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How to win at rock-paper-scissors

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Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#3
Interesting how the pattern "rock-paper-scissors" is followed. If this is because of the name, Swedish people, for example, would follow another patterns as they call the game "rock-scissors-paper" (Sten-sax-påse).

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#4
post #3

Interesting how the pattern "rock-paper-scissors" is followed. If this is because of the name, Swedish people, for example, would follow another patterns as they call the game "rock-scissors-paper" (Sten-sax-påse).

I wonder if it has less to do with the name and more to do with which hand beats which.

That is, if you lose with a rock, you have lost to a paper, hence a paper might start looking like a better option.

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#6
TLDR: Players are more likely to pick the move that just won.

To exploit that, the best strategy would probably be to always pick the move that wasn't played. Should give you an edge until your opponent notices your pattern :)

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#7
post #3

Interesting how the pattern "rock-paper-scissors" is followed. If this is because of the name, Swedish people, for example, would follow another patterns as they call the game "rock-scissors-paper" (Sten-sax-påse).

I wonder if it has less to do with the name and more to do with which hand beats which. That is, if you lose with a rock, you have lost to a paper, hence a paper might start looking like a better option.

That's what I remember from looking into this a few years back.

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#8
post #3

Interesting how the pattern "rock-paper-scissors" is followed. If this is because of the name, Swedish people, for example, would follow another patterns as they call the game "rock-scissors-paper" (Sten-sax-påse).

I wonder if it has less to do with the name and more to do with which hand beats which. That is, if you lose with a rock, you have lost to a paper, hence a paper might start looking like a better option.

Ah, that makes sense. It would lead to a lot of rock-rock etc., as the winner stays and the loser moves to the winner hand. I wonder what the players pick then? If both move up one it would lead to an even larger number of same-hand encounters.

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#9
"The game of rock-paper-scissors exhibits collective cyclic motions which cannot be understood by the Nash equilibrium concept."

This is complete bullshit. It is well understood that if your opponent is not playing an optimum strategy, you can gain an advantage by shifting away from the Nash equillibrium yourself.

Example: Image a player that always picks "Paper". By shifting away from a random choice (Nash optimum) to just always selecting "Scissors" will net you a 100% win rate.

This is a common trick utilized in poker, where good players will apply a certain playing style, while placing smaller bets, let their opponent adjust to your style and then suddenly change to a more aggressive style. You can take advantage of the fact that your opponent is trying to capitalize on your previous strategy. He has now introduced a sub-optimal element into his game, which you in turn can capitalize on.

As in the previous example, imagine we wager $1 on rock paper scissors. I pick paper for the first 100 rounds, you always pick scissors and you always win. Now we suddenly change the bet to one million dollars a hand. I change my selection to "Rock", while you play scissors, as that has given you a perfect win rate so far, and I win the money.

Re: How to win at rock-paper-scissors

#10
post #3

Interesting how the pattern "rock-paper-scissors" is followed. If this is because of the name, Swedish people, for example, would follow another patterns as they call the game "rock-scissors-paper" (Sten-sax-påse).

I never thought of that actually. In Dutch we say paper-rock-scissors (blad-steen-schaar).
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