre...
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#9Here's a theory of mine: Despite our explicit efforts, the first truly powerful AI will emerge as distributed software that effectively runs on the Internet as a whole (a virtual machine consisting of endpoints (APIs, etc.) and disparate systems subprocessing data). We will not know when it arrives. There will be no judgement day. This machine will arrive through a sort of abiogenesis, and once it's here it will mani…
FYI, http://lesswrong.com/lw/iv/the_futility_of_emergence/ might explain why people are objecting to your comment.
Re: MIRI's Approach – Machine Intelligence Research Institute
#10MIRI is one of the success stories to emerge from the transhumanist community of the 80s to 00s. Others include the Methuselah Foundation, SENS Research Foundation, Future of Humanity Institute, and so on.
When it comes to prognosticating on the future of strong AI MIRI falls on the other side of the futurist community from where I stand.
I see the future as being one in which strong AI emerges from whole brain emulation, starting around 2030 as processing power becomes cheap enough for an entire industry to be competing in emulating brains the brute force way, building on the academic efforts of the 2020s. Then there will follow twenty years of exceedingly unethical development and abuse of sentient life to get to the point of robust first generation artificial entities based all too closely on human minds, and only after that will you start to see progress towards greater than human intelligence and meaningful variations on the theme of human intelligence.
I think it unlikely that entirely alien, non-human strong artificial intelligences will be constructed from first principals on a faster timescale or more cost-effectively than this. That line of research will be swamped by the output of whole brain emulation once that gets going in earnest.
Many views of future priorities for development in the futurist hinge on how soon we can build greater than human intelligences to power our research and development process. In particular should one support AI development or rejuvenation research. Unfortunately I think we're going to have to dig our own way out of the aging hole; we're not going to see better than human strong AI before we could develop rejuvenation treatments based on the SENS programs the old-fashioned way.