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Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

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11–20 of 53 posts

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#11
There is not much substance to this article. It doesn't really even build on the title. It's just a bunch of quotes about VC funding and startup culture by a couple bloggers who live in Wisconsin and China. And, a video of a random investor from Texas.

I feel like they're riffing about an imagined startup culture that died out in 2001.

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#12
I disagree. Have you taken a look at the culture in the valley? They are all about helping each other.

i.e. I think this story was told at LeWeb.

Seesmic founder lets Friendfeed guys know that their products would work really well together. The Friendfeed guys call back and tell him to drop by to discuss it. Loic hops into his car, drives 10 minutes to the Friendfeed offices, and after an hour or so of meetings, Friendfeed adds Seesmic to their site.

Outside of the valley, something like this isn't possible. The spirit of startups lets companies be a lot more relaxed and open to new possibilities.

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#13
post #6

It's one reason to go to the valley, but not the only one. When I moved to the valley last year, everyone asked me why? I said "People". Those people could be new friends at other startups, future talent for my company, future informal advisors, potential investors, or an awesome bartender at the Olde Pro in Palo Alto. The Valley exposed me to people that I couldn't have met anywhere else. If you love technology and…

Agree about the other benefits in addition to access to VCs, but it's still arguable if they're worth the higher cost of living. If you're a bootstrapped startup, you'll hit ramen profitability much sooner elsewhere. When you have an infinite runway, you'll have infinite time to find people as well :).

OTOH being out here is great for meeting other startup minded technical & business people. You're out here too, what's your experience been?

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#14
post #10
post #5

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley. Doesn't mean you can't be successful elsewhere. I don't understand why people can't reconcile these two statements. If you like your lifestyle where you are, by all means, stay. If you can find investors, lawyers, and accountants (assuming you want them) that you trust, stay where you are. But if you're just a couple of crazy kids with a work ethic and an idea to c…

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley Your probability of flipping heads is higher than your probability of rolling 1 on a six-sided die: X = .5, Y =~ .167. I have yet to even hear of a good setup for measuring X or Y, to say nothing of actual numbers for them, for measuring "probability of success in a startup". Heck, I have never even heard a defensible universalizable definition of success for a star…

Look, you get one bite at the apple per idea/situation. A random sample isn't an appropriate counter-factual. Your job as an entrepreneur is to maximize your chances for success given the situation at hand.

I suppose "chances for success" wouldn't have set you off, and I acknowledge that. But we're at the point where we mock people for using "beg the question" incorrectly and ignore the substance of the argument, which isn't really productive for others reading this thread.

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#15
post #10
post #5

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley. Doesn't mean you can't be successful elsewhere. I don't understand why people can't reconcile these two statements. If you like your lifestyle where you are, by all means, stay. If you can find investors, lawyers, and accountants (assuming you want them) that you trust, stay where you are. But if you're just a couple of crazy kids with a work ethic and an idea to c…

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley Your probability of flipping heads is higher than your probability of rolling 1 on a six-sided die: X = .5, Y =~ .167. I have yet to even hear of a good setup for measuring X or Y, to say nothing of actual numbers for them, for measuring "probability of success in a startup". Heck, I have never even heard a defensible universalizable definition of success for a star…

You're being very frequentist (http://www.statisticalengineering.com/frequentists_and_bayes...).

You don't have to have a random sample to estimate a probability. In the Bayesian interpretation, you can have a reasonable prior that you update as you collect more data. For example, a meteorologist can look at the clouds and "guesstimate" that there's a 50% chance of rain tomorrow. A frequentist would object and say that you can't take lots of random samples of tomorrow to estimate that probability. The Bayesian is willing to take the meteorologist's guess as a prior, and update it as & when more data becomes available. In this case, I think Sachin's statement is reasonable in the absence of any real data.

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#17
post #10
post #5

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley. Doesn't mean you can't be successful elsewhere. I don't understand why people can't reconcile these two statements. If you like your lifestyle where you are, by all means, stay. If you can find investors, lawyers, and accountants (assuming you want them) that you trust, stay where you are. But if you're just a couple of crazy kids with a work ethic and an idea to c…

Your probability of success is higher in the Valley Your probability of flipping heads is higher than your probability of rolling 1 on a six-sided die: X = .5, Y =~ .167. I have yet to even hear of a good setup for measuring X or Y, to say nothing of actual numbers for them, for measuring "probability of success in a startup". Heck, I have never even heard a defensible universalizable definition of success for a star…

You've got a point, in the sense that a lot of the "probabilities" are just best guesses based on anecdotal evidence. But pragmatically, I don't see much of a choice; it would be paralyzing to try and gather all that data before making a decision. And, in my mind, it's usually better to make that decision on imperfect information- like the aphorism that "Your probability of success is higher in the Valley"- than no information at all.

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#19
post #12

I disagree. Have you taken a look at the culture in the valley? They are all about helping each other. i.e. I think this story was told at LeWeb. Seesmic founder lets Friendfeed guys know that their products would work really well together. The Friendfeed guys call back and tell him to drop by to discuss it. Loic hops into his car, drives 10 minutes to the Friendfeed offices, and after an hour or so of meetings, Frie…

...outside the Valley, most people have heard of neither FriendFeed nor Seesmic. ;-)

The big advantage of living outside the valley is that you're closer to real customers - people who don't live and breathe technology 24/7. That can help you or hurt you, depending on your target market. Could something like MySpace, AOL or PlentyOfFish have started inside the Valley, considering that they succeeded by catering to idiots?

Re: Tech Startups Don’t Need the Valley Unless They Need VC

#20
post #6

It's one reason to go to the valley, but not the only one. When I moved to the valley last year, everyone asked me why? I said "People". Those people could be new friends at other startups, future talent for my company, future informal advisors, potential investors, or an awesome bartender at the Olde Pro in Palo Alto. The Valley exposed me to people that I couldn't have met anywhere else. If you love technology and…

Agree about the other benefits in addition to access to VCs, but it's still arguable if they're worth the higher cost of living. If you're a bootstrapped startup, you'll hit ramen profitability much sooner elsewhere. When you have an infinite runway, you'll have infinite time to find people as well :).

Living in the Valley is not especially expensive for founders. Buying a house in the Valley is notoriously expensive, because there is so much speculation built into prices (even now). But renting a two-bedroom apartment in Mountain View is no more expensive for equivalent quality of life than in Boston.

We gave groups the same amount of money in Boston cycles as in Bay Area cycles, and we never noticed any difference in how long it lasted.

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