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Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

chem.tufts.edu

131–140 of 141 posts

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#131
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Suicide bombers see a different purpose to their lives than (presumably) you and I do. By their own measure they are not doing badly, they are doing quite well. And objectively, suicide bombers are dead, which puts them far behind those of us who remain alive -- at least, by any sensible measure. Of course, when you unravel the story behind the average suicide bomber, you usually find that they were shamed or pressu…

> at least, by any sensible measure That's pure question begging.

Really that's pointing out a bad example, which is fair in a discussion.

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#132
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> at least, by any sensible measure That's pure question begging.

Really that's pointing out a bad example, which is fair in a discussion.

It's question begging because 'any sensible measure' is meant to exclude the subjective measure by which suicide bombers are valuing their own lives. The whole point is that their worldview -- what is important, what is to be valued during our brief time on earth, etc. -- is radically different than yours or mine.

And yet the only argument I seem to get in favor of the worldview that (I believe) you and I largely share is "C'mon. Don't be silly.", which might be rhetorically effective, but is not evidence based.

The important difference is that I am willing to accept that I believe it without proof. You see and the parent seem to need to claim it's 'scientific' and 'rational' to embrace a worldview which values life, freedom, knowledge, etc.

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#133
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This, and most of the other arguments in the whole thread, are so highly simplistic. The links between science and humanity are many and complex, and vice versa. There is no winner, there is no right side. They build on each other, enhance each other, and neither science not the humanities has any real meaning in isolation. Really, the whole dichotomous argument between the two is absolutely ridiculous. We need fewer…

you have to wonder if there is some magnetism in people which draws them to polarizing topics (both to build polarizing arguments, and to engage in them). Maybe it's as simple as we are highly competitive, and in the absence of competition, we create rifts just so we can establish who is greater?

Simpler: people like to argue. Some multi-dimensional topics its hard to find a single definitive answer. Those topics, you can argue about forever.

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#134
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really that's pointing out a bad example, which is fair in a discussion.

It's question begging because 'any sensible measure' is meant to exclude the subjective measure by which suicide bombers are valuing their own lives. The whole point is that their worldview -- what is important, what is to be valued during our brief time on earth, etc. -- is radically different than yours or mine. And yet the only argument I seem to get in favor of the worldview that (I believe) you and I largely sha…

Empirically, its obvious. Most people on the planet value these things. Societies are under selection pressure like organisms. So these things must be advantageous to societies.

Clearer?

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#135
post #129
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>so it's a very good approximation to treat a cup of water, for example, as a continuous fluid, rather than a bunch of atoms. It's a good approximation empirically . I've said a few times now that scientific progress is indeed quite conservative in empirical terms. However, we know now that water is very unlike a continuous fluid in terms of its actual constitution. > So "atoms are mostly empty space" is wrong, by th…

> It's a good approximation empirically. But that's the whole point: if a theory is a good approximation empirically, then how can you say it's "flat out wrong"? Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations? (See below for more on this.) > Is it really your view that there has never been a period i…

[deleted]

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#136
post #129
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>so it's a very good approximation to treat a cup of water, for example, as a continuous fluid, rather than a bunch of atoms. It's a good approximation empirically . I've said a few times now that scientific progress is indeed quite conservative in empirical terms. However, we know now that water is very unlike a continuous fluid in terms of its actual constitution. > So "atoms are mostly empty space" is wrong, by th…

> It's a good approximation empirically. But that's the whole point: if a theory is a good approximation empirically, then how can you say it's "flat out wrong"? Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations? (See below for more on this.) > Is it really your view that there has never been a period i…

>Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations?

No, it just adds an additional distinction between idea that are good approximations but not quite right and ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong.

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#137
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's question begging because 'any sensible measure' is meant to exclude the subjective measure by which suicide bombers are valuing their own lives. The whole point is that their worldview -- what is important, what is to be valued during our brief time on earth, etc. -- is radically different than yours or mine. And yet the only argument I seem to get in favor of the worldview that (I believe) you and I largely sha…

Empirically, its obvious. Most people on the planet value these things. Societies are under selection pressure like organisms. So these things must be advantageous to societies. Clearer?

So you're willing abandon good and evil in favor of selection pressure? That is to say suicide bombers aren't wrong, they're just the light-colored moths of our day?

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#138
post #136
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's a good approximation empirically. But that's the whole point: if a theory is a good approximation empirically, then how can you say it's "flat out wrong"? Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations? (See below for more on this.) > Is it really your view that there has never been a period i…

>Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations? No, it just adds an additional distinction between idea that are good approximations but not quite right and ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong.

> ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong.

Once again, if an idea is a good approximation, how can it be "completely wrong"? That seems like a contradiction.

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#139
post #138
post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Doesn't that obfuscate the very important distinction between ideas that are good approximations, but not quite right, vs. ideas that aren't even good approximations? No, it just adds an additional distinction between idea that are good approximations but not quite right and ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong.

> ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong. Once again, if an idea is a good approximation, how can it be "completely wrong"? That seems like a contradiction.

There's no contradiction. It makes approximately the right predictions, but it's completely wrong as a statement of how things actually are.

A very clear example of such a hypothesis would be one concerning identity. E.g., who was it who committed the murder? The hypothesis that Joe Smith did it might make lots and lots of correct predictions and yet still be completely wrong (because it was actually someone else).

Re: Isaac Asimov: The Relativity of Wrong (1989)

#140
post #139
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> ideas that are good approximations but completely wrong. Once again, if an idea is a good approximation, how can it be "completely wrong"? That seems like a contradiction.

There's no contradiction. It makes approximately the right predictions, but it's completely wrong as a statement of how things actually are. A very clear example of such a hypothesis would be one concerning identity. E.g., who was it who committed the murder? The hypothesis that Joe Smith did it might make lots and lots of correct predictions and yet still be completely wrong (because it was actually someone else).

> It makes approximately the right predictions, but it's completely wrong as a statement of how things actually are.

You're assuming that we know "how things actually are". If we know that, how do we know it? If your answer is "because we have a theory that makes correct predictions", how do you know our best current theory gets everything correct? It has to be literally "everything" in order to justify your statement that we know "how things actually are"; anything less than perfection from our current theories does not justify your claim.

It should be obvious that we do not know that our current theories are perfectly correct. All we really know is that they get more predictions correct than our previous theories. But that still leaves room for our best current theories to make incorrect predictions--we just don't know which ones they are (yet). And if they make any incorrect predictions, then there could be some other theory that makes more correct predictions, but models "how things actually are" very differently from our current theories. After all, that has already happened, when we came up with our best current theories. If it happened once, it can happen again. And if it happens again, then all your claims about "how things actually are" are, by your own definition, wrong.

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