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Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

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111–120 of 241 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#111
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem with GMO is that it's basically a vendor lock-in scheme for agribusiness giants. It's not a good engineering solution to the real food problems we face. Of course, the DONT EAT THE SCIENCE OR IT WILL GIVE YOU THE CANCER political nonsense is wrong. That doesn't let GMO off the hook, though. The problem it attempts to solve, on the surface, is increasing the productivity of monocropping. But productivity i…

We're GMOing crops long before the DNA revolution. Plants were selectively bred for certain qualities since the dawn of agriculture. None of fruits or vegetables we eat in the present (even without GMO) could be found naturally few hundred years ago. We were genetically modifying them without really knowing the mechanism. There some ecological as well as regulatory challenges. That doesn't mean GMO isn't a solid appr…

Here's a good paper discussing risk w.r.t. GMOs: http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/pp2.pdf

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#112

Researchers at Audi are making synthetic diesel fuel using only water and air. Miracle? No. Science. http://money.cnn.com/2015/04/28/technology/audi-diesel-air-w...

Using water, air and large amounts of heat.

(Where does that heat come from? Many possibilities, but currently from fossil fuels.)

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But the point of this technique is, its dead simple. Identify a gene and cut it out. Or add one.

It is (compared to other available techniques, at least) dead simple to cut out or add genes, yes. Practical human therapies that rely on gene editing involve more than just gene editing (and to be viable, profitable commercial applications, they require a whole lot of regulatory steps -- trials, approvals, etc. -- once all the pieces of the process are put together.)

So it won't be invented in America. But it will be made somewhere, then sold on the internet.

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But the point of this technique is, its dead simple. Identify a gene and cut it out. Or add one.

Currently there are too many off target effects to make it safe for use in humans: http://www.technologyreview.com/news/535846/industry-body-ca...

When has 'safe' had anything to do with cosmetics? From fad diets to surgery, folks will do anything to look good. This will get made (somewhere) and sold (everywhere).

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#115
post #106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

More likely the first (profitable) applications will be: changing eye color, hair color, losing fat, changing height, changing skin tone. Billions in each market.

I highly doubt cosmetic uses will be the first. The FDA approves drugs based on risk vs. safety. Having the wrong eye color is pretty low risk in terms of health. Gene editing will be used in fatal or severely disabling diseases with no other options. Even if there are severe side effects, the FDA will likely approve them.

The FDA will have little to do with a pill sold on the internet. Folks will do anything to look good. This is going to happen, ready or not.

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#116

Blockchains. Distributed consensus is incredibly powerful. It will allow us to rebuild our society around individuals instead of corporations and governments that formed because economic transaction costs were so high that economies of scale (and sometimes the use of force) were required to coordinate our society. All economic activity will be blockchain-mediated. It will make us wealthier and freer.

The "low costs" of bitcoin are a myth. Bitcoin transactions are extremely expensive, both financially and ecologically, it's just that those costs are currently subsidized by block rewards to miners instead of paid by consumers/end-users. If bitcoin were ever to be widely adopted, the high fees would have to be passed on to users: http://www.coindesk.com/new-study-low-bitcoin-transaction-fe...

At some level, this basic fact should be incredibly obvious to anyone with any technical background: It's much cheaper and easier to operate a centralized, eventually-consistent database (today's banking system) than a distributed ledger that requires constantly burning electricity and computing resources on useless math puzzles. Nevertheless, I still see bitcoin advocates claiming bitcoin will be cheaper than the legacy transaction system.

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#117

Blockchains. Distributed consensus is incredibly powerful. It will allow us to rebuild our society around individuals instead of corporations and governments that formed because economic transaction costs were so high that economies of scale (and sometimes the use of force) were required to coordinate our society. All economic activity will be blockchain-mediated. It will make us wealthier and freer.

The "low costs" of bitcoin are a myth. Bitcoin transactions are extremely expensive, both financially and ecologically, it's just that those costs are currently subsidized by block rewards to miners instead of paid by consumers/end-users. If bitcoin were ever to be widely adopted, the high fees would have to be passed on to users: http://www.coindesk.com/new-study-low-bitcoin-transaction-fe... At some level, this bas…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof-of-stake

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#118

Blockchains. Distributed consensus is incredibly powerful. It will allow us to rebuild our society around individuals instead of corporations and governments that formed because economic transaction costs were so high that economies of scale (and sometimes the use of force) were required to coordinate our society. All economic activity will be blockchain-mediated. It will make us wealthier and freer.

The "low costs" of bitcoin are a myth. Bitcoin transactions are extremely expensive, both financially and ecologically, it's just that those costs are currently subsidized by block rewards to miners instead of paid by consumers/end-users. If bitcoin were ever to be widely adopted, the high fees would have to be passed on to users: http://www.coindesk.com/new-study-low-bitcoin-transaction-fe... At some level, this bas…

I am not talking about Bitcoin in particular, nor am I talking about transaction fees. I am talking about transaction costs and blockchains in general.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transaction_cost

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#119
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are hybrid seeds designed to be one use only like terminator seeds? How is the vendor lock-in structured?

Yes, many hybrid seeds are one use only. Farmers cannot save and resow the seed. They need to buy the seed each year. The seeds might not be sterile, but even then the seed would produce unreliable plants. http://www.granny-miller.com/the-difference-between-hybrid-n...

This is not intentional. Its how genes work. The seed on a plant depends on the pollinator. Just like fruit trees - you plant that seed from the apple you just ate, it won't grow more of those apples. It will grow whatever that apple was pollinated with.

Re: Ask HN: What are the greatest discoveries in the last few years?

#120
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would first want to see people accept GMO crops. Then I'll be willing to think of people going to the doctor to change their eye color.

The problem with GMO is that it's basically a vendor lock-in scheme for agribusiness giants. It's not a good engineering solution to the real food problems we face. Of course, the DONT EAT THE SCIENCE OR IT WILL GIVE YOU THE CANCER political nonsense is wrong. That doesn't let GMO off the hook, though. The problem it attempts to solve, on the surface, is increasing the productivity of monocropping. But productivity i…

You forgot the pecticides.
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