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Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

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Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#3
Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and depth of reasoning; then there's the AI that stems from creating an artificial brain by reverse-engineering the human brain, but we are an awfully long way from doing that, mostly because we can't expect to unravel in a few decades what evolution has spent millennia perfecting.

It looks to me, a layman, that the only approach that holds any water is the first one. But then again, it mostly looks like people are implementing software based on a flawed understanding of cognitive functions and basically hoping that something magic happens. How can a scattershot approach like this ever produce anything even remotely resembling human intelligence?

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#4

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

"mostly because we can't expect to unravel in a few decades what evolution has spent millennia perfecting" - that's not the kind of thinking that got us driving cars, flying planes, coding computers and altering genes. Evolution doesn't have a brain.

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#5

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

I'm extremely skeptical of this, even though I spend a good deal of my time trying to automate machine 2 machine communication (which gets me thinking about this a lot). I also think that there's a good amount of hubris in these scientists believing that the brain is something that can be emulated by computing power of any kind...are we sure it's an apt analogy (brain as computer)?

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#6

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

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Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#7
post #4

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

"mostly because we can't expect to unravel in a few decades what evolution has spent millennia perfecting" - that's not the kind of thinking that got us driving cars, flying planes, coding computers and altering genes. Evolution doesn't have a brain.

Evolution is a brain.

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#8

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

You don't need to emulate brains to create intelligence anymore than you have to imitate birds to build airplanes.

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#9

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

Evolution did just fine, and it's far more scattershot than our current efforts at AI.

You're also crucially missing the possibility that someone comes up with an intelligent algorithm that doesn't mirror the human brain in much detail, but still manages to outperform it. Think of flight: inventing flapping machines didn't turn out to be very useful, but we figured out a workaround that was far more efficient. The most interesting (terrifying?) AI research is along these lines.

Re: Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines

#10

Am I the only one who's skeptical about the feasibility of AI? As I see it there are two ways to think about AI: first there's the kind of AI that arises from software emulating parts of the human brain based on our current understanding of its inner functioning and produces human-like intelligence, so even if the mechanisms are different from those actually employed by the brain the output is similar in response and…

Is it feasible? Yes, absolutely. Are we anywhere near to 'human-level' AI? No, not by a long shot. How long will it take? Will we ever make it? Very hard to know.
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