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Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

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81–90 of 103 posts

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#81

If an effective search method was developed that wasn't based on pagerank and link volumes, but rather the internal quality of a page

Not sure why you were downvoted. There is life after page rank. Just imagine "real AI", only million times faster - could make for some good search engines.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#82
Facebook know more about their average customers than Google does (keeping in mind most Google users don't use gmail).

Facebook use this to move into search. So when I search for 'cappucino book', FB knows I mean the web framework from the context of my discussions with FB/Twitter friends.

FB encourages users to make FB their first destination, users do this because it's search and their friends in one place, and why would you want anything else, when, in this scenario, FB's results are always better than Google's anyway?

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#83
post #28

A scandal related to personal data large enough to spook your average consumer. We're talking serious stuff, like records being sold to criminals or given to the government without a warrant. The only thing that could cause a user to get over the large cost of migration is a massive breach of trust. It doesn't even have to be related to search. A scandal involving Gmail or Google Voice would have a large impact on se…

> given to the government without a warrant. It only barely registered with the general public when the telcos did it - why should Google be any different?

Everyone already accepts shitty speeds and shitty customer service from telecos. Mentally Google is a different ballgame.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#84
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Until recently, these were the exact reasons that I avoided GOOG stock. Nowadays, however, Google has a more immediate problem: Bing. What would happen if Microsoft starts doing search deals with ISPs, portals, & mobile companies? Why would any company integrate Google search if Microsoft was willing to pay them to use Bing? Isn't this already happening with the Microsoft-Facebook and Microsoft-Yahoo deals?

Forcing people to use bing isn't really going to work IMHO.

It does though - Bing has gone on to capture an absurd amount of market share in just the few months since its launch. Users will use whatever is in their title bar - and for most users on IE this will be Bing.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#85
post #40
post #27

The Semantic Web blossoms beyond the need to infer meaning from bodies of text. If the information on the web becomes more structured, structured beyond the need for Google. If web pages and web services were to all completely expose their information as RDF and embed rich metadata inside bodies of text the need for Google's fancy AI and Entity extraction would be none. Google's bread and butter is advertising. That…

May I have some of what you're smoking? The Semantic Web depends on having everyone who writes web pages also categorize them. Whenever you have 20 different people categorizing content you're going to get 20 different interpretations of what the semantics mean. The vision of a decent, consistent categorization emerging across the web is a pipe dream. Furthermore the fundamental problem that Google solves is not find…

Much of the web is databases with a thin layer on top, and the whole point of the SW/LD architecture is that different sites don't need to agree on ontology; it just becomes an alternate, aggregatable database view, in a sense.

I think a lot of the SW hype's overblown - and I've worked in the field - but you're attacking something which doesn't exist.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#86
But we can never imagine what's next. When they said, "What's the worst that could happen to IBM?" No one would have been taken seriously if they said, "A tiny little computer that sits on your desk."

Google is king of search as it's done now. I've personally seen a startup that can do a very new type of search. Who knows if this will be the "little computer that sits on your desk" but what we do know is that something is most certain to come along.

Disruption is never "if", it's always "when".

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#88
I know this is off-topic, but bemmu, you need to paypal me $20 as per our bet made in #startups on IRC. You haven't showed up in the chatroom lately. If you had won the bet, I certainly wouldn't have reneged. You can send payment to the email in my profile.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#89
post #2

How about Microsoft including an ad blocker in the next Windows Update.

Do you remember that one time when Microsoft tried to add "smart tags", keyword-based links that showed up as squiggly lines? Do you remember the uproar, even though there was a simple op-out mechanism, and how quickly they dropped the whole idea? That would be nothing compared with a bundled ad blocker.

Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?

#90

But we can never imagine what's next. When they said, "What's the worst that could happen to IBM?" No one would have been taken seriously if they said, "A tiny little computer that sits on your desk." Google is king of search as it's done now. I've personally seen a startup that can do a very new type of search. Who knows if this will be the "little computer that sits on your desk" but what we do know is that somethi…

* When they said, "What's the worst that could happen to IBM?" No one would have been taken seriously if they said, "A tiny little computer that sits on your desk."*

What if they had said: "A change in the market that they fail to adequately forsee and plan for"? That's what will kill Google too.

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