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Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

socialroulette.net

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Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#91

Post by baddox »

lpolovets wrote: post #40
forTheRecord wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Last year alone four people died in the US while playing the game. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/05/dion-von-mays-dies-...

Combining this with the 1 in 600 statistic of the grandparent comment, it seems like ~2000-3000 people played Russian Roulette last year. To me, that's even more astounding than the number of deaths -- although the number of deaths is certainly more tragic.

That's assuming that everyone who dies from playing it only played it once. It could be that only 4 people played it at all, and they all played it ~600 times.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#92

Post by ta25252 »

WA wrote: post #13

I once read that the chance of Russian Roulette is NOT 1:6 but more like 1:600, since you play with one bullet and the weight of the bullet makes it relatively unlikely that the bullet stops next to the top position in the barrel when you spin it. Don't know if this is true but in the end, it doesn't matter for this stupid game.

No. You snap the cylinder shut while it is spinning.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#93

Post by onemorepassword »

btipling wrote: post #44
b0z0 wrote: post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The creator was being facetious and the fabrications were meant to be obvious enough that no one would take them seriously, right?

No, it isn't obvious that the listed testimonials are fake.

It is pretty obvious to most people.

That doesn't make you stupid, but you may find that you encounter similar situations in life, and it's something you may want to be aware of before you start throwing around big words like "lies", "shameful" and "dishonest" where such reactions are completely misplaced.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#96

Post by avalaunch »

gambiting wrote: post #73
emidln wrote: post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not how maths work. You're describing something that works for non-dependent events. Flipping a coin 50 times previously has no bearing on how it will flip the 51st time. The events are said to be independent. In a six round revolver loaded with a single bullet and then randomized, pulling the trigger advances the next round. The first pull has a 1/6 (or 1/600, whatever) chance of firing. You will fire (assumi…

Sorry, I honestly thought that you would spin before every try, in which case, every test would have the same 1/6 probability of firing.

Which just means you didn't read the comment to which you were replying...

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#98

Post by PavlovsCat »

aw3c2 wrote: post #20

Looks like it is by Jacob Appelbaum, at least that is his profile pic in the screenshot (next to the empty answer box). Would be weird though as it is using Google Analytics.

Nicely spotted, but the quote on the top left indicates the author is Douglas Rushkoff ^^

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#99

Post by skue »

tel wrote: post #26
madsushi wrote: post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Depends on if you're re-spinning between turns. Otherwise the first guy might get a 1/600 chance, but everyone afterward has better (or worse?) than 1/6 odds.

Well, if it's the case that there's a 1/6000 chance that the first guy gets hit, it's 5999/6000 chance that the third guy gets it. (Not true, but it's gesturally correct). So I imagine the odds are much less skewed or NOBODY forgets the spin between rounds. Also, if you don't spin between rounds and you're the 6th person to try it... this isn't really a game of risk anymore.

Why is the parent down voted? He was responding to the hypothetical case that the odds are initially 1/600 due to bullet weight and no one else spins.

Granted, he wrote 1/6000 instead of 1/600, but his basic point is correct: if no one else spins, the odds for each of the other 5 players would not remain ~1/6.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#100

Post by wellboy »

gootik wrote: post #69
apgwoz wrote: post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you mean a 1/6th...

...If everyone played only once...

No but seriously if this goes viral, they could lose several million users. At an LTV of $75/user right now that can be between $100m-$200M. Better buy these guys for $50M. :)
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