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How private armies will remake modern warfare

economist.com

11–20 of 67 posts

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#11
This is something of great concern indeed. Back in medieval Europe there was this nasty practice related to mercenaries that went a little like this: An ambitious noble would borrow a bunch of money from an unscrupulous banker at high interest and use the money to fund a mercenary army. The noble would use his new army to conquer a new land. He would then steal everything he can from the inhabitants, and levy maximum taxes. He would then use this money to repay the banker. If he is successful, he may continue to conquer another land.

It was this practice that kept ordinary people in abject poverty in middle ages and kept economic growth down for hundreds of years.

If this practice is revived, there will be a lot of suffering.

This is yet another one of the screw-ups of George Bush. He recruited tens of thousands of mercenaries (hundreds of thousands by some counts) at a great cost for his Iraq and Afghanistan wars, and now these people are all over the world's problem areas looking for work.

The article mentions the possibility of mercenaries doing humanitarian work, but this is not very likely. The world's poor and weak are the ones least likely to be able to afford mercenaries.

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#12
post #7

Is it really possible for someone to find motivation to risk their lives to fight for a paycheck? It would definitely motivate a few but can it motivate a large enough population making private armies feasible?

Why do people free-climb? Why do they climb Everest or K2? Why do they ride motorcycles and base-jump? Modern, peaceful life is boring for certain personality types.

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#13
post #11

This is something of great concern indeed. Back in medieval Europe there was this nasty practice related to mercenaries that went a little like this: An ambitious noble would borrow a bunch of money from an unscrupulous banker at high interest and use the money to fund a mercenary army. The noble would use his new army to conquer a new land. He would then steal everything he can from the inhabitants, and levy maximum…

Ideally these mercenaries would be used to keep order in places with poor property rights and then be paid from the resulting productivity boom, but because this looks like colonialism nobody is willing to do it.

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#14
post #7

Is it really possible for someone to find motivation to risk their lives to fight for a paycheck? It would definitely motivate a few but can it motivate a large enough population making private armies feasible?

People are motivated to be commercial fisherman, roughnecks, lumberjacks, and roofers. They are also risking their lives for a paycheck.

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#15
Overall, not much here, but I found the idea of setting up humanitarian refuges defended by private security interesting.

I've thought a bit about whether it would be technically feasible to air-drop a tele-operated fortress seed into denied territory. This could form a kernel around which to build a safe zone.

The problem I keep running up against is that it's not a technical problem. All you need is a few infiltrators to make life unbearable in a refugee camp. The security forces are likely to turn against the civilians, leading to massacres, as we've seen whenever the line between combatants and non-combatants is blurred.

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#16
post #7

Is it really possible for someone to find motivation to risk their lives to fight for a paycheck? It would definitely motivate a few but can it motivate a large enough population making private armies feasible?

People are motivated to be commercial fisherman, roughnecks, lumberjacks, and roofers. They are also risking their lives for a paycheck.

There was an article in the Guardian recently that expands on just how dangerous jobs at sea are in general: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jan/10/shipping-disast...

Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#17
post #3

> The author fears that the world is entering an era of “neomedievalism” in which the state loses its monopoly of legal force and instead other wealthy groups or individuals fund private military adventures. I've seen a narrative in few places, often from libertarians who don't embrace the state but also don't believe that people would live peacefully without it. They posit some variation of: the wealthy don't gain o…

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Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#18
post #17
post #3

> The author fears that the world is entering an era of “neomedievalism” in which the state loses its monopoly of legal force and instead other wealthy groups or individuals fund private military adventures. I've seen a narrative in few places, often from libertarians who don't embrace the state but also don't believe that people would live peacefully without it. They posit some variation of: the wealthy don't gain o…

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Re: How private armies will remake modern warfare

#19
post #8

State-sponsored defense spending of the kind the US government engages in is safe from being replaced by the private sector, ever. The cost is astronomical. Individual units like carriers, submarines, and bombers cost hundreds of millions up to several billion. The author of the article (and maybe the book?) don't make this distinction. Instead, these private mercenaries raise the possibility that non-state actors of…

The author makes this point at the end:

"In the end, though, Mr McFate tends to overstate his case. Private armies may indeed play a role in failed and failing states, but it is unlikely that modern mercenaries will become more important than the standing armies of NATO or China soon."

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