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Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

cjohnson.io

141–150 of 212 posts

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"majority of important software innovations have come from the open bazaar, not the cathedral. The Internet; The Web; Firefox, WebKit; GNU/Linux, Unix; HTTP; SSH, SSL, AES; Python, Ruby, C, C++." The vast majority of those were not developed by an open bazaar, but rather by focused cathedral organizations: the early Internet, UNIX, C, C++, SSH, Firefox, SSL. The bazaar maintains them or cloned the success of others (…

> but most of the large enterprises (banks, Telcos, etc) I've visted in my consulting run WebSphere or IIS and have never heard of HAproxy or Ngnix. WebSphere is an app server rather than a straight http server. The equivalent to Apache/Nginx from IBM would be IBM HTTP Server, which is an extension of Apache.

I didn't want to really get into the distinction (Apache is an app server too if you consider mod_*). Yes, IHS is common and they will often use that.

As part of my broader point, IHS is a product, one of many Apache-based products. They're not using the open source project code directly. Even if IBM's "innovations" are modest, they're using it because IHS and the WAS plugin work best with WebSphere. I've managed to convince some to avoid this combo in favour of a simple HAproxy, but it's hard.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#142
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But there is absolutely nothing to the way that capital markets work that suggests regulation somehow breaks it I don't think anyone is claiming that regulation necessarily breaks capitalism. It just tends to. Most regulations have very obvious innovation-stifling or friction-causing side effects that are deleterious to the free market.

The American government does this, but it mostly does it on behalf of the same folks trumpeting, to the masses, the virtues of capitalism as an ideology and end in itself. Anarcho-capitalism, really, or nearly so, although the ruling class itself is certainly not anarcho-capitalist of course. The ruling class has a clear interest in subverting free markets to keep the established players in power and any rivals out,…

You know, I don't think that you and I are in that much disagreement on some of the basics.

I think we'd both agree that Capitalism can be good. Government serves a purpose in maintaining the framework of items you listed. We also agree that the corrupt ruling class combination of the Government and Capitalists (along with way too much of the media these days, I'd add) is a disaster.

Where I'd imagine that we differ is that I think that the pendulum has swung way too far in the direction of the State. With a debt that is now bigger than our GDP and the last hundred years of mostly one-way growth of government and its agencies, the Government is a huge black hole for money that encourages, institutionalizes, and legalizes ever-increasing degrees of corruption.

The best way forward that I see is to cut back the size and scope of Government. Get it back to doing the basics that it was commissioned to do (The Constitution) and not much else unless there's enough impetus for those functions that would drive Constitutional Amendments. If the incentive to sway law-making power would be reduced, much of the cronyism that exists today would disappear. The ruling class would be significantly diminished.

Sure, Wal Mart might have more economic power, but its lobbying and legislative power would be drastically reduced. At the end of the day, I have a choice to shop at Wal Mart or to not shop at Wal Mart. I don't have a choice regarding paying taxes to feed the behemoth of a Government that does not provide expected reasonable value for those taxes... not to mention the negatives of crippling public education, moving to a lowest-common-denominator-but-still-expensive healthcare system, etc.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#143
post #44

The thing about capitalism, and our dismal history with capitalism-at-large, the "assume the other party is a shitbag" idea is so fundamentally ingrained in our cultural What's that got to do with Capitalism? Correct me if I'm making a straw man, but the alternative to capitalism is to remove negotiation from individual interactions by implementing more State-heavy mechanisms like Communism. Isn't creating a crap-ton…

There are plenty of alternatives to Capitalism that do not involve State-heavy mechanisms. For instance, in Communism, despite your assertion to the contrary, there is actually no state at all.

Just because Marx and Engels put that in their manifesto doesn't mean that any system that has the features of Communism would even theoretically be possible without force (a state).

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#144
> under the assumption the other player is a selfish dickhead. In a capitalist environment like America's, with no social controls or other factors besides ruthless logic, this is the default behavior.

