"Nighttime will be a different story. The brightness of Betelgeuse’s supernova is about the same as the quarter moon." This will last maybe a couple of weeks, but we don't expect it for 100K years.
No, but with billions of stars in our own galaxy, and more beyond, wouldn't (my misunderstanding of) the probability of witnessing a past supernova event during one's lifetime be higher than it feels like it is?
Second, supernova occur quite frequently: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_supernovae That's not even a complete list, just the "important" ones. The odds of one occurring within our lifetime that is naked-eye visible are really quite good. The odds of it being spectacular much less so. It's likely to just be a point in the sky that wasn't there last week and won't be there next week.