"Just three companies—Google, Apple, and Facebook —generated most of the new ideas (at least the mainstream ones) and most of the business momentum. (If I had more room and time, I’d work Amazon into the argument, but as a technology company, it ranks well behind the other three.) " I find this puzzling. What great new ideas have emerged from Facebook, exactly? It's just one of multiple very similar social networks t…
Google is just one of multiple similar search products that prevailed through better execution and marketing.
Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
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Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#22And AdSense was largely an acquihire of Applied Semantics.
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#23Published the exact day Google announces his Loon Project? I can't say for sure, but if this project is successful, I'd call it a major innovation...
"I'd call it a major innovation..." The company behind the Loon concept has been working on this for over a decade. http://www.spacewar.com/reports/Space_Data_Awarded_USAF_Cont... Innovation on an existing idea, no doubt but
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#24I went into this article expecting to get mad, but it's actually quite reasonable: just like how incredibly rare it is that Microsoft releases something as capital-i important as Windows, the odds are against companies one-upping the innovations that vaulted them into success. That doesn't mean they're destined to failure or even to obscurity: but innovation favors the young. (Somewhat ironically, I think Google has…
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#25Earlier quoted context omitted.
Google is just one of multiple similar search products that prevailed through better execution and marketing.
This is a deep fallacy. The amount of science and technology behind Google's prevalence is absolutely huge. Google prevailed through better search results, not through execution and marketing.
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#26Earlier quoted context omitted.
Agreed. It's really hard to read the rest of the article without questioning every statement after reading that ridiculous paragraph early on. You're telling me Facebook, who's killer app was photo tagging for the first 3 years of its existence and who has, over the last few years, been struggling with transitioning its platform to a mobile audience, somehow ranks ahead, technology-wise, of the biggest e-commerce sit…
It's because he's not measuring greatness by technical achievement, he's measuring greatness by how much you have changed the average consumer's behavior. Amazon's big as far as e-commerce goes...but people bought things before, they can buy things from other websites, and they'll continue to buy things even if Amazon didn't exist. Facebook somehow managed to get people to spend 2-3 hours/day throwing sheep at each o…
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#27Earlier quoted context omitted.
Agreed. It's really hard to read the rest of the article without questioning every statement after reading that ridiculous paragraph early on. You're telling me Facebook, who's killer app was photo tagging for the first 3 years of its existence and who has, over the last few years, been struggling with transitioning its platform to a mobile audience, somehow ranks ahead, technology-wise, of the biggest e-commerce sit…
It's because he's not measuring greatness by technical achievement, he's measuring greatness by how much you have changed the average consumer's behavior. Amazon's big as far as e-commerce goes...but people bought things before, they can buy things from other websites, and they'll continue to buy things even if Amazon didn't exist. Facebook somehow managed to get people to spend 2-3 hours/day throwing sheep at each o…
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#28IMHO, Amazon is up there as an equal peer with G/A/F.
Edit: I agree with the rest of the article though. I expect (hope for?) more interesting things happening from small players, especially in non-USA markets.
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#29But wouldn't any new innovator simply be bought by one of the three as soon as it becomes successful?
Re: Peak Google, Apple and Facebook
#30Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's because he's not measuring greatness by technical achievement, he's measuring greatness by how much you have changed the average consumer's behavior. Amazon's big as far as e-commerce goes...but people bought things before, they can buy things from other websites, and they'll continue to buy things even if Amazon didn't exist. Facebook somehow managed to get people to spend 2-3 hours/day throwing sheep at each o…
Building Facebook is one thing, scaling Facebook is an entirely different beast.