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The best founders are futurists

josephwalla.com

51–60 of 81 posts

Re: The best founders are futurists

#51
post #48
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The funny thing about this article is that it cites one of the biggest flops as a sign of success. Dean Kamen might have said, if you live in the future, you won't drive short distances. He built Segway.

He just got the form factor wrong. Go to China and everyone rides electric scooterbikes for short trips (with payloads too). America is so car-dominated that it's hard for this to catch on. If our cities had 10x the population and fewer parking spots (because space is at a premium), we would be doing the same. In fact, we probably will get there within 20 years. I can't wait for a Tesla ultralight EV or motorcycle. B…

Very true - it is in fact a blind spot in our culture - I live in a new build town (15 years old) and whilst most amenities are in walking distance there are no dedicated cycle paths, no pedestrian areas.

Why the hell did I move here? Bbecause there are no better towns in the south east - it's wrong, everywhere

Re: The best founders are futurists

#52
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, some might be cranks and also be successful. ;-)

(cough Nikola Tesla cough)

That just gives you a Venn diagram with three circles Cranks, futurists and genius. The union there is exactly one

Re: The best founders are futurists

#53
post #37

I find that this article is representative of much of the content of HN these days: provocative assertions made by relative nobodies with little supporting evidence save anecdote, but made with the full voice of authority. Found a middling startup or two, and you're suddenly an expert. Call me old fashioned, but I like to get my blanket generalizations only from those significantly richer, more powerful, happier, or…

The irony is that HN upvotes light commentary with blanket generalizations to the front page and also upvotes cruel dismissive comments criticizing that sort of light commentary to the top comment.

At the risk of sounding perverse and making a blanket generalization, I have this to say:

The people who upvote posts are not the same people who upvote or participate in the comments section.

The cognitive dissonance is actually two different sets of folks voting the way they perceive the world. It just happens that the people who like to comment are a tad more snarky.

Re: The best founders are futurists

#55
post #37

I find that this article is representative of much of the content of HN these days: provocative assertions made by relative nobodies with little supporting evidence save anecdote, but made with the full voice of authority. Found a middling startup or two, and you're suddenly an expert. Call me old fashioned, but I like to get my blanket generalizations only from those significantly richer, more powerful, happier, or…

"Do you create anything, or just criticize others work and belittle their motivations?"

- Steve Jobs

Re: The best founders are futurists

#57
post #48
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The funny thing about this article is that it cites one of the biggest flops as a sign of success. Dean Kamen might have said, if you live in the future, you won't drive short distances. He built Segway.

He just got the form factor wrong. Go to China and everyone rides electric scooterbikes for short trips (with payloads too). America is so car-dominated that it's hard for this to catch on. If our cities had 10x the population and fewer parking spots (because space is at a premium), we would be doing the same. In fact, we probably will get there within 20 years. I can't wait for a Tesla ultralight EV or motorcycle. B…

Everyone rides motorcycles in Asia, but they still don't want to be standing the whole time.

Re: The best founders are futurists

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Things have now gotten to the stage where I flinch slightly as I click on the "comments" link, bracing myself for the dismissive comment I know will be waiting for me at the top of the page." - PG

The quality of the comments is probably related to the quality of the content. Startup truisms and anecdotes-as-advertisements rarely stimulate interesting conversation.

I agree with what you're saying, but apparently most of HN enjoys this sort of content :(

Re: The best founders are futurists

#59

If you live in the future, there is no poverty If you live in the future, there are no diseases If you live in the future, you can live for 200+ years If you live in the future, we stopped using fossil fuels If you live in the future, computers don't track us If you live in the future, facebook doesn't exist so lets get back to work..

If you live in the future, rockets are fully reusable.

If you live in the future, Launch Loops are in operation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Launch_loop

If you live in the future, there are permanent residents on Mars and the Moon.

Re: The best founders are futurists

#60
Just to derail a bit...

I've always disagreed with Jobs over the filesystem thing. There's just a minimum level of knowledge a computer user needs to use the damn thing, and file systems are really fundamental to that. I've never seen an abstraction that worked well enough to replace the file system as we know it, so abstractions stay welded to particular apps. Then you have a bunch of domain specific abstractions replacing a common system that was never broken.

I've worked some service jobs, at a FedEx computer center and a University computer lab. I've seen several poor souls who couldn't for the life of them use a pointing device OR keyboard. Far more common is people who can't grasp the idea of usernames and passwords; and I mean really can't understand the difference.

"Why does it have to be so hard?" is the question. Not for hard concepts, but for every concept. People offer to pay me to write their email and school papers, so they don't have to fight with Word and the whole save/load idea (not to mention glacial slow typing). Maybe this person could be served by some ultra-simple software, negating the need for new skills. I really feel this is a disservice to them. In the case of a student, this all but guarantees they are dead in the water career wise, even if they somehow eek through school.

I think people should just learn about files, they are fundamental to computer use. In the far future, when we have Star Trek style voice driven computers, most people will utterly fail to use them. "Computer, email? No I mean the one I sent. Why can't you just find it?!? There was a picture". Anyone who thinks natural language is clear and intuitive should be sentenced to two years labor in a public computer lab or call center.

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