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Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

antipope.org

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Re: Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

#2
This is a very self-aware piece, and worth taking in. But here's the buried TL;DR:

* It's going to superficially resemble 2014.

* However, every object in the real world is going to be providing a constant stream of metadata about its environment — and I mean every object.

* The frameworks used for channeling this firehose of environment data are going to be insecure and ramshackle, with foundations built on decades-old design errors.

* The commercial internet funding model of 1994 — advertising — is still influential, and its blind-spots underpin the attitude of the internet of things to our privacy and security.

* How physical products are manufactured and distributed may be quite different from 2014. In particular, expect more 3D printing at end-points and less long-range shipment of centrally manufactured products. But in many cases, how we use the products may be the same.

* The continuing trend towards fewer people being employed in manufacturing, and greater automation of service jobs, will continue.

Re: Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

#5

I must say that I'm almost enjoying more Charlie's blog than Charlie's books :) If you scroll back a bit, there is also a very interesting piece about Scottish independence, with extensive comments: http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2014/06/the-scot...

wow really whether it? if so I will visit this blog

Re: Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

#6

I must say that I'm almost enjoying more Charlie's blog than Charlie's books :) If you scroll back a bit, there is also a very interesting piece about Scottish independence, with extensive comments: http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2014/06/the-scot...

I thought his piece on the role of the UK "independent" deterrent was particularly good:

http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2013/04/on-the-u...

Having been a child in the 70s and 18 in 1983, the year of Able Archer, I still have the same lurking existential horror (not helped, as Charlie also mentions, by having seen Threads more often than is wise from a peace of mind perspective).

Re: Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

#8
post #2

This is a very self-aware piece, and worth taking in. But here's the buried TL;DR: * It's going to superficially resemble 2014. * However, every object in the real world is going to be providing a constant stream of metadata about its environment — and I mean every object. * The frameworks used for channeling this firehose of environment data are going to be insecure and ramshackle, with foundations built on decades-…

What got me was advertising is still the monetisation of the internet / of things.

I would assume that because the next major product is going to be data (from pavement slabs !) that it is data that will be monetised - somehow. But I would assume that IP rights become DP - Data Property. And I charge people for use of my data (from my underpants) and they charge me for the analysis of the aggregated data - if we are sensible in a similar manner to internt exchanges now - mostly up balances down.

Hmm. Nice to have some new thoughts

Re: Charles Stross YAPCA keynote: The world in 2034

#9
post #2

This is a very self-aware piece, and worth taking in. But here's the buried TL;DR: * It's going to superficially resemble 2014. * However, every object in the real world is going to be providing a constant stream of metadata about its environment — and I mean every object. * The frameworks used for channeling this firehose of environment data are going to be insecure and ramshackle, with foundations built on decades-…

What got me was advertising is still the monetisation of the internet / of things. I would assume that because the next major product is going to be data (from pavement slabs !) that it is data that will be monetised - somehow. But I would assume that IP rights become DP - Data Property. And I charge people for use of my data (from my underpants) and they charge me for the analysis of the aggregated data - if we are…

A "data property" system that gives the majority of people rights over their personal data is never going to be built. We're far more likely to see "data feudalism", in which the systems you require to get by in the world extract your data as a toll for living in the modern world. In return, you get a certain limited amount of security against other*, nastier, agents trying to get at your data. See https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2012/12/feudal_sec.ht...

(there's an excellent book called "Information Feudalism" on related IP issues)

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