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The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

tomtunguz.com

21–30 of 56 posts

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#21

Staffing costs and salaries are why I'd think long and hard about starting up in San Fran with my CTO hat on. I am a long-term open-source and commercial dev, former serial CTO, with an additional specialization in recruitment software, but I also work as a recruiter. Recruitment in SF sounds like a nightmare for everyone involved. Agency fees are relatively low (10%ish, compared with 15-20% in the UK), but the servi…

    > immature state of the US agency
    > recruitment market compared to Europe
You really have no idea about mature recruitment markets. The UK recruitment industry you represent needs to be replaced with a number of short Bash scripts, so that people like you (yes, you) will lose their jobs and suffer. The sooner it will happen, the better for everyone.

I'm a Russian living in London and always mention Russian recruitment industry as an example of smoothly-functioning market with most inefficiencies resolved in a way you would expect in a modern economy. In short, agencies in Russia only deal with hiring top-level execs, equivalent to someone on £200K+ salary in the UK (i.e. less than 0.1% of the country's labour force).

The rest is handled directly by companies directly through two of the largest websites -- job.ru and hh.ru (it actually feels weird to describe this on a forum that talks about disrupting something all the time!) The traffic on those websites is enormous, the number of applicants for any vacancy is much higher than any recruiter I used in the UK ever brought in.

It costs the company a fraction of recruiter costs; it shows the applicant the company name immediately so he or she can do their own due diligence without listening to things like "top-tier investment bank" that you and your colleagues have invented. It's better for everyone. Compared to that, UK recruitment looks like car boot sale compared to eBay.

Best companies like Yandex normally also advertise on their websites with few questions dropped into a vacancy to filter out non-qualified people (see, for example http://company.yandex.com/general_info/jobs/develop_cpp.xml).

Now, please, tell me about the added value recruiters in the UK bring anyone.

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#22

Key point to take away from this is: Wages constitute the majority of the increase in startup expenses. Real estate costs add only 5% of per employee costs. The market has driven up salaries ridiculously high.

It's all driven by real estate: residential, not commercial. Salaries are higher because people need to spend so much of their income on housing, and living in a high-cost area like San Francisco requires a higher income level.

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#23

Staffing costs and salaries are why I'd think long and hard about starting up in San Fran with my CTO hat on. I am a long-term open-source and commercial dev, former serial CTO, with an additional specialization in recruitment software, but I also work as a recruiter. Recruitment in SF sounds like a nightmare for everyone involved. Agency fees are relatively low (10%ish, compared with 15-20% in the UK), but the servi…

> immature state of the US agency > recruitment market compared to Europe You really have no idea about mature recruitment markets. The UK recruitment industry you represent needs to be replaced with a number of short Bash scripts, so that people like you (yes, you) will lose their jobs and suffer. The sooner it will happen, the better for everyone. I'm a Russian living in London and always mention Russian recruitmen…

Yes, unfortunately in London either:

1) recruiter effectively steals a percent of your starting salary;

2) company is so cheap they cannot afford a recruiter;

3) big tech companies are paying extremely low in comparison to the primary sector - finance (and the most interesting stuff will still be developed in USA).

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#24

Key point to take away from this is: Wages constitute the majority of the increase in startup expenses. Real estate costs add only 5% of per employee costs. The market has driven up salaries ridiculously high.

Well, how about sharing some equity? Oh, I forgot you want to be a billionaire at the expense of early hires.

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#27

Key point to take away from this is: Wages constitute the majority of the increase in startup expenses. Real estate costs add only 5% of per employee costs. The market has driven up salaries ridiculously high.

Please clarify your assertion. Are you saying real estate price increases have contributed 5% of employee costs, or (and this is what everyone else so far reacting to your assertion is interpreting) are you saying residential real estate is 5% of employee compensation costs? Increases in SF and SV area alone over the past 10 years, I can easily buy the 5% figure; could be even smaller. But see my comment further below on the where the bar is for companies to make major changes to capture small payroll savings.

If you are describing an increase as a contributory factor, then you are obviously missing the time period that goes along with that increase you are talking about, so readers can go and look up the historical real estate pricing data.

