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Expected arrival times for Apple products

arrival.io

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Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#63

Only 106 days until a new Thunderbolt Display! I really hope that it turns into an "Apple TV" announcement.

A successor to Apple's current desktop display is more likely at least 7 months out. Look at the historical data: ignoring the outlier, Apple releases a new screen every 25 months - we're 18 months in. The last update was timed so because Apple switched from Mini DisplayPort to Thunderbolt. http://arrival.io/apple-thunderbolt-display As for Apple releasing a TV screen, I don't see it happening for at least a couple o…

I was a bit hopeful when supplies became constrained in the non-Apple Store channels: http://www.macrumors.com/2013/01/14/apple-thunderbolt-displa...

Shortly after that, Best Buy discounted them a bit ($50), suggesting to me they wanted to empty the shelves for new models (as they surely aren't automatic sales like iPads).

However, at this point I'm not convinced it'll be too soon, as whatever momentum the "signs" pointed to seems to have worn off.

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#64
post #17
post #11

Lovely execution. Only one nit -- the MacBook Pro was updated two weeks ago: https://www.apple.com/pr/library/2013/02/13Apple-Updates-Pro...

It was but only because Apple had no choice. http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5307169

No, you're linking to a thread about the Mac Pro, not the MacBook Pro. :-)

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#65

Only 106 days until a new Thunderbolt Display! I really hope that it turns into an "Apple TV" announcement.

I just want the current Thunderbolt display with the current iMac's screen, which has less glare. I'm hoping that they're only waiting on that until supplies aren't constrained by iMac production.

Less glare would be nice. Maybe I'm dreaming, but after using a MBPr I think I'd want higher resolution, too.

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#67
Macbook Pro (15") was updated couple of weeks ago, why this one says 263 days? Yes the retina one, isn't retina ones are successors of a previous model? Why keep them separate, I think Macbook Pro without retina will be obsolete and won't be updated.

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#68
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've looked at their data, but I believe I've dropped some things that they consider releases. The whole thing is kind of subjective as to what constitutes a release or not. But no, I didn't just scrape their site. I compiled my own data from a variety of different freely available sources.

Might I ask why you built your own, knowing there was an almost identical offering in place for years? For example, did your different choice of releases cause a statistically significant shift in arrival times? I imagine you've done analysis comparing your approach to theirs.

I built my own because their design, and I mean literally the way they visualize the data, isn't very good. Or rather, it's not as good as it could be. They even updated the design a year or two ago and all they did was give it a coat of paint, rather than rethinking how to best visualize the data.

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#69

This is a great idea, and is especially pertinent to Mac fans who care about the hardware they are using. Since Apple does not discount old hardware (even with 2-3 year old video cards, they charge the same amount as a brand new updated mac the very next week[1]), people buying a Macbook pro at the wrong end of the timeline can get totally shafted on equipment, especially from a price-per-performance view. That feels…

I tell everyone, if you want to know if a new MBP is about to come out, ask me if I've bought one in the last couple of weeks. Both MBP's I've bought were followed soon thereafter by a model refresh :|

I see you have the same power as L. Laporte.

Re: Expected arrival times for Apple products

#70

This is a great idea, and is especially pertinent to Mac fans who care about the hardware they are using. Since Apple does not discount old hardware (even with 2-3 year old video cards, they charge the same amount as a brand new updated mac the very next week[1]), people buying a Macbook pro at the wrong end of the timeline can get totally shafted on equipment, especially from a price-per-performance view. That feels…

You could also buy a refurbished mac. They tend to be about $300 cheaper than the retail version and tend not to have any problems. I just bought one and so far its been perfect.

http://store.apple.com/us/browse/home/specialdeals/mac

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