Live data from Hacker News

The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

sfgate.com

131–140 of 223 posts

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#131
post #87

These articles are easy to write (and upvote) but such conclusions are pretty meaningless till you have a definition of what counts as innovation. That's a very interesting question, and yet just about everyone who talks about this topic ducks it and goes instead for the easy score. Maybe we can do better here on HN. What's the right way to measure innovation? E.g. surely the 5 year old's definition (big shiny things…

"But what would a good measure be?"

I think it's important to realize in answering that question a few things.

a) The answer to the question isn't digital (black and white) it's analog. It's a matter of degree and relative to the thing being considered. Curing cancer - say, up near 100. Cat photo app, say, down near 0. And everything in between. (Numbers arbitrary to make a point.)

b) Most people could probably have an easier time (like identifying porn) with what isn't innovation than defining what is innovation.

c) Daniel Markham's points regarding sometimes meaningless things lead to important things.

Lastly, none of this matters. If you are in high school it's a sure bet you will attract women and attention (at that age) as the high school quarterback even if you have average looks. People arguing that the system should change and the guy with glasses who will be a much better catch down the road won't get anyone anywhere. Things are the way they are for a reason.

I suspect that YC invests in the best situations they can find given a pool of applicants applying your patterns etc and knowledge of the past. Questions posed by this article (and some of the comments here) assume that markets operate together in collusion for the common good. They don't. If they did it would be relatively easy to get food companies to stop pushing valueless tasty food on the public as well.

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#132
post #87

These articles are easy to write (and upvote) but such conclusions are pretty meaningless till you have a definition of what counts as innovation. That's a very interesting question, and yet just about everyone who talks about this topic ducks it and goes instead for the easy score. Maybe we can do better here on HN. What's the right way to measure innovation? E.g. surely the 5 year old's definition (big shiny things…

1) Life expectancy.

2) 10-year moving average of the duration of subsistence living expenses that can be funded from a fixed weight of gold.

Both of these are very high level measures that fold in a lot of underlying technological progress. (1) is weighted towards computation and biotech, (2) against mining and expansion into space (would have to be weighted somehow there to be useful much past the next 20 years), but both encompass far more than that.

Both incorporate advantages provided by fluff technologies such as networking tools, but so many levels removed that we don't have to stop arguing over whether they should be dropped in a well or not. This may or may not be a benefit from your point of view.

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#133

"But these aren't free market aberrations brought on by regulations. They're the invisible hand of capitalism itself: reaching out for quick gains while avoiding as much downside risk as possible." Oh boy. We've got political commentary trying to pose as analysis. Okay, let's get this straight: capitalism drives efficiencies in markets. Efficiencies drive innovation. If you look at this only in terms of money, you're…

"You don't have a Facebook without an internet..." The Internet wasn't created as a result of anyone "driving efficiency in the market". Get real. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet#History Also: do you think that perhaps it is wasteful for society's businesses to spend hundreds of billions on marketing and advertising differentiating products like soda, fast food and alcohol? Is that a good use of resources?

They are not "society's businesses", so we don't have a say in how they spend their money. Not everything in this world has to be for some greater noble good. Sometimes we just want a burger and a beer.

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#134
post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really? What do you wish you could do that you can't? Let's make a list of things: * I wish my body didn't start to break down as I get older. * Related to that there are a whole host of diseases and disorders that I'll probably get one of and die from one day. * I wish I didn't have to spend so much money on energy (not just directly on my monthly bill, but as part of the cost of almost everything I buy). * I wish m…

What do you wish you could do that you can't? Ah, there's the thing. I've spent too long learning how to deal with Real Life. Actually, looking at it, many of these are social problems, as I had hypothesized. * Technical problem * Technical * Partially technical, partially an issue of almost deliberately building energy-intensive civilizations. * High-megabits and gigabit connections are on their way, but come with t…

You realize that a business is at least 70% a social solution no matter how big your engineering department is, right?

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#135
This article stirs the pot but is flawed.

Low hanging fruit gone?

Proof?

And how is that relevant?

If you want to innovate, do it. Figure it out. Stop blaming investors or the government. Blame yourself and fix yourself so you are doing the kind of innovation you want to, even it is part-time, initially.

Go be a professor at Caltech, MIT, Stanford or Berkeley and work on the hardest problems in science and technology and innovate.

Go work for Peter Thiel's Founders Fund.

Innovate yourself.

Stop trying to "kill it" as you Lean-Startup your way to a billion dollar company.

And stop whining. :)

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#136

Another thing: as companies get larger they will try to squeeze competitors, fire employees and do everything possible to increase their margins. Legal, but they shouldn't brag about it. Edited to add: Apple, Microsoft and Google alone have close to $250 Billion in the bank, $250,000,000,000 and what we hear each quarter about them? Increased margins, more and more ads, increased prices on software, anti-competitive…

I keep hearing about self-driving cars...

