Earlier quoted context omitted.
It will cost existing CAs a lot of business. We already had free certs from StartSSL, but they were for non-commercial purposes only. I imagine a lot of shared hosting companies who currently resell SSL certs to their own customers will be switching to this next year. I will certainly use them, and will only recommend them and nobody else. The only reason I'd ever look at one of the old CAs now, is for EV certs. But…
It's very, very hard for traditional CAs to compete with free, trusted in all major platforms and with dead simple set up. Hopefully this sort of scheme, combined with the added trust of Certificate Transparency, can kill off most traditional CAs. The only reason I would still buy 1 certificate is for wildcard support.
I've used StartSSL, but somehow messed up the process and can't issue a new cert unless I pay to revoke the current. Even then their free certs expire in a year.
The only other free cert I found was from Comodo, but it expires after 90 days.
So, I wouldn't exactly say the only reason to pay for a cert is for wildcard support.