Confabulation in the humanities
matthewlincoln.net
Confabulation in the humanities
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Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#2We should not be alarmed that we can only come up with post-facto explanations for the behavior of complex, chaotic systems such as human society, because that is a direct consequence of what they are: complex systems. In fact, we should be alarmed if the opposite were true, and by analyzing current trends, current data, we were able to predict future events. If that were true, then society would be no more than a simple system, completely predictable, whose complete dynamics could possibly be described some closed-form formula.
Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#3Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#4Evolutionary psychology fits this paradigm.
Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#5Evolutionary psychology fits this paradigm.
"You find that people cooperate, you say, ‘Yeah, that contributes to their genes' perpetuating.’ You find that they fight, you say, ‘Sure, that’s obvious, because it means that their genes perpetuate and not somebody else's. In fact, just about anything you find, you can make up some story for it."
Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#6Earlier quoted context omitted.
"You find that people cooperate, you say, ‘Yeah, that contributes to their genes' perpetuating.’ You find that they fight, you say, ‘Sure, that’s obvious, because it means that their genes perpetuate and not somebody else's. In fact, just about anything you find, you can make up some story for it."
What's wrong with that, if it works and is correct? What's the point made there?
Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#7Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#8Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's wrong with that, if it works and is correct? What's the point made there?
The point was probably that this is not scientific. Whatever model you come up with won't really have any predictive power. See arguments against pseudo-science, e.g. Freud and Marxist theories.
Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#9"It can hardly be denied that such a demand quite arbitrarily limits the facts which are to be admitted as possible causes of the events which occur in the real world. This view, which is often quite naively accepted as required by scientific procedure, has some rather paradoxical consequences. We know: of course, with regard to the market and similar social structures, a great many facts which we cannot measure and on which indeed we have only some very imprecise and general information. And because the effects of these facts in any particular instance cannot be confirmed by quantitative evidence, they are simply disregarded by those sworn to admit only what they regard as scientific evidence: they thereupon happily proceed on the fiction that the factors which they can measure are the only ones that are relevant."
[0] http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/bios/Hayek.html
[1] http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/lau...
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Re: Confabulation in the humanities
#10Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's wrong with that, if it works and is correct? What's the point made there?
The point was probably that this is not scientific. Whatever model you come up with won't really have any predictive power. See arguments against pseudo-science, e.g. Freud and Marxist theories.