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Should we stop believing Malcolm Gladwell?

ksj.mit.edu

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Re: Should we stop believing Malcolm Gladwell?

#231
post #130
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a very good comparison. First, it's not presented as funny, it's presented as science, complete with links to studies. If you ask most people reading Gladwell, they will believe his theories. Second, it's not that he exaggerates something, but often he's flat-out wrong. The fascination he sparks is the "oh, that's an unlikely fact I wouldn't have believed was true, had it not been for the fact that these sci…

> Second, it's not that he exaggerates something, but often he's flat-out wrong. Eh, is it though? I confess I haven't read much by him, but it seems like most of his works are truisms anyway (e.g. if something's hard, it'll make you work harder!).

Here's at least one: I've read some rebuttals to the "ethnic theory of plane crashes" here: http://philip.greenspun.com/flying/foreign-airline-safety

and here:

http://askakorean.blogspot.no/2013/07/culturalism-gladwell-a...

Put it simply, Gladwell seems to form a theory, then find enough facts to support that theory. But that's not the way to do proper research.

In this case, had he actually consulted with pilots, koreans, and finally korean pilots, he might have ended up with a different conclusion (let alone now have made so many trivial errors in the text).

He could also have compared accident statistics and looked at how many accidents could be attributed to poor CRM in different countries. But again, he didn't do that.

He mentions that CRM training is used nowadays in all airlines (to improve crew collaboration) but fails to mention that the accident that sparked the focus on CRM (the worst airline accident of all time) was caused by a Dutch captain, from a country with a low power-distance index (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tenerife_airport_disaster)

Re: Should we stop believing Malcolm Gladwell?

#232
post #156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with both your points--at least with respect to Guns Germs and Steel. Arguably he way overextended his basic research in later works. An interesting supplement to Diamond is Ian Morris' Why the West Rules--for Now: The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future. To greatly oversimplify, Morris endorses the idea of a Western core headstart (with credit to Diamond) but then basically says "Well,…

Fortunately, there are a couple examples of serious researchers who are also excellent (though maybe not as well known) popularizers. Daniel Kahneman (Thinking Fast and Slow) and Steven Strogatz (Sync, etc.) come immediately to mind, because I have read them recently. I have some books by Benoit Mandlebrot in shipping, and I am quite excited about them. If anyone has other examples, I would love to hear them--I'm try…

I found "The Misbehavior of Markets" by Benoit Mandelbrot to be a good and engrossing read. It explained the concepts of fractals and especially fractal dimensions better than the Wikipedia page and other sources that I have read previously.
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