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Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

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Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#31

The ‘Made in USA’ slide (10) is nonsense. It shows a shift from non-USA OSes, Symbian and Linux to 'Made in USA' OSes, Android, iOS and Windows phone. But Android is built on Linux! "USA controlled" may be a better way of putting it.

Android has a Linux kernel, but most of the OS is not what you'd find on a normal Linux desktop distro. It was started by Android, Inc. in California and is now developed almost entirely by Google.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#32

From Slide 9: mobile usage as a % of web usage is now 25%. It was 14% last year. This seems contrary to what we hear about native apps dominating smartphone usage. Obviously that web usage isn't "HTML5 Apps" per se and I'm sure apps dominate services like Facebook, Yelp, etc ... but that number and growth seems very significant.

It doesn't seem like that necessarily conflicts with native apps dominating smartphone usage - there's a significant number of use cases where a user wouldn't use an app, such as reading news articles linked from an app like Feedly. Mobile use is growing fast enough (and desktop is flat to shrinking) that a doubling of web usage may just represent the overall shift in usage patterns (i.e. desktop consumption of web moving to mobile.)

Slide 16 supports the apps over native story: app revenue is dominating browser advertising on an increasing basis.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#34
post #23

An open question - is Mary Meeker still taken as seriously as she was 15 years ago? I don't talk to enough people in the investor community to know either way.

Mary and others like Steve Milunovich at Morgan Stanley were in a rather unique place and time 15 years ago because the Internet was just becoming this very-important-thing and very few people really understood it. Today's a lot different. That said, this presentation is widely viewed as pretty important annual snapshot of certain trends. Note though that Mary is at KPCB [Edit: Corrected] these days so her focus is p…

Very impressive and helpful data/charts in the KPCB report. That being said, there is a saying on Wall St that if an economist (or anyone) could predict future, she wouldn't need any employment. One usually gets wiser as she ages, but I don't think predicting future is easier than 15 years ago.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#36

An open question - is Mary Meeker still taken as seriously as she was 15 years ago? I don't talk to enough people in the investor community to know either way.

Was Meeker ever taken seriously? Her predictions were so bad that they got her and Morgan Stanley sued.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#37

Tablet growth still booming, while iPad growth has slowed considerably and is causing analysts to rethink importance of iPad/tablets. Slide 96 helps tell the story - cheap generic tablets market in underdeveloped countries as tv supplement/replacements.

iPad growth has slowed as it was originally designed as a high end device, so most people who would buy one have bought theirs (same with those replacing computers with them). It's hard to justify spending the money on something that only offers a slight portability upgrade on a MacBook Air unless you do something with it unique, like read comics.

The interesting piece is overall tablet use growing, as the non-iPad options continue to improve and offer a cheap alternative for doing things like going to a coffee shop or browsing on CalTrain.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was unviewable due to the slowness. Just linking to the PDF on a static webserver somewhere would have been far superior.

We added a link to the pdf beneath the slidedeck. We should have considered doing that in the first place - hindsight is 20/20. It's listed above but here it is again: http://www.kpcb.com/file/kpcb-internet-trends-2014

[deleted]

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#39
post #36

An open question - is Mary Meeker still taken as seriously as she was 15 years ago? I don't talk to enough people in the investor community to know either way.

Was Meeker ever taken seriously? Her predictions were so bad that they got her and Morgan Stanley sued.

They got sued for pumping and dumping tech stocks. Andy Kessler's writings make both Mary Meeker and Henry Blodget sound like really shady characters. He made Meeker sound a bit thick.

Re: Mary Meeker's 2014 Internet Trends

#40
post #10
post #8

Original PDF: http://s3.amazonaws.com/kpcbweb/files/85/Internet_Trends_201...

I recommend this url instead. It will redirect to the PDF file and will always redirect to the most up to date version: http://www.kpcb.com/file/kpcb-internet-trends-2014

Alright, we'll change the url to that. Previous url: http://www.kpcb.com/internet-trends.
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