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How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?

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Re: How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?

#221
post #129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What's the prevelance of conspiracy theories? About half of Americans claim creationism explains the existance of man; only about 20% say humans evolved without God. 50% of Americans think there was a wider conspiracy behind the assassination of JFK. About 35% of Americans think that global warming is a hoax. What you're doing is probably the conjunction fallacy. You see people with odd beliefs. You then have a choic…

Interesting choices: > half of Americans claim creationism explains the existance of man This is a fantastic explanation, it just doesn't originate from science. > 50% of Americans think there was a wider conspiracy behind the assassination of JFK. This is a perfectly logical thing to believe even in the absence of evidence. It's reasonable for any assassination of a prominent figure. > 35% of Americans think that gl…

Agreed. They are "odd" only because they contradict mainstream scientific belief. The strange thing is that a lot of people take mainstream scientific belief and make it into a truth so absolute they don't even realize it's a belief anymore. And that is deeply ironic given that may scientific theory is only going to be around until a better one replaces it - it's supposed to be that way.

Even the creationist theory - we have to admit that the story of a bearded man putting dinosaur bones in the ground is pretty silly. But who knows if 65% realy believe that - maybe the majority of those believes in an alternate creationist theory which basically boils down to the universe having an inherent intelligence and an inherent purpose. Which is something that I personally do believe and which people who believe in the "random co-incidence" universe will at least discuss.

Either way the only thing that can be said with absolute certainty of any belief is that it will turn out to be false.

Re: How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?

#222
It certainly is crazy. I appreciate that the author left hints and certain introspection about how it could be a self-irony. However the author seems mostly still believes in it being true. Looking at the "evidences" he put together they're mostly frail and nonsensical, especially the motive part. Rational people would certainly avoid failing prey to such obviously irrational rut. Good for being sane enough at times to remind readers about that, though.

Re: How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is?

#223
post #199

The difficult thing with this sort of article is that while it generally sounds plausible, the layperson reader doesn't know about the specifics. I don't know anything about BFO spoofing or handshake rings. This means that all I can really judge this article on is its presentation and logical reasoning, and while both seem okay, there's no way for me to evaluate the premises and finer points that the piece critically…

I don't know much of anything about that type of technology, but I think it's far more useful to judge these types of theories based upon the political side. This means questions that go like: If it was a conspiracy, it must have been carried out by some group. Who was that group? What are the goals of that group? Why did that group decide that the proposed plan was the best way to use their limited resources to achi…

This reminds me a lot of this Kurz Gesagt video:

"The Ultimate Conspiracy Debunker" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hug0rfFC_L8

The idea in this video is also that most conspiracy theories are easy to debunk without even analyzing the contents of the theory, just looking at political factors.

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