Earlier quoted context omitted.
Cringely means well, but he tends to get these sorts of hunches that don't necessarily have any basis in reality. From the article: " If this reads like a huge conspiracy theory that’s because it is. "
I am at a loss as to any predictions that Cringely has ever gotten right. In that regard, he is somewhat akin to the Amazing Criswell ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Amazing_Criswell )
But yeah, most everything else has been wrong. This episode was particularly amusing: http://www.cringely.com/2009/03/the-neokast-mystery/ That was around the time I unsubscribed from his RSS feed.