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#137

Silicon Valley used to be a place with cheap land where people went because the cost of living was low, and they could tinker with cool ideas whereas, in the expensive East Coast cities, they'd have to work themselves to death just to tread water. California was this place where you could come and do cool stuff and build on land the East Coast elite didn't want. It's no longer cheap to live there. Tinkering with new…

This rings true and people always seem to forget that it's much easier to innovate when the cost of living is lower. I'm currently living in Auckland, New Zealand, which by NZ (and world standards I think, though can't cite anything off hand) is quite expensive, but myself and my girlfriend have been contemplating moving to Sydney, Australia, a city which is one of most expensive in the world but where we would both…

As an Aussie/Kiwi dual citizen in China, I wonder why you don't consider moving to Asia. Sydney, where I was born, is ridiculously pricey, and while the harbour is beautiful and the city fairly green (in parts), it's not really that international and the quality of life doesn't actually match the image once you start paying taxes and cost of living. That said, it's a safe choice.

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#138
post #87

These articles are easy to write (and upvote) but such conclusions are pretty meaningless till you have a definition of what counts as innovation. That's a very interesting question, and yet just about everyone who talks about this topic ducks it and goes instead for the easy score. Maybe we can do better here on HN. What's the right way to measure innovation? E.g. surely the 5 year old's definition (big shiny things…

I like Yvon Chouinard's definition of innovation, which I'll paraphrase as: Invention is the creation of new things, and innovation is the application of inventions to solve problems for lots of people.

I like this definition because I think it accomodates the fact that a lot of products that are obviously inventive, fail to succeed in the marketplace or change many people's lives. Examples include Google Wave, the Apple Newton, etc. It also accomodates companies like Apple today, which do succeed in the marketplace and change many people's lives, despite inventing very few things themselves.

So when we look at the state of Silicon Valley today we can see that there are companies like Apple and Facebook that are innovative despite not being inventive. And then there are initiatives like Google's glasses and self-driving car that, while incredibly inventive, can't really be considered innovative (at least not yet).

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#139
post #87

These articles are easy to write (and upvote) but such conclusions are pretty meaningless till you have a definition of what counts as innovation. That's a very interesting question, and yet just about everyone who talks about this topic ducks it and goes instead for the easy score. Maybe we can do better here on HN. What's the right way to measure innovation? E.g. surely the 5 year old's definition (big shiny things…

For an answer here, see

     http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5353799
For a more direct answer:

Pick a problem that needs solving. For the solution, use 'innovation'.

Then want the 'innovation' to be ideas, essentially applied research, that can be presented and evaluated usually just on paper. So, as in peer-reviewed published papers, the ideas should be "new, correct, and significant", and, for innovation in business, powerful and valuable for solving the problem. Moreover, we should be able to check these criteria mostly just on paper.

Then we measure the innovation by the ROI of the solution it provides.

Is that the only way to make money? No.

But this approach to innovation has one heck of a good track record for delivering terrific solutions for challenging problems via the US DoD since the start of WWII, and there the batting average is much higher than for information technology venture capital.

Moreover, and definitely should not be lost, and for 70 years has been understood with great clarity by both the US DoD and Congress, the real foundations of such innovation are pure and applied research as in our top two dozen or so US research universities (where about 60% of the annual budget comes from NSF and NIH for US national security and health care) with more in Federally Funded Research and Development Centers (the FFRDCs) and then more at Raytheon, United Technologies, GE, Lockheed-Martin, Boeing, General Dynamics, Hughes Electronics, etc. In total, Congress authorizes big bucks for all that work, and Congress 'gets it'. However, Silicon Valley wants to laugh at research and then turn and run away afraid of it.

US information technology (IT) venture capital has had a 'business model': Wait for 'traction' to be significant and growing rapidly but, still, for some reason or other, the company still not very profitable, and hope that then the founders will need money for the 'big build out', hiring bizdev and marketing people, setting up the sales force in the 'channels', etc. for the 'execution', or be so eager for "cash now" for 'the good life' that they will sign a bad business deal. Alas, as reported at AVC.COM recently, the ROI has been lower than an index fund.

Also there is an incongruity: A small information technology startup with traction significant and growing rapidly is in a much better position than millions of US Main Street entrepreneurs who make it without an expensive 'build-out' with bizdev, marketing, channel people, business expertise from former management consultants, etc.

For venture partners able to evaluate innovation, i.e., applied research, just on paper, YC is exceptionally good. Then there's Wegner at Union Square, Morgan at First Round, Metcalf at Polaris, Bayless at Sevin-Rosen, and a few more. There are, what, all together in all of the US, 20?

And then there is the list of venture partners who prefer to invest in college dropouts.

In college, at universities, at several laboratories, at GE, IBM, JHU/APL, and more, I have worked with many people good at doing and evaluating applied research. Alas in US venture capital, that list of 20 is about all I can find that is comparable.

With the ROI south of the index funds, it looks like there will be some changes that Darwin would understand.

Re: The hypocrisy in Silicon Valley's big talk on innovation

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you wish you could do that you can't? Ah, there's the thing. I've spent too long learning how to deal with Real Life. Actually, looking at it, many of these are social problems, as I had hypothesized. * Technical problem * Technical * Partially technical, partially an issue of almost deliberately building energy-intensive civilizations. * High-megabits and gigabit connections are on their way, but come with t…

You realize that a business is at least 70% a social solution no matter how big your engineering department is, right?

/sigh

Yes, but when I say "social problem", I mean the kind where you have to convince people with whom you're not actually doing business, and who therefore have a larger stake in their personal whims than in getting anything out of your project.

For example, with the "package tubes" idea, you have to convince either reams of individual property owners or whole municipalities and states to allow you access to the space under the roads to build your infrastructure.

Post reply on HN