Government regulation.
Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
41–50 of 103 posts
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#42Earlier quoted context omitted.
True, that would really hurt them. I can't even immediately come up with any reason why they couldn't do that, ad blockers are a very legit piece of software after all. Given how much sense this makes, what's been stopping MS from doing it so far?
Ad blockers create an unlicensed derivative work of the copyrighted works that are received, and they could likely be sued for that.
Users are free to modify site's content as much as they want, using adblockers or using cornify, etc. This is no different than someone cutting out parts of articles from a magazine to make their own collages. Once it's in your hands you can do what you like with it, as long as you don't republish it.
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#43Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#44How about Microsoft including an ad blocker in the next Windows Update.
True, that would really hurt them. I can't even immediately come up with any reason why they couldn't do that, ad blockers are a very legit piece of software after all. Given how much sense this makes, what's been stopping MS from doing it so far?
Besides, not everyone wants all ads blocked. When I search on Firefox, I don't even see ads on the RHS of Google. Sometimes I want to and don't need MS deciding what I'll see. MS would lose huge if they did this.
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#45The Affero GPL. If it becomes popular, it closes the server side loophole and Goog would have to either give up on using new open source software or else open source their codebase. That's why Chris DiBona at Google Code won't let it on their servers. Search "Affero GPL" for more stuff around that. Ps: if I worked at MS and wanted to destroy Goog, I would go around offering hackers $100k or $1M to switch their licens…
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#46They could bring Brad Lidge in to save the company.
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#47How about Microsoft including an ad blocker in the next Windows Update.
But if it did that Google would block Windows users' access to their services and show a message that MS is responsible for this mess _and_ sue MS for anti-competitive practices.
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#48Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#49Eventually, the game will change, and the existing players won't be able to compete.
Re: Ask HN: What's the worst thing that could happen to Google?
#50I've pondered that very question off and on for several years. I don't know what the "worst" thing would be but some places where I think there are clouds (pun intentionality uncertain) on their horizon - in no particular order: 1) Culture fail: leading to dithering and waste that swamps the ship. Until a recent few years, Google hired and operated like Larry and Sergey's late night bull session dream: hiring "people…
1) Google hired and operated like Larry and Sergey's late night bull session.. Under Schmidt, et al. in recent years this appears to be starting to be reined in..
You do realize that Schmidt has been there since before they went public, right? ie, he was there for the hiring. They currently have slightly less headcount than at their peak, but they say (in their last earning call no less) that their main limiting factor is their ability to hire good engineering talent.
2) "Collapse of advertising.... New market makers will enter and take Google's margin on ads to $0 (in the limit)"
Any evidence to support this? Given how effective AdWords is, it seem unlikely that people will stop paying for it?
"Ads on such a "decision engine" (!) should ultimately be based purely on actual sales commission, not CPMs"
You mean kind of like the "Action based commissions" that Google is trialing with selected vendors now?
3) "They seem well on their way to failing hard on those data centers by trying to monopolize what system software runs on them."
What does this even mean? You mean they haven't open sourced their BigTable implementation? They did publish the BigTable paper - that hardly seemed "closed, arrogant" to me.
"They wound up, a few years back, outrageously overcapitalized."
Do you mean how they left money on the table when they floated using their dutch auction style of stock allocation?
Or do you mean their stock price peak of $700? That is around 20% above it's current price, and given that the US is on the tail end of a recession it would seem to me there is a fair chance that peak will be beaten within 2 years.
GOOG's current P/E ratio is around 34. That's fairly comparable to APPL (29), and Goldman Sach (36) - all seem fairly reasonable for companies showing strong growth in earnings.