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The Baltic Demographic Disaster

forbes.com

1–10 of 68 posts

Re: The Baltic Demographic Disaster

#3
post #2

So what happened in 2010? The article doesn't explain the most prominent feature of the charts...

That might be this comment: "It’s true that the Baltics suffered a particularly rapid outflow after the popping of their respective economic bubbles".

Re: The Baltic Demographic Disaster

#6

I'm interested in levels of ethnic Russian emigration from the Baltics. Has this happened, and if so, how much does it contribute to this picture?

Interestingly, according to http://im.kommersant.ru/ISSUES.PHOTO/CORP/2013/02/21/dsryu4...., the Baltics combined have the largest russian diaspora in the world, followed by USA, Germany and Israel. Probably due to the proximity and relative ease of emigration from Russia to the Baltic states.

If you read russian, here is a series of articles with advice on various emigration destinations. It's an interesting view into the current mindset there. http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2132694

Re: The Baltic Demographic Disaster

#7
post #5

"over the past two decades, their populations have collapsed at a historically unprecedented rate." I don't think it's completely unprecedented, but I doubt that people will take heart in being compared favorably to the Black Death. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death

And what if we narrow it down to population collapse as a result of emigration?

Re: The Baltic Demographic Disaster

#8

I'm interested in levels of ethnic Russian emigration from the Baltics. Has this happened, and if so, how much does it contribute to this picture?

It didn't happen and it does not contribute to the picture at all. People emigrated to the west (mostly Great Britain, Ireland and Spain), including the Russian speaking part.

The jump in the graph happened when the most recent economic crisis hit Baltic countries and drove their GDP roughly 20% down in a year.

Re: The Baltic Demographic Disaster

#10
Forbes, yeesh. It may be trite to roll out the correlation-is-not-causation argument, but this is so incredibly blatant it turns my stomach.

The author's thesis could be summarized as: The Baltic population level has declined consistently since 1992, therefore Baltic economic policies must not be as desirable as some make them out to be.

Population migration and economic policy are two astoundingly broad topics. Any attempt to link the two requires at least some analysis of each. This article contains none.

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