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Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

spiegel.de

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Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"The Spiegel has turned into yellow press lately" that's your very own personal opinion but the way you serve it (as absolute truth) is yellow. Not to add in various other mishaps in your argument (eg "kind of "left"", thanks for unveiling ...). In short that's nice propaganda (albeit not very effective here).

1. No, there are a lot of sources, that report the same. SPON (Spiegel Online) turned from being a good source for news into click-bait (~beginning 2014). The editorial staff changed: Didn't the editor in chief come from Germany's most famous yellow press gazette (die Bild) [1]? 2. You have a basically American audience on HN. I underpinned "kind of left" with the "basic income discussion", which -with no doubt- the…

I admit that I didn't know about the Bild connection (and yes it does speak volumes). Btw, Bild editors can be accused of anything but leftism and you said that there was significant controversy with Spiegel. Maybe there is still hope for the medium.

Still this particular piece is well written and (seems) quite well researched.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So, what is the answer? Wait for poor-people parity? We can only move forward in the US if all of the other poor people in the world are at the same level? And, if that is the case, which direction do we go? Do we push the poor people in the US down or raise up the poor people elsewhere or a combination of both? I'd rather raise others up while helping our own. Free markets are fine as long as they don't become a rac…

You've forgotten the original question. The question was whether we should harm very poor people in other countries in order to benefit not very poor at all people in the US. I argued that it would be horrendously immoral to do so.

How do we pull up the poor when the elites filter the entire economy through their pockets?

If the goal is to pull everyone out of poverty, is there a way to accelerate the process? I'd say, yes. Predicate the elites selling their people's labor to wealthier powers on improving labor's situation in that country. They are not doing it on their own, at least not fast as they could.

I think we can help both the poor people in the US and everywhere else. We just need to squeeze the top a bit harder.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#263
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They certainly are. But even Germany has had mediocre performance compared to the rest of the rich world.

Your meta comment is probably the most informed one I've read in this discussion. One aspect worth considering is _why_ the article is representing such a different perspective to the perspective USA readers would consider "sensible". A reasonable answer on the growth side is that Germany's perspective is not solely focused on GDP, other factors such as employment and wage growth are important. On the stimulus side t…

Germany has stagnated in employment, wage growth, and expected GDP growth (as measured by equities) compared to Japan and the US.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#264
post #175
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They certainly are. But even Germany has had mediocre performance compared to the rest of the rich world.

While adding 20+ million people from a collapsed economy and rebuilding much of that.

That happened 25 years ago. I was only meaning to reference growth since 2008. it's not clear why recent growth should be impacted by an ancient supply shock.

The same country's economy grew at double digit rates while recovering from their entire country being leveled to the ground. [1] It's not clear that supply shocks [necessarily] suppress growth at all.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wirtschaftswunder

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#265

If I were a rich software engineer feeling angry at people who criticised the capitalist system we had, perhaps whilst failing to acknowledge that people in America die because they can't pay health insurance, or are homeless because they can't afford housing, or end up eating what they find in someone's trash because they can't afford to buy food, I think that I'd do one thing: I'd consider whether perhaps I might b…

or are homeless because they can't afford housing, or end up eating what they find in someone's trash because they can't afford to buy food There's a bit of a straw man or, at least, mischaracterization hidden in here. It's true that the U.S. does a pretty poor job of dealing with the mentally ill and those at the very bottom who simply cannot take care of themselves. And I think if you push people, even those on the…

A lot of that cheap food will cause major health problems if it is your main foodsource.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A third of the population in the richest nation on earth lives in poverty. According to you, that's not a problem because even poorer people in Bangladesh are slightly less poor than they would be if American companies had never employed them. What kind of callous person could look around at all the suffering and think this system's working great? Or do you not look around at all, holed up in a tacky mansion of your…

95% of the biggest nation in the world (or maybe second biggest, no one really knows the exact pop of India and China) lives in far deeper poverty than poor americans. Many of them experience actual suffering - not enough food, no flush toilet, no power. What, precisely, do you believe poor Americans are suffering from? The only concrete answer I usually hear is envy (I.e. "oh noes the inequality"). http://economix.b…

Don't discount the economic impact of a human emotion. The entire global economy operates on what billions of humans want, and a good portion of them don't even need most of the things that they want.

We have an entire industry--advertising--devoted to making people want more things.

So something like envy, which is to say wanting something that someone else has, is a significant driving factor behind economic activity. Mental suffering and physical suffering amount to the same thing: unhappiness with the current state of affairs. It does not matter if one person wants to not die of cholera while another wants a new smartphone with a faster processor. It only matters what that person is willing to do or to forego to get that thing.

The first person may be willing to spend a week with a shovel in a pit filled with sewage to get adequate sanitation for the rest of the year. The second person already has a flush toilet, complete with sewer and treatment plant, so maybe they're just giving up new tires for their second car.

