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Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

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Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#11
post #10

What kind of draw can you put on these batteries? An 85kWh battery may be more useful in every garage than this article claims. The added expense is claimed to "keep consumers away", but really it means things like solar panels become more useful. If you are able to charge your car via power you generate and it can supply enough power back to run your home, you can get some huge benefits. You can have power at night…

So how would this work? During the daytime, you have your car with you at work, away from your solar panels at home. When your car is at home, it is night, so it is not charging then. During a power outage, are you really going to drain your source of transportation to power your house? Especially if you don't know when the power is coming back on to refresh your car batteries? I know I wouldn't -- I'd just fire up a gas generator when the power goes out for an extended time, and use that to also recharge the electric car.

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#12
post #11
post #10

What kind of draw can you put on these batteries? An 85kWh battery may be more useful in every garage than this article claims. The added expense is claimed to "keep consumers away", but really it means things like solar panels become more useful. If you are able to charge your car via power you generate and it can supply enough power back to run your home, you can get some huge benefits. You can have power at night…

So how would this work? During the daytime, you have your car with you at work, away from your solar panels at home. When your car is at home, it is night, so it is not charging then. During a power outage, are you really going to drain your source of transportation to power your house? Especially if you don't know when the power is coming back on to refresh your car batteries? I know I wouldn't -- I'd just fire up a…

During the daytime, your solar panels are dumping power onto the live grid. The same grid your car at work is plugged into. And all your neighbors'. And every other car in the garage or parking lot.

During an outage, unless it's a weather-critical incident or a disaster, the convenience of not needing to go and power a generator (and thus mess with needing to refuel it, and depleting your supplies which will be more useful in a real disaster) would likely be better. If it makes sense to power up a generator, then do that. It would also be charging your car.

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#13
post #11
post #10

What kind of draw can you put on these batteries? An 85kWh battery may be more useful in every garage than this article claims. The added expense is claimed to "keep consumers away", but really it means things like solar panels become more useful. If you are able to charge your car via power you generate and it can supply enough power back to run your home, you can get some huge benefits. You can have power at night…

So how would this work? During the daytime, you have your car with you at work, away from your solar panels at home. When your car is at home, it is night, so it is not charging then. During a power outage, are you really going to drain your source of transportation to power your house? Especially if you don't know when the power is coming back on to refresh your car batteries? I know I wouldn't -- I'd just fire up a…

It's not about "the" outage (a rare event), its about all of the batteries working together to make that event even rarer and make the grid more robust during normal operation.

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#14
post #11
post #10

What kind of draw can you put on these batteries? An 85kWh battery may be more useful in every garage than this article claims. The added expense is claimed to "keep consumers away", but really it means things like solar panels become more useful. If you are able to charge your car via power you generate and it can supply enough power back to run your home, you can get some huge benefits. You can have power at night…

So how would this work? During the daytime, you have your car with you at work, away from your solar panels at home. When your car is at home, it is night, so it is not charging then. During a power outage, are you really going to drain your source of transportation to power your house? Especially if you don't know when the power is coming back on to refresh your car batteries? I know I wouldn't -- I'd just fire up a…

>During a power outage, are you really going to drain your source of transportation to power your house?

It's important to look at the numbers here.

An 85 kWH battery can drive 300 miles, or power the typical household for 3 days. Why wouldn't you power your house for a day if only meant 100 miles less range? How long are you expecting the power to be out? You may have a gas generator, but not everybody does. And if your car could act as a UPS until the generator kicked back in, why not?

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#15

Interesting fact presented in the beginning of the article: all the government funded research/companies went belly up. Food for thought: Is it because of the sheer difficulty of such ventures? Or is it because the money went to the wrong hands?

I don't know the details of these government funded companies, but it doesn't seem to surprising. I wouldn't expect a government funded restaurant to be able to compete with privately funded restaurants either. It's pretty basic economics regarding how incentives work.

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#16
post #9
post #6

The statement at the end of the article that "[e]ven if the company fails to sell 500,000 vehicles a year, some of the gigafactory’s batteries could be used in the stationary storage market (which helps explain why he wants to build in the southwest, where solar and wind power farms can be incorporated.)" doesn't make sense to me as a reason even worth consideration, especially given in the same article is the statem…

The value of a finished battery pack is about $20 / lb. Truck transport across the US costs about $0.35 / lb. So indeed, proximity to installation locations makes less than 2% difference.

Reno is ~235 miles from the Fremont factory, or about 4 hours.

The gigaplant is going to be a critical part of Tesla's supply chain, and distance is critical. Better to have your main component within a short drive, and let cells/packs destined for others make the long slog via rail or ship.

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#17
post #4

Interesting fact presented in the beginning of the article: all the government funded research/companies went belly up. Food for thought: Is it because of the sheer difficulty of such ventures? Or is it because the money went to the wrong hands?

I'm a founder of an energy storage company, Lightsail Energy. To say all government funded energy storage companies went belly up is an exaggeration. Many still survive, although you will note a strange anti-correlation between government funding and survival. In my opinion a lot of money did go in the wrong hands. The main problem is that the government is totally confused as to its actual funding strategy -- you ne…

> This was most problematic for the DOE Government Loan Guarantee program -- after Solyndra (a major recipient) went belly up, the government called on their debt in a series of energy storage companies, particularly A123 and Beacon Power. That was the bankruptcy trigger.

Is it possible Tesla paid their DOE loan back early to prevent any volatility from that liability hanging out there?

Re: Tesla's 'Dangerously Ambitious' Gigafactory Could Save U.S. Battery Business

#20
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm a founder of an energy storage company, Lightsail Energy. To say all government funded energy storage companies went belly up is an exaggeration. Many still survive, although you will note a strange anti-correlation between government funding and survival. In my opinion a lot of money did go in the wrong hands. The main problem is that the government is totally confused as to its actual funding strategy -- you ne…

> This was most problematic for the DOE Government Loan Guarantee program -- after Solyndra (a major recipient) went belly up, the government called on their debt in a series of energy storage companies, particularly A123 and Beacon Power. That was the bankruptcy trigger. Is it possible Tesla paid their DOE loan back early to prevent any volatility from that liability hanging out there?

Hard to speculate, but it probably gave them a lot of leverage.
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