At 6-figure high-competency-developer total compensation package (and salary) levels in the US, you are looking at the 28% marginal tax bracket for the employee. High-wage employees like these developers will typically pencil out to 100-150% fully burdened to the company. For top 20 metro areas in the US, you will tend to see most such employees spend closer to 45-50% of gross pre-tax income on shelter costs (counting PITI plus maintenance), rather than the 33% that is the historical prudent personal financial planning guideline (and those guidelines should be taken with a grain of salt for reasons I won't get into here).

With my CFO hat on, I look at the ratio of third-highest decile (with 50% pinned to the median) of PITI plus maintenance in the parts of the city I anticipate most such employees would prefer to live, to the total burdened cost per developer, to establish just how much the company is paying for shelter costs of its employees. It's a surprisingly large percentage for the top 10 metro areas, though everyone's specific numbers will be different based upon neighborhoods they choose, time period, etc. The ratio of course goes up as you travel down the skill (and payroll cost) ladder.

Even with highly-compensated and -skilled employees towards the higher end of the skill ladder, I was coming up with ratios closer to 10% than 5%. I've seen companies move mountains to capture far, far smaller payroll savings percentages.

What is much more difficult to quantify however, are the soft benefits of ready access to the large, concentrated ecosystem that grew up around the industry in that geographic area. Clearly, many companies today consider those soft benefits worth the incurred hard total compensation package costs. It's a calculation that you and your advisors should make and continually revisit once in awhile for your venture's own individual circumstances.

For some smaller outfits who already have an assembled team and are in their early development stage, it is arguable that those soft benefits do not outweigh the immediate cash flow benefits of avoiding the high cost of living areas.

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#28

Staffing costs and salaries are why I'd think long and hard about starting up in San Fran with my CTO hat on. I am a long-term open-source and commercial dev, former serial CTO, with an additional specialization in recruitment software, but I also work as a recruiter. Recruitment in SF sounds like a nightmare for everyone involved. Agency fees are relatively low (10%ish, compared with 15-20% in the UK), but the servi…

> immature state of the US agency > recruitment market compared to Europe You really have no idea about mature recruitment markets. The UK recruitment industry you represent needs to be replaced with a number of short Bash scripts, so that people like you (yes, you) will lose their jobs and suffer. The sooner it will happen, the better for everyone. I'm a Russian living in London and always mention Russian recruitmen…

Because the job market is completely different in developed countries no offence meant but former warsaw pact countries are in no way the same as the UK/USA

It looks Russian companies do more in house recruiting and employ FTE to do this where as in the developed world this is out sourced to a large extent it doesn't make sense to have full time staff recruiting unless you are the size of Ford or Google

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's one way of looking at it. The other way of looking at it is that the tech sector is one of the most profitable sectors in the US economy that rakes in millions per developer . The salaries are high because they should be: the companies are raking in record profits, why shouldn't the employees see some action?

If that was true, salaries would be high everywhere. They're high in SF because of competition for workers, and because of the high cost of living. Here's an open secret: companies willing to allow remote working are able to hire in a -fraction- of the time it takes to hire onsite, and often substantially cheaper.

Unfortunately not many companies are willing to consider that - even Slack[1] isn't interested in remote workers.

[1] https://twitter.com/mrmrs_/status/567832899854065664

Re: The Rising Costs of Scaling a Startup in San Francisco

#30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> immature state of the US agency > recruitment market compared to Europe You really have no idea about mature recruitment markets. The UK recruitment industry you represent needs to be replaced with a number of short Bash scripts, so that people like you (yes, you) will lose their jobs and suffer. The sooner it will happen, the better for everyone. I'm a Russian living in London and always mention Russian recruitmen…

Yes, unfortunately in London either: 1) recruiter effectively steals a percent of your starting salary; 2) company is so cheap they cannot afford a recruiter; 3) big tech companies are paying extremely low in comparison to the primary sector - finance (and the most interesting stuff will still be developed in USA).

re 1 Its illegal for recruiters to charge the employee in the UK

re 3 is mainly related to the poor social standing of STEM employees in the UK

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