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Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

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11–20 of 28 posts

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#11

If by 'early adopter' you mean 'in it before the price skyrocketed', then yes. I don't believe I'm a slow learner, but it took me about 1 year from first learning about Bitcoin to becoming comfortable enough with the technology to speculate on it. I honestly believe it will replace Gold as a store of value, but it will take a very long time for the general public to understand it enough and/or trust it enough that th…

Gold and BitCoin don't compare well. Here's why. Sure, gold is "useless", except for the fact that its value is historically verified (over centuries) and culture-independent. If nothing else, it's used in jewelry (and drugs, and electronics). There aren't many elements on the periodic table, and even fewer are viable as metallic currencies: rare enough to have value in small weight, not so rare as to be foreign (his…

Silver was historically verified too. But it lost it's value in the 20th century, when people stopped using it as a money.

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#12
There are around several hundred thousands of bitcoin users. There are more than 7 billion people. Bitcoin is in the very early phase.

For comparison: first GSM call was made in 1991. In 1994 subscribers hit 1 million, nowadays there are several billions. Would you consider someone with GSM phone in 1994 an early adopter or not?

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#13

There are around several hundred thousands of bitcoin users. There are more than 7 billion people. Bitcoin is in the very early phase. For comparison: first GSM call was made in 1991. In 1994 subscribers hit 1 million, nowadays there are several billions. Would you consider someone with GSM phone in 1994 an early adopter or not?

There are also tens (hundreds?) of thousands of piano tuners. Does that mean piano tuning is in the early phase?

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#14

There are around several hundred thousands of bitcoin users. There are more than 7 billion people. Bitcoin is in the very early phase. For comparison: first GSM call was made in 1991. In 1994 subscribers hit 1 million, nowadays there are several billions. Would you consider someone with GSM phone in 1994 an early adopter or not?

There are also tens (hundreds?) of thousands of piano tuners. Does that mean piano tuning is in the early phase?

Bitcoins are arguably useful to everybody, unlike piano tuners.

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gold and BitCoin don't compare well. Here's why. Sure, gold is "useless", except for the fact that its value is historically verified (over centuries) and culture-independent. If nothing else, it's used in jewelry (and drugs, and electronics). There aren't many elements on the periodic table, and even fewer are viable as metallic currencies: rare enough to have value in small weight, not so rare as to be foreign (his…

Silver was historically verified too. But it lost it's value in the 20th century, when people stopped using it as a money.

Silver took a sizable hit, but it has retained value. It still has two aspects to it that are very valuable: industrial and jewelry / fashion. Those are likely to remain for a very long time, providing silver with a value base.

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#16

I consider the people buying into Bitcoin today as lesser fools. The people buying into Bitcoin tomorrow are greater fools. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_fool_theory

The greater fool is the one holding the bag when nobody else will buy it; People buying in today could very well be the greater fool -- time will tell.

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#17

If by 'early adopter' you mean 'in it before the price skyrocketed', then yes. I don't believe I'm a slow learner, but it took me about 1 year from first learning about Bitcoin to becoming comfortable enough with the technology to speculate on it. I honestly believe it will replace Gold as a store of value, but it will take a very long time for the general public to understand it enough and/or trust it enough that th…

Gold and BitCoin don't compare well. Here's why. Sure, gold is "useless", except for the fact that its value is historically verified (over centuries) and culture-independent. If nothing else, it's used in jewelry (and drugs, and electronics). There aren't many elements on the periodic table, and even fewer are viable as metallic currencies: rare enough to have value in small weight, not so rare as to be foreign (his…

If it hadn't favored early adopters... there wouldn't have been early adopters.

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#18

People won't remember Snapchat's fall from grace or Groupon's mediocre twilight. They'll be talking about Bitcoin (and however it busts) in 2050, 2100 even. Not because it will be worth a damn. It won't go to zero. It will be a neat novelty "good" that is fully electronic. It will hold some value, just like Black Lotuses would still be a part of gaming history if no one played Magic anymore. Still, I expect it to tan…

how certain are you it will tank? have you shorted it?

Re: Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today as 'early adopters'?

#19
post #7

Most would likely fall into a "speculator" definition, as they don't actually use bitcoins for transactions - therefore they aren't really "adopting" bitcoin, but rather are just stock piling something in hopes it goes up in value in the future. I.e. if I buy 20 new xboxes but leave them sealed for resale before Christmas, I'm not really an early adopter, instead i'm just a speculating opportunist, even though I did…

What if they use BTC as a store of value and not a currency?
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