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The 40% Rule

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Re: The 40% Rule

#41

Your annual revenue growth rate + your operating margin should equal 40% My immediate reaction: So I guess I need to cut Tarsnap's prices and slow its growth rate? On further thought, I suspect "should equal" should be "should equal or exceed".

From the original article: "If you are doing better than the 40% rule, that’s awesome."

Tarsnap is doing awesome. Keep up the good work!

Re: The 40% Rule

#42
I think this rule is a nice generalization overall but for my money I would discount natural segment growth from the company's year on year.

So, if the market (ie mobile payments) is growing 50% YoY and the company is only growing at a rate of 25% that's actually pretty bad.

Re: The 40% Rule

#44

Maybe I'm missing something important, but I don't see any rationale behind this. What makes 35% or 45% worse than 40%?

It might be better seen as an observation of a quality of a good SAAS business. Maybe no one knows.

Why is pi ~3.14159?

Re: The 40% Rule

#45

Maybe I'm missing something important, but I don't see any rationale behind this. What makes 35% or 45% worse than 40%?

It might be better seen as an observation of a quality of a good SAAS business. Maybe no one knows. Why is pi ~3.14159?

It's the numerical approximation of the ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter.

Re: The 40% Rule

#46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It might be better seen as an observation of a quality of a good SAAS business. Maybe no one knows. Why is pi ~3.14159?

It's the numerical approximation of the ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter.

[deleted]

Re: The 40% Rule

#47
post #42

I think this rule is a nice generalization overall but for my money I would discount natural segment growth from the company's year on year. So, if the market (ie mobile payments) is growing 50% YoY and the company is only growing at a rate of 25% that's actually pretty bad.

Would you always expect to grow at a rate higher than natural segment growth for a "good" company?

Re: The 40% Rule

#48
post #47
post #42

I think this rule is a nice generalization overall but for my money I would discount natural segment growth from the company's year on year. So, if the market (ie mobile payments) is growing 50% YoY and the company is only growing at a rate of 25% that's actually pretty bad.

Would you always expect to grow at a rate higher than natural segment growth for a "good" company?

That's a though question as there are always exceptions to the rule but generally I would be cautious in investing (money) in a company that is growing slower than its sector would allow for. However I would happy to invest time in such companies, but that's because I'm a consultant :-)

Re: The 40% Rule

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some go to school to learn.

You don't need to go to school to learn, so if it's just learning you're interested in school isn't a very good investment.

Where can one go to learn lab chemistry or biology? High energy particle physics? The list can go on and on...

Re: The 40% Rule

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not user growth -- it is revenue growth. If you've got a hockey-stick curve for revenue and you're losing money, that's not necessarily a problem (within reason). At some point you can start spending less on user acquisition/marketing and you'll go from losing money/growing fast to profitable/growing slower.

This explains even more. I've noticed that a lot of startups delay making any revenue, and that this might not be for bad reasons, because plenty of companies start to really suffer once they start making revenues (but fall short of what they "should" be seeing and how has they "should" be growing) not because there is anything wrong with them as businesses, but because their ADD investors lose faith and interest. So…

That makes sense. If your company doesn't have revenue, it could be worth 200 billion dollars! Once your company has actual revenue, it's pretty obvious it's worth whatever it's worth.

It's advantageous to remain in the mystery-land of hype and unrealistic expectations as long as you can keep drumming up easy investor money.

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