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Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

socialroulette.net

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Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#121

Post by GFischer »

Alex3917 wrote: post #114
WA wrote: post #13

I once read that the chance of Russian Roulette is NOT 1:6 but more like 1:600, since you play with one bullet and the weight of the bullet makes it relatively unlikely that the bullet stops next to the top position in the barrel when you spin it. Don't know if this is true but in the end, it doesn't matter for this stupid game.

I love how people have so much trouble understanding the Monty Hall 'paradox', but when you give them basically the exact same problem in the form of Russian roulette then suddenly it becomes trivially intuitive that you REALLY want to spin in between turns.

It's hard to understand even after reading about it :) .

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

And I did take probability classes (and passed :) ).

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#122

Post by ruswick »

davecerrado wrote: post #34
hawkharris wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know much about the API, but that was my understanding as well. I just tried the game and survived. Can anyone who has had the experience of losing describe what happened?

I just played and lost, 'Bang, your Facebook account is being deleted'. In panic mode I was thinking I could cancel it, tried to remove Socialroulette from my authorized apps, but it was too late. Now, no account but I'm gonna try and reactive it and will you know how it goes

If deactivation of you account is something that would induce "panic," why did you play?

In my opinion this game seems fucking absurd, if it's not altogether a social engineering scam anyway.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#123

Post by ihuman »

driverdan wrote: post #102

There are a bunch of red flags here. It's possible this app has an ulterior motive. At the top it says the author is Douglas Rushkoff but the avatar in the FB screenshot (under The Story ) is Jacob Appelbaum's[1]. Here are the permissions it requests[2]: "publish_stream, email, rsvp_event, publish_actions, friends_online_presence, user_online_presence, manage_notifications, manage_friendlists, create_event, ads_manag…

From the FAQ:

Can Social Roulette really delete my account?

Yes. While it's very difficulty to "permanently delete" a Facebook account, we can completely remove all your posts, friends, apps, likes, photos, and games before completely deactivating it.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#124

Post by film42 »

brebory wrote: post #109
milkshakes wrote: post #50

Invalid API Key Well that didn't take long.

I suspect it's because the original app id and secret key are public on the github repo.[1] I bet they're registering a new application and secret right now, hence the invalid API key error. [1]: https://github.com/kylemcdonald/socialroulette.net/blob/ba32...

Either that or they're starting to exceed usage. I'm sure there's not some magic mass delete routes for facebook's api. I have to think they're going to be hitting some kind of limit here pretty soon.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#125

Post by petsos »

yen223 wrote: post #116
onemorepassword wrote: post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is pretty obvious to most people. That doesn't make you stupid, but you may find that you encounter similar situations in life, and it's something you may want to be aware of before you start throwing around big words like "lies", "shameful" and "dishonest" where such reactions are completely misplaced.

"It is pretty obvious to most people." I really doubt most people know who Gawker, Bruce Sterling, John Gruber or FaltyDL are, which makes it doubtful that most people are in on the joke.

These quotes are not out there in a vacuum, they are on a site that randomly deletes your Facebook account. Even if you don't know any of these people it doesn't require much to realize they are jokes.

I mean who would ever say "It's the most exciting thing I've done this year" for a site like this?

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#128

Post by poink »

petsos wrote: post #125
yen223 wrote: post #116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"It is pretty obvious to most people." I really doubt most people know who Gawker, Bruce Sterling, John Gruber or FaltyDL are, which makes it doubtful that most people are in on the joke.

These quotes are not out there in a vacuum, they are on a site that randomly deletes your Facebook account. Even if you don't know any of these people it doesn't require much to realize they are jokes. I mean who would ever say "It's the most exciting thing I've done this year" for a site like this?

> I mean who would ever say "It's the most exciting thing I've done this year" for a site like this?

A typical tech blogger.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#129

Post by sjwright »

hfsktr wrote: post #57
gambiting wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your odds never change, this is not how maths work. It's always 1/6, just like the odds of getting heads/tails in a coin flip is ALWAYS 1/2 no matter how many times you flipped already. Odds of receiving a certain outcome X number of times in a row can change,but the odds of a single event never,never,never do. Even if you flip a coin 10000 and got tails 10000 times, your 10001 flip also has a 50/50 chance of being h…

I believe he meant that he first person has 1/6 (at least or most...idk) but assuming the next person goes there is one less chamber each time. 1/5, 1/4, etc. until you get to 1/1 at least. There would have to be some change between rounds to change that part.

> until you get to 1/1 at least

Possibly even more!

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#130

Post by cynwoody »

GFischer wrote: post #121
Alex3917 wrote: post #114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I love how people have so much trouble understanding the Monty Hall 'paradox', but when you give them basically the exact same problem in the form of Russian roulette then suddenly it becomes trivially intuitive that you REALLY want to spin in between turns.

It's hard to understand even after reading about it :) . http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem And I did take probability classes (and passed :) ).

I had the same reaction to the link.

But, since I've been checking out the Go language, I decided to whip up a little simulation[1] to prove the claimed probability. And indeed, it is true: choosing the moderator's offer wins 2/3 of the time.

[1] http://play.golang.org/p/7ua2ZCSuVD

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