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Competing with a Mac

asymco.com

111–117 of 117 posts

Re: Competing with a Mac

#111
post #80
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apple makes 45% of all profits in the PC market. Nobody else comes close. That isn't a small segment - they are the clear winner.

6% market share is small.

6% is also false.

There is a word for market share without profits. Failure.

Value is measured in money. Apple creates 45% of the value in the PC industry.

Re: Competing with a Mac

#112
post #53
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(2) and (3) are interesting responses. But I don't think it is actually using the key insight described in this article. That key insight being that people compare it to what's come before, and that comparison becomes a blinder for it's actual advantages. (4) will happen, but I think the scope is far too small; again it also has the blinders that does not take advantage of the key insight from the article. With 3D pr…

4 - I...somewhat disagree. I spent a few weeks looking into current and future 3d printing tech, and outside of some very limited use-cases would I consider that the output quality and materials mix from any 3d printing tech to be a threat to traditional manufacturing. It's a nice idea, but it's just very very far away from happening. Even relatively simple items right now are not something that are even close to bei…

That's a great point, and illustrates that blinder effect discussed in the article. The Blackberry executives and engineers also did not think that the iphone would sell well at a higher price point and a lower battery life.

My point in bring up all of this is that the key insight in this article is not about disruption, but about refactoring your base assumptions. When you see 3D printers as to what is really is, but has not yet been, then you start to see other technologies that are coming together to be able to fabricate things in your garage. Yes, that does include being able to print circuitry directly into the printer -- and yes, there are people working on that right now.

This is a lot closer to happening than you think it is :-)

Re: Competing with a Mac

#113
post #87
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nah, the old Windows phones were just fine. Did many of the things we now pretend that Apple invented. But they were for nerds. And huge phones sell reasonably well today. The functionality was really already there. The "disruption" was aesthetics, marketing and ease-of-use. And in the end, it's a phone, not a cultural revolution.

> The "disruption" was aesthetics, marketing and ease-of-use The iPhone (and smartphones in general) have disrupted multiple markets: * Photography and video * Portable music players * Email and messaging devices * Phones ... and many others The thought I ran into many times with many people during this "disruption" period basically went along the lines of: "I could buy a new camera, a video camera, a new iPod, a net…

This theory doesn't stroke the egos of iPhone owners enough to be popular on Apple blogs. It also leaves them open to Android taking it further because cheap compromise devices are easier to make than magical high-end disruptors.

Re: Competing with a Mac

#114
post #68
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ok, if you had to fill in the blank, what would fill in? "Google Glasses are not better smartphones, they are ____ "?

By its very nature that question constrains the possibilities of Glass by attempting to label it. Falling into that trap leads to less insight, not more. By way of analogy, one could say a car was a faster horse-and-buggy, but an airplane was something new & different. A telegram was a faster form of mail, but a telephone was new & different. A good example of the lack of insight that kind of question leads to is the…

"By its very nature that question constrains the possibilities of Glass by attempting to label it. Falling into that trap leads to less insight, not more."

Haha, that's a nice piece of rhetorical sophistry.

It is good to keep an open mind on the different possibilities. However, the art of strategic thinking requires you to make decisions in the face of uncertainty. Until you can fill in that blank, you can't make decisions right now and place your bets.

That is the point of this exercise. There is a key insight in the article, and it can be applied to something like the Google Glasses. If you cannot discern it, you're more likely to be running off of unexamined emotions instead of a vision of what's to come.

Re: Competing with a Mac

#115
post #104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you weren't aware, Asymco is very pro-Apple. I would be shocked to see any hating from him.

Do you mean pro-Apple as in a fanboy who thinks everything Apple does is great, or pro-Apple as in he appreciates and respects their design chops and business acumen?

Neither really. Pro-Apple in that he is willing to give Apple the benefit of the doubt. If they make a decision he doesn't understand or agree with, he will figure out some acceptable reason they would do that he can agree with. Someone who is anti-Apple would look at the same facts and come up with a reason they are incorrect, for doing the same thing.

Essentially, I would be shocked if Asymco had a post saying he disagreed with Apple's strategy.

Re: Competing with a Mac

#116
post #81
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are contradicting yourself. You say that fill stack companies are hard to keep going and yet you say that non-full stack companies come and go even more easily. By your logic, non-full stack companies are even harder to keep going.

It's not a contradiction. Both are hard to keep going. Full stack ones are even harder. Hence all but 2 are gone. The ecosystems for more open systems are also really durable. Personally, watching for decades the most surprising thing is that MS has kept the desktop rather than losing it to Linux. Would you say that MS has 'won' the server market because they make more money than any Linux company even though Linux h…

MS keeping the desktop rather than losing it to Linux contradicts your thesis. You can dismiss it as a 'surprise' or acknowledge that your reasoning doesn't accord with reality.

Re: Competing with a Mac

#117
post #97
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apple makes 45% of all profits in the PC market. Nobody else comes close. That isn't a small segment - they are the clear winner.

Funny how Windows' profits are not part of the "PC market". I guess it's all about cherrypicking statistics to create a "winner".

We're taking about people who sell PCs, not component vendors. If we include windows, we also should include intel and everyone else in the supply chain. But since this whole topic is about manufacturers who ship complete phones to purchasers, the analogy in the PC market is with companies that ship complete PCs.
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