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Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

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Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#21
Non WSJ Paywall article

http://www.businessinsider.com/comcast-to-buy-time-warner-ca...

This is crazy I don't see how this can get past any sort of anti-trust. Particularly with Comcast's stake in NBC. Comcast would own both the content and distribution of too large a chunk of the broadcast industry.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#22

If this merger goes thru, (and the AnitTrust people would have to be really asleep at the wheel for that) two things are certain: 1) Americans can expect some of the worst Cable price gouging they have ever seen 2) NetFlix, Amazon Prime et al will become really popular as a result of all the customers saying "FU ComcastWarner"

I don't think your second premise is entirely true, since Comcast doesn't provide enough bandwidth for streaming services like Netflix and YouTube already. Those services are going to become harder and harder to use if anything.

I have no problem with Netflix on Comcast's lowest tier. 6mbps, 10 TV channels.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#23

If this merger goes thru, (and the AnitTrust people would have to be really asleep at the wheel for that) two things are certain: 1) Americans can expect some of the worst Cable price gouging they have ever seen 2) NetFlix, Amazon Prime et al will become really popular as a result of all the customers saying "FU ComcastWarner"

Another problem is that Comcast is an internet provider for a lot of people. It's actually my only option right now, so if I want to access that Netflix subscription, I still need to pay Comcast, so point 1) will make that all the worse since it's already clear they throttle heavily on Netflix, this will only make the degraded experience even more expensive.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#24
post #18

[deleted]

As others have mentioned, it's not clear that this would increase the market concentration in any way that matters, because it's not clear that Comcast and Time Warner meaningfully compete with each other. How many households can choose between one or the other?

Is there another way in which they will materially reduce consumer choice and gain new pricing powers? (Some people have said Net Neutrality and putting the pressure on Netflix, which is Interesting; it's not clear the extent to which third parties like this are covered by said Act.)

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#25
It would be insane to let this go through. They're both effectively monopolists in most markets they serve; allowing them to combine just allows them to exert more political influence to make sure they keep their monopoly and high profit margins. Their core business is very much a low-value-added, rent-seeking concern, which doesn't benefit from economies of scale except for in as much as they can increase their market power by reducing competition - a fundamentally zero-sum game.

Political influence is a major and underexplored negative externality of monopolies.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#27
post #20

If this merger goes thru, (and the AnitTrust people would have to be really asleep at the wheel for that) two things are certain: 1) Americans can expect some of the worst Cable price gouging they have ever seen 2) NetFlix, Amazon Prime et al will become really popular as a result of all the customers saying "FU ComcastWarner"

Does Comcast compete with Time Warner? I thought they had geographically separate monopolies

I don't think they compete directly in vast majority of markets and for this to go through they will surely forfeit those smaller contested ones.

I think this will go through. Then they will have a huge "content and subscriber" stick to wave around at Aereo, Netflix, Apple and anyone else wanting to play the net content hero.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#28
post #7

Who benefits from large corporate mergers like this? What does an all stock deal mean at that kind of magnitude? It certainly feels like little else than a handshake deal to create a monopoly.

At a minimum you can expect to fire some staff. You don't need two marketing departments coming up with ads, for instance. It won't quite be half the staff, but salaries are expensive (health care too).

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#29

Will this really matter in the long run? I mean don't most cable companies have a local monopoly anyway? I don't think there are many Comcast subscribers who can switch to TWC. I know there's still a diversity of offerings across the market that will change, but that seems a minor thing compared to the fact that most broadband users don't have a choice who they get their broadband from anyway.

The future isn't cable though, it's internet, and even the cable companies know this. In most places the best internet is still via cable. Having such a dominant monopoly would put them in prime position to gouge everyone in every direction.

Gouge downward by charging the consumers higher prices. Gouge upward by charging companies like netflix to have their content not be horrendously throttled over your pipes. With such a large customer base, it becomes much harder for folks to resist.

And, of course, with more customers they have more revenue, which better positions them for future acquisitions. Comcast already owns NBCUniversal, so they are already positioned to become an even larger media conglomerate.

Re: Comcast Acquiring Time Warner Cable In All Stock Deal Worth $45.2 Billion

#30

Non WSJ Paywall article http://www.businessinsider.com/comcast-to-buy-time-warner-ca... This is crazy I don't see how this can get past any sort of anti-trust. Particularly with Comcast's stake in NBC. Comcast would own both the content and distribution of too large a chunk of the broadcast industry.

To go with non-WSJ paywall article: non-paywall WSJ article!

https://www.google.com/search?q=http://online.wsj.com/news/a...

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