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2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

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Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#11
post #2

Aren't social networks just sort of like... blog networks?

Sort of. But one nice thing about blogs; "social networks" seem to encourage extremely brief snippets. While blogs are not the champion of long-form high quality content, they tend to be a step above social networks in terms of written content IMO.

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#13

Oh goody. Maybe it will spell the end of the "you should follow me on Twitter" imperative at the end of every blog post on every blog everywhere.

I sure hope so. Nothing shouts "I don't understand A/B testing so I'll just use Dustin Curtis' result" louder than that sign-off.

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#14
I'm not very convinced by the analysis presented in this post, but it seems fairly clear to me that at some point in the (near?) future people will start to think of social web services as more of a commodity rather than some big shiny gold rush that we all have to be part of.

Maybe then we can stop throwing piles of money at people who want to build walled gardens and go back in the direction of people hosting their own content for others to peruse.

(Yes, I'm predicting the failure of Google+ as well as Facebook and all the other me-too services like mass photoblogging services and all that other crap.)

We've spent too much time and effort writing code to help people push their content into companies that will claim the right to own it. Let's make tools that help people express themselves in ways that benefit everyone and that ensure creators retain ownership of the work they create.

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#16
About half my posts to twitter, g+, and FB are just links back to my blog. I may spend 30 minutes writing a blog article, then 1 minute posting links to my own site. I also post short things that I hope people will enjoy, but most of my effort goes to blogging or writing books.

A blog is a great way to meet people with similar interests, which is the purported reason for social networks. Nothing wrong with people using social networks but for people who can manage their own site, that just seems like a better way to invest energy creating content.

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#18
This effect exists due to the very nature of blogs, which the author seems to fail to take into account.

In blogging you're talking about a very large number of individuals, most of whom are not likely going to be good at ad sales / management / placement. The blogging ecosystem is inherently chaotic, it'd be like herding cats trying to get blog based advertising up to the effectiveness of a singular organization of massive scale like Facebook.

Then you have a huge portion of the blogging world that is made up of corporate blogs, non-profit blogs, and so on and many of those simply will never have any interest in ad monetization.

To correct the imbalance would require a very large and efficient ad machine at the core of the blogging world, with the ability to determine placement and ad matching for every blog - that doesn't exist and never will. Slapping AdSense on a blog won't cut it (not to mention most blogs don't run any serious advertising and never will).

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#19
post #7

Any move towards a decentralized system that is harder to track and spy on would have my support.

IMO popular mainstream consumption, and being difficult to track/spy, are at odds. If everybody and their brother reads what you write, I can't think of any way it could simultaneously be difficult for the Feds to follow it too.

You also have to think about tracking on the readers' side of things. If you read something on Facebook or Google+, you can count on that being tracked and added to that system's profile of you. If you read something on a blog, and block things like Google Analytics, it's harder to passively track.

Re: 2013 will see a shift from social networks back to blogs

#20
post #13

Oh goody. Maybe it will spell the end of the "you should follow me on Twitter" imperative at the end of every blog post on every blog everywhere.

I sure hope so. Nothing shouts "I don't understand A/B testing so I'll just use Dustin Curtis' result" louder than that sign-off.

I always thought it conveyed more of "blogging is not my livelihood but some people think this is the best and I don't have time to find out so I'll use it."
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