Sigh. One of the most prominent features of capitalism is that it relies on mutually beneficial exchanges.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#145

> under the assumption the other player is a selfish dickhead. In a capitalist environment like America's, with no social controls or other factors besides ruthless logic, this is the default behavior. Sigh. One of the most prominent features of capitalism is that it relies on mutually beneficial exchanges.

That's the theory. The implementation must take into account search costs and due diligence costs. In a low-trust society due diligence costs rise, dramatically shrinking the number of possible exchanges, which then raises search costs, shrinking possible exchanges all the more.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#146

> under the assumption the other player is a selfish dickhead. In a capitalist environment like America's, with no social controls or other factors besides ruthless logic, this is the default behavior. Sigh. One of the most prominent features of capitalism is that it relies on mutually beneficial exchanges.

Ideal capitalism. Much of modern capitalism is about getting the person on the other side of the table into a desperate enough situation, that they have to take your 'mutually beneficial' offer. I present as Exhibit A Greenspan's speeches on lowering worker mobility during his tenure.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#147
Just having the right culture is not a solution. You can have a culture that routinely goes for Pareto optimality. If that's not an evolutionary stable strategy, the moment you introduce agents that choose the Nash equilibrium instead, they would start winning and gaining ground.

I wonder about a different solution though: can you design a mechanism that transforms the Nash equilibrium of a Prisoner's dilemma game into the Pareto optimal outcome? Something similar to escrow?

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionarily_stable_strategy

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#148
post #104

This explains, at the very least, why rampant partisanship is an inevitability in a large Democracy, despite it being worse off for everybody (including politicians themselves). Instead of saying "in a large Democracy" it should say "in a large Democracy which uses plurality voting." Some voting systems (for instance Condorcet compatible ones) do not encourage partisanship in the same way as plurality does. In fact o…

Please note that the post gives an extremely bad impression. First of all, pareto efficiency and nash equilibria exist both in capitalism and other economic systems. And the obvious alternative economic system : centrally planned economies, are very much nash equilibria (if they are stable at all). But the second impression he gives is also very wrong. By definition, everyone is a "selfish dickhead" both in Nash equi…

This.

The above said, the learning algorithm has flaws that can make Pareto optimality impossible (economists call this market failure). This is where we inject aspects of central planning into the modern economy, with debatable results.

For example, it presumes a level of information symmetry through the price mechanism. Markets begin to fail when people don't/can't understand what they're buying - the "market for lemons". This is why we have an SEC and mandatory , standardized, information filing for publicly traded companies for example.

Another is high levels of uncertainty about the sudden need to buy something, which is so expensive it can wipe you out - eg. Major surgery. Insurance markets cover this. But we all have observed the debates and challenges of managing a sizeable and representative risk pool.

Intellectual property and digitized products (music, movies, TV shows, software) also has a fascinating role here in that it is a public good that is open to free ridership unless (a) the good is a secret and is accessed only as a service or (b) the government enforces a temporary monopoly on an aspect of the product. The latter may be past its prime given the abuse of patents and copyrights leading to non-Pareto outcomes.

Re: Anti-Tesla sentiment and the death of optimism

#149

I've been thinking of patents as nukes during the Cold War lately. Superpowers (US/USSR, Apple/Google) acquire very large nuclear/patent arsenals under the guise of protection/defense. These arsenals are relatively cheap for superpowers to build, but they are expensive for small states (small countries/small businesses) to acquire. The US and USSR were roughly equivalent in their arsenals so it made little sense for…

Good analogy. But you got the countries around the wrong way with "(US/USSR, Apple/Google)". The resemblence to the cold war is even more striking when you realise that this also parallels planned economy vs free market. It will be interesting to see if we get the same result at the company level as we did at the country level.

human culture is a fractal

relevant xkcd --> http://xkcd.com/1095/

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