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Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#21

Post by accurrent »

rdl wrote: post #9

1) Actual international-conflict geopolitical risk will not bubble over in 2014. Stupid saber-rattling in Asia, insurgencies and wars in Africa, but nothing critical. 2) Security/privacy will become something normal people and businesses ask about, and ask fairly superficial questions about, during many transactions (e.g. people are going to stop being fucking morons and just relying on "the cloud" for sensitive data…

No. 10: " little political involvement." - I don't know but they do kind of run Africa...Someone I heard of bought some land in Namibia or Mozambique or someplace. He planned to build a house so he got a geologist to check the bedrock, which turned out to be rich in copper. He thought he hit the Jackpot so he asked for mining rights, the government's reply was "We're sorry, you may build a house on the land but we have sold the mining rights to the chinese gov't".

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#23

Post by Joeri »

eps wrote: post #15
vitno wrote: post #5

webRTC becomes easily usable and almost fully implemented by the end of 2014.

And yet it will still remain infeasible for real-world use due to no IE support.

Someone will make a plugin for IE if the demand is large enough, like they did for webgl (even though webgl demand isn't very big).

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#24

Post by girvo »

I predict I'll finish my HP 200LX clone running RetroBSD on the new PIC32 board that just arrived. I get an excellent web developing job working on interesting project(s). I finish my book. :)

And on the whole: 2014, year of the Linux desktop... Hey, I can dream, can't i?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#26

Post by fauigerzigerk »

gfodor wrote: post #17

- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…

Deflation is certainly a danger but I found this interesting: http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2013/12/mon...

It should be pointing towards inflation. That's not a prediction on my part, I really don't know.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#27

Post by eps »

Joeri wrote: post #23
eps wrote: post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And yet it will still remain infeasible for real-world use due to no IE support.

Someone will make a plugin for IE if the demand is large enough, like they did for webgl (even though webgl demand isn't very big).

This still kills the only benefit of WebRTC that it has over existing solutions - it's no-install nature.

If a user gets to the point of installing something, there's really not much difference between Skype and the plugin. Except, of course, everyone is already on Skype.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#28

Post by boldklubben »

gfodor wrote: post #17

- Stock market correction. Maybe a crash if Murphy's Law holds true and there is a sudden major unwind. Will have genuinely new characteristics. For example, you might see a selloff in "safe" dividend paying stocks and not tech, due to rotation of retirement funds out of stocks into fixed income. Another theory is you might see a panic out of financial stocks again once we see two quarters of downtrending inflation.…

Wish list?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#29

Post by fauigerzigerk »

rdl wrote: post #9

1) Actual international-conflict geopolitical risk will not bubble over in 2014. Stupid saber-rattling in Asia, insurgencies and wars in Africa, but nothing critical. 2) Security/privacy will become something normal people and businesses ask about, and ask fairly superficial questions about, during many transactions (e.g. people are going to stop being fucking morons and just relying on "the cloud" for sensitive data…

>in the same way they help in Africa today -- economic support, little political involvement.

Ah, I think we know that kind of "help" from the past. Let local dictators have their way in exchange for exploiting a country's resources.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2014 Predictions?

#30

Post by karolisd »

1. Apple won't release a new product category (like an iWatch). But they'll do just fine by having the best industrial design and hardware.

2. Bitcoin and other digital currencies will take the world by storm.

3. Google will make a major improvement in AI with Google Now.

4. There will be another SnapChat or Instagram like product that'll make communicating with phones fun in a new way.

5. The internet and social networks will continue to cause social upheaval in authoritarian nations.

6. Facebook will add auto-playing video commercials and people will hate them.

7. Low-end cameras will start dying off rapidly. There will only be phones and high-end professional cameras in the future.

8. As technology automates more and more things, it'll contribute to unemployment of people who are unprepared to be knowledge workers.

9. People will start taking MOOCs a lot more seriously as an alternative to higher education, especially in meritocratic fields. Not a big change in 2014, but it'll be more obvious.

10. TV will start feeling like print media in the face of the internet, it's inevitable.

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