Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
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Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
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Re: Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
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#6Re: Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
#7"IBM wants to offer the minimum amount that the candidate will accept," however the gamblers are not asked to figure that out, instead the "entire wager pool is awarded to the Turks who had the closest answers [to what IBM actually offered]".
Thus the smart gambler tries to figure out not what the candidate would accept, but what IBM is likely to offer. At this point the prediction market does not predict what the candidate will accept, but what IBM will offer.
One might be able to construct a prediction market where the gamblers incentive is to identify the lowest number the candidate would accept, but this is not it.
Re: Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
#8They provide entertainment value sometimes, and for winners they provide monetary value. This is like saying watching a movie or playing football has no value. The particularities of the game may create the value. E.g., poker is a well balanced game.
Re: Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
#9I like the general idea — gamblers can do useful work for society — but one area that needs improvement is the kind of things that the participants will be betting on. "IBM wants to offer the minimum amount that the candidate will accept," however the gamblers are not asked to figure that out, instead the "entire wager pool is awarded to the Turks who had the closest answers [to what IBM actually offered]". Thus the…
Re: Turkish Casino: Gambling of the Future [pdf]
#10I run a small bitcoin casino called fastbets.io. We should talk to see if there is a potential for a collaboration (feel free to email henry@fastbets.io).