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Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

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Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#21
post #3

INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR MEANINGFUL ANSWER http://filer.case.edu/dts8/thelastq.htm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_Question

I keep asking Siri "Can entropy be reversed?" hoping she'll respond with that. And Google hoping it'll show just that answer, no links. Wolfram get's it.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#22

The part of the article that bothers me here the most is a leading nueroscientist asserting that the brain is not computable. That is demonstrably false: The brain is a quantum system, just like everything else in the universe. All quantum systems containing n qubits can be simulated by 2^n classical bits. It may very well be impractical to compute a decent sized brain, but that's still technically computable , which…

What you're saying is merely postulation, it's not "demonstrably" true, not to mention your use of the term "impractical" is probably the most misleading use of that word I've read today. You're writing off thousands of years of philosophy and dozens of years of experimental results in maybe a paragraph, if I'm being generous.

> You're writing off thousands of years of philosophy and dozens of years of experimental results in maybe a paragraph, if I'm being generous.

I'm not the parent poster, but I'd like a citation re: experimental results. What are you saying exactly?

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#23
> “the brain is not computable and no engineering can reproduce it.”

If you assume this is true then the brain is a physical entity which cannot be constructed by mechanisms that manipulate physical objects.

The question arises "why is a body growing a brain not a feat of engineering? What did the body do that similarly sophisticated machines cannot?"

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#24
post #5

>“Fallacy is what people are selling: that human nature can be reduced to [something] that [a] computer algorithm can run! This is a new church!” Actually, the "new church" is that human nature is something more than physics. Even if Kurzweil is wrong in his predictions, certainly this neuroscientist is also wrong with his metaphysical beliefs that the brain is something more than a mere "machine".

There's nothing new about that belief.

True, but calling materialist views a "church" while holding a mystical viewpoint oneself is a clever bit of doublespeak.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#25

When Newton came up with his universal law of gravitation, he also made an interesting observation. He had no idea why gravity worked the way it did, he could only model its behavior numerically. It's been over 300 years and we're still trying to figure out exactly how gravity works. But in a way it doesn't matter: his law has given humanity tremendous abilities it didn't have before. When Deep Blue won the Jeopardy…

It is possible that the easiest way to simulate the brain in a way indistinguishable from an actual brain isn't to have something work in the same way.

There is nothing to say that evolution has arrived at the perfect method.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#26
post #8

There are also people who believe in god and all other sorts of things. Doesn't mean they should be taken seriously.

God means different things to different people, from one that watches everything you do, to one that maybe is a force out there, like gravity.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#27
If the first paragraph is correct and the crux of his argument is that the brain is not computable, then there's nothing to see here. Once you assume that, then of course you don't think it can be simulated.

That this further devolves into meandering about consciousness just says to me that even at the point where Kurzweil's singularity has already happened, he wouldn't call it AI. Yes - if you take it as an axiom that humans have special sauce that you can't reproduce with an algorithm, AI is impossible.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#28
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What you're saying is merely postulation, it's not "demonstrably" true, not to mention your use of the term "impractical" is probably the most misleading use of that word I've read today. You're writing off thousands of years of philosophy and dozens of years of experimental results in maybe a paragraph, if I'm being generous.

It actually IS demonstrably true that the brain is made of atoms. That makes it a quantum system, which our modern physics tells us how to simulate. The use of the term "impractical" here refers to the fact that we don't have quantum computers and that we don't have the computing power required to simulate such a large quantum system. I'd say dismissing thousands of years of philosophy here is relevant, since it was…

quantum theory is a hypothesis. perhaps it's the best one so far for what the brain is made from. but it's truth is only as demonstrable as this: it's not yet been falsified.

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#29
post #5

>“Fallacy is what people are selling: that human nature can be reduced to [something] that [a] computer algorithm can run! This is a new church!” Actually, the "new church" is that human nature is something more than physics. Even if Kurzweil is wrong in his predictions, certainly this neuroscientist is also wrong with his metaphysical beliefs that the brain is something more than a mere "machine".

He doesn't suggest that human nature is more than physics, he is saying that consciousness isn't computable. If neural subsystems are a hierarchically arranged and internally generated chaotic dynamic activity, there is the problem of long-term predictions and causal inference.

>It may seem paradoxical that a deterministic phenomenon is inherently unpredictable, but in systems that exhibit chaotic behavior, small uncertainties are amplified over time by the nonlinear interaction of a few elements. The upshot is that behavior that is predictable in the short run becomes intrinsically unpredictable in the long term. As a result, physiologists cannot make strict causal inferences from the level of individual neurons to that of neural mass actions, nor from the level of receptor activity to internal dynamics. The causal connection between past and future is cut.

http://sulcus.berkeley.edu/freemanwww/manuscripts/IC13/90.ht...

Re: Leading Neuroscientist Says Kurzweil Singularity Prediction A “Bunch Of Hot Air”

#30

The part of the article that bothers me here the most is a leading nueroscientist asserting that the brain is not computable. That is demonstrably false: The brain is a quantum system, just like everything else in the universe. All quantum systems containing n qubits can be simulated by 2^n classical bits. It may very well be impractical to compute a decent sized brain, but that's still technically computable , which…

The whole question of whether everything in the universe is computable is usually regarded as an open question, sometimes called the Church-Turing-Deutsch thesis. This wikipedia article has a little more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church%E2%80%93Turing%E2%80%93D...
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