Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yea, but I feel it's a good heuristic, and I'd like to hold onto it. It seems like a crude, non-mathematical formulation of Solomonoff theory. Also, Ockham's razor is the best argument in support of the Multiverse view.
Ockham's razor is a terrible heuristic, and one of the reasons the Multiverse view gets so much skepticism is that Ockham's razor is the best argument for it. Consider: Ockham himself believed that "not multiplying entities beyond necessity" was an argument for the existence of God and an argument against the existence of everything else. That is, once you had an omnipotent god, everything else was just a product of…
Also, if you don't have enough mathematics to understand ellipses, then ellipses are quite complicated. I'm comfortable with ellipse-based theories needing additional evidence in this case.