All of economics is just individual humans making choices about what they want.

Poor Americans have been told throughout their lives that they can have a certain lifestyle--pretty good in comparison to a lot of other countries--if they are willing to follow certain rules and spend some time working rather than playing. Many of them are finding that to be a lie. So perhaps they are suffering instead from a perceived betrayal of a social compact? Everyone willing to produce shall be able to consume in equal measure?

What I am seeing through my biased eyes is that significant limitations are being placed on ordinary people's ability to produce valuable goods and services, and so their ability to consume is falling below that required by their former customary standard of living.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#267

If I were a rich software engineer feeling angry at people who criticised the capitalist system we had, perhaps whilst failing to acknowledge that people in America die because they can't pay health insurance, or are homeless because they can't afford housing, or end up eating what they find in someone's trash because they can't afford to buy food, I think that I'd do one thing: I'd consider whether perhaps I might b…

what about the middle class? not everyone is so poor that they need welfare. we're having a real problem now of people who make just enough money that they can survive on their own income but they can't prosper because of wage stagnation and rising cost of living.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#268
post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the issue you're pointing at is that capitalism doesn't function well in a post-scarcity environment, which we're entering. A literally post-scarcity environment is not a problem because it makes the price of everything zero. Food is free, shelter is free, medical care is free, you don't need a job. Do whatever you want all day, it's not a problem. The problem is that what we're entering is not a post-scarcity envi…

I've heard the idea that banks are keeping foreclosed houses off the market a few times. Do you know of a reference that describes the scale of that?

> I've heard the idea that banks are keeping foreclosed houses off the market a few times. Do you know of a reference that describes the scale of that?

This estimates the number at 85-90% of foreclosures:

http://realestate.aol.com/blog/2012/07/13/shadow-reo-as-much...

You can literally see it with your own eyes. Walk down a street in a working class neighborhood. You'll see plenty of homes with a piece of paper on the front door saying the house has been foreclosed and "winterized" but no realtor's sign or other indication that the house is on the market.

Not selling foreclosures is completely rational behavior for the banks. The houses are usually on their books at the price the original owner paid for it, so selling it at the current market value causes them to take an accounting loss and makes the bank's CEO look bad. Meanwhile the homes are still assets they can collateralize and trade as securities without actually allowing anyone to live in them, which is all the bank was ever interested in anyway, and not allowing anyone to live in it keeps overall housing prices higher, which is more important to mortgage banks than anyone else in the world. Meanwhile the value of the home isn't actually going down, which is what would happen if they sold them at scale.

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's possible to estimate this using public, easily Googlable data: http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=a7jenngfc4um7_ Total U.S. GDP is about $15T. Of that, $8T is compensation of employees, so roughly half accrues to wage-earners (this ranges from the janitor to the CEO, but is probably exhibits a bit less inequality than returns to capital. $5.6T is gross operating surplus: this is profit that accrues to i…

Just a small correction. US GDP is closer to $17 trillion. Going by the IMF and World Bank.

The public data set I used goes only up to 2011. We've grown since, but since the numbers for other components also are c. 2011, it's better to compare them directly. (Actually, the financials are from present-day, so it's not an exact comparison, but if anything the error will be in favor of private companies being a greater portion of the economy.)

Re: Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails

#270
post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We have no successful model for dealing with this. Canada seems to have had pretty good success with that basic income town. And no major western democracy has really attempted it yet. I like it because it lets you have a completely deregulated economy, because both employer and employee would be participating in voluntary negotiation without a huge bias towards the employer - when one side is starving and need she…

In theory that sounds great, but what happens if everyone says "fuck it!" and just starts taking the basic income? I think it's fairly obvious that with nobody paying taxes there is not enough government revenue to pay and thus the system falls apart. Let's call this 0% workforce participation. On the other hand, if everyone works really hard and is super productive and starts businesses and etc then at some point th…

Using only the statistics skimmed from elsewhere in the thread, a 1% workforce participation rate feeds everyone in the US, and several other countries that import from the US. A 9% rate does that plus manufacturing all goods. I think it is not unreasonable to think that 10% of all people able to work might just do so because they want to do something meaningful with their lives.

If everyone takes the basic income, they will spend their 16 free hours a day doing things that they find value in, but not necessarily valuable enough to others to support their basic needs.

In the degenerate case, a self-sustaining automated economy produces a massive surplus for human consumption. Robotic slave labor, programmed not to want anything or complain, will serve all your basic needs.

A good portion of the robotic production army is already in place, but it still requires human maintenance and operators. All that is required is a sub-economy that produces more than it consumes, and requires zero inputs from anyone outside it.

Autotrophic organisms already do this. Everything else on the planet eats them. If you want to feed more people for free, you just design a better algae or plankton, and they build themselves. The rest of the ecosystem simply builds on top of them.

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