Gravitational Lensing to Observe Ancient Earth

In science, the default precept toward ideas without evidence is the null hypothesis -- they are presumed to be false. This is why Bigfoot is not accepted as a scientific theory -- until it is observed, it doesn't exist.

http://www.null-hypothesis.co.uk/science/item/what_is_a_null...

Quote: "In statistics, the only way of supporting your hypothesis is to refute the null hypothesis. Rather than trying to prove your idea (the alternate hypothesis) right you must show that the null hypothesis is likely to be wrong – you have to ‘refute’ or ‘nullify’ the null hypothesis."

Saying "there's no counterevidence, therefore ..." is not a scientific statement, because it can be said about anything not conclusively falsified, including meadowland fairies and honest politicians.

> With no evidence either way, one must remain agnostic.

Not in science. It's nice to have an open mind, but not to the degree that one's brains spill onto the ground.

Nonsense -- perfect nonsense that the history of science repeatedly falsifies.

1. Science is empirical -- it must be. If it's not empirical, it's not science.

2. GR succeeded with every challenge that was put before it until it was compared to quantum theory, at which point it failed. Your position is that, because it had passed any number of difficult tests until then, it should have been assumed to reflect reality in all respects.

But this is not how a scientist approaches theories and experiments. Any aspect of a theory that has not been tested, is assumed to be false until there is evidence to support it.

The ether theory of the 19th century was successful until it failed one crucial test. The Phlogiston theory was successful until it failed one crucial test. The Ptolemaic theory of orbital mechanics seemed correct until Galileo looked through his telescope.

All scientific theories are assumed to be false until there is evidence to support them, then, after evidence supports them, they are assumed to be perpetually falsifiable by new evidence. An unfalsifiable theory is not a scientific theory.

> If you don't understand this, then you don't know what the word "evidence" means.

Science is not law. Learn about science.

> When presented with a hugely precise and successful theory that has never been demonstrated wrong in even the slightest degree ...

You need to learn about quantum theory, which falsifies GR. Start here:

http://library.thinkquest.org/04apr/01330/currentphysics/con...

The present enthusiasm for superstring theory is that it might -- might! -- replace both GR and quantum theory, with a more comprehensive theory that would resolve the conflict between the two earlier theories.

You are completely incorrect in this and everything else you said above. Well, it is true that science is empirical, but it seem that you have profound misconceptions about what "empirical" means. One of the things that it means is that every additional confirming piece of observed evidence for a theory gives extra weight to the probability that the theory is correct, especially when the theory makes correct predictions against previously unobserved phenomena, which GR has done many times.

You also apparently don't understand that theories are not typically purported to be facts per se, but rather they are models. Models that have greater or lesser accuracy. Models are not expected to be perfectly accurate, which is why they are models and not facts. Though in fundamental physics, we do expect a level of accuracy far above what we would expect in almost any other science.

The ether model was proven to be so inaccurate as to no longer be useful. The limitations of Newtonian mechanics were shown by Relativity, but nonetheless, the model is still a hugely important and useful model, and using it correctly is the epitome of good science, despite the fact that we know that in some sense it is "false".

Re your examples, all the examples you give of theories that were eventually proven incorrect are arguments against a strawman, because no one here or anywhere has claimed that any amount of empirical evidence will grant a theory a 100% probability of correctness.

No one has asserted that GR is unfalsifiable, or that it has a 100% probability of being correct. None of this means that we can't have an extremely high confidence level in GR, considering all the empirical gauntlets that it has successfully passed. And when we finally have a successful TOE, GR is almost certainly not going to be scrapped. It will still be the extremely useful and productive model that it has always been. We will just have to be aware of the model's caveats, just as we must with Newtonian Mechanics, which is also one of the most successful scientific models ever constructed.

Additionally, all this is neither here nor there for the original point, which was about your claim that FTL is logically impossible. That is just not the case. FTL is completely within the realm of possibility. It just has serious and problematic consequences that should make us look askance when people claim to have figured out how to make FTL drives or communication channels. They are almost certainly mistaken, but not for the reasons that you claim.