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Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

thegenesisblock.com

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Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#41
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You do realize the whole premise of an application-specific-integrated-circuit is to do one thing the best. If properly architected, an ASIC that does the most SHA hashing with the least transistors will be the best miner, inherent to the technology.

That doesn't mean the designs cannot be improved... And once somebody releases an improved design, the older ASICs become far less useful.

At this point, an "improved" design would have to mean algorithmic improvements to a hardware SHA algorithm (i.e. not likely).

Improvements that you can actually count on would be die shrinks, but these will provide returns in accordance with the tail end of Moore's law. Compared to the multiple-order-of-magnitude improvements from the CPU -> GPU/FPGA -> ASIC jumps, these improvements likely won't even be worth writing home about.

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#42
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's easy to get over 50% of the hashing power: just buy it. Bitcoin is especially vulnerable during technology transitions; e.g. in July 2010 a single Radeon GPU was more powerful than the entire Bitcoin network so you could have performed a 51% attack for $300 plus some epic hacking.

Right, but of course Satoshi's argument is that it would be far more valuable for you to have just used that Radeon to mine ;)

> Right, but of course Satoshi's argument is that it would be far more valuable for you to have just used that Radeon to mine

Value depends on personal desire... Not all people want the same things.

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#43
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That doesn't mean the designs cannot be improved... And once somebody releases an improved design, the older ASICs become far less useful.

At this point, an "improved" design would have to mean algorithmic improvements to a hardware SHA algorithm (i.e. not likely). Improvements that you can actually count on would be die shrinks, but these will provide returns in accordance with the tail end of Moore's law. Compared to the multiple-order-of-magnitude improvements from the CPU -> GPU/FPGA -> ASIC jumps, these improvements likely won't even be worth writi…

[deleted]

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#44
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the tech has gone CPU > GPU > FPGA > ASIC. Makes me wonder what will come next.

There is no next step. ASIC is the end-all be-all. (Not even quantum computing can help - there is no known algorithm to help find SHA256 preimages, which is what would be necessary for a Bitcoin mining breakthrough.)

ASIC is the 2nd to last step. The next (final) step is a full custom design, co-developed with the fab process. This is how Intel & AMD design CPUs.

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#45

And Butterfly Labs still hasn't shipped their orders from Day 1. There will be an awful lot of people who will never see a return on their investment from this venture.

It looks like they're shipping orders up to Oct 2012 now: https://forums.butterflylabs.com/blogs/bfl_jody/

Or am I reading that wrong?

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right, but of course Satoshi's argument is that it would be far more valuable for you to have just used that Radeon to mine ;)

> Right, but of course Satoshi's argument is that it would be far more valuable for you to have just used that Radeon to mine Value depends on personal desire... Not all people want the same things.

That's why we use money to exchange goods and services ;)

Re: Latest Shipment of Avalon ASICs Could Increase Network Hashrate By 500%

#47
post #44
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no next step. ASIC is the end-all be-all. (Not even quantum computing can help - there is no known algorithm to help find SHA256 preimages, which is what would be necessary for a Bitcoin mining breakthrough.)

ASIC is the 2nd to last step. The next (final) step is a full custom design, co-developed with the fab process. This is how Intel & AMD design CPUs.

Well, standard cell ASIC vs. full custom ASIC is a rather pedantic distinction IMHO :)

By the way, someone has already developped a full custom ASIC for Bitcoin mining: http://3.14.by/en/read/bitfury-bitcoin-mining-chip

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