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How to cut megabanks down to size

nytimes.com

61–70 of 107 posts

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#61
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because it's a narrative with no basis in fact? The smaller banks were the ones hardest hit by the popping of the financial bubble. GS/MS/JPM didn't need the bailout, Lehman and Bear Stearns failed in a free market manner, and Merrill Lynch was bought out. It was the smaller banks that really needed the bailout money.

1) that's factually incorrect, 2 of the top five Wall Street firms failed (Lehman and Bear Stearns). 2) the other 3 (Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch) would have failed after Lehman, the entire financial system had to be backstopped by the government. (If you look beyond pure securities firms, the largest insurance company (AIG) failed as well as the largest bank (Citibank - it effectively got nationalized and…

How about (3), a government not run by Bush/Greenspan/Krugman/Obama/Bernanke, a government not intent on creating housing bubbles in the first place?

Let the banks go bust by all means, but let's also recognize that government regulation/incentives ($440B from Fannie Mae!) was a large part of what got us into this mess.

http://articles.cnn.com/2002-06-17/politics/bush.minority.ho...

  Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the federal Home Loan Banks -- 
  the government-sponsored corporations that handle home 
  mortgages -- will increase their commitment to minority 
  markets by more than $440 billion, Bush said.

  Under one of the initiatives launched by Freddie Mac, 
  consumers with poor credit will be able to obtain mortgages 
  with interest rates that automatically decline after a 
  period of consistent payments, he added.
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/08/02/opinion/dubya-s-double-dip...

  To fight this recession the Fed needs more than a snapback;   
  it needs soaring household spending to offset moribund 
  business investment. And to do that, as Paul McCulley of 
  Pimco put it, Alan Greenspan needs to create a housing 
  bubble to replace the Nasdaq bubble.
 
  Paul Krugman, 2002

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#62
post #12
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We tried that. Our country has had great difficulty with central banking in the past, and today. Entire books have been written on this topic, if you wish to learn more, I'd start with the history of the First and Second bank of the United States. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Bank_of_the_United_State... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Bank_of_the_United_Stat...

The East Asian economic miracle is all about the state in control of the banks (printing). Read Quest for Prosperity -- the private/public construct of distinction is a complete myth that is exposed by the titans in Asia and Latin America. The more we stick to the myth in the US, the longer it will take for us to have the same degree of success. Innovation comes not out of motive for profit, but ou of need and desire…

> The East Asian economic miracle is all about the state in control of the banks (printing).

So was the Asian Financial Crisis. And to a lesser extent Japan's "lost decades".

There are no simple answers in economics. Everything comes with ugly drawbacks.

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#63
post #6

>small institutions must submit to the rigors of the free market. >market discipline has worked to keep smaller institutions on the straight and narrow, it has been ineffective with megabanks >market participants have proved [in]effective in monitoring risks at these [huge banks]. >They know they will be protected by a taxpayer rescue should a large institution teeter. How is this not obvious to everyone involved?

They are obvious and breaking up the banks is a popular topic of speculation in the finance industry. What's a mystery is why it is taking so long for mainstream econ and op-ed writers to catch on. Paul Krugman, for example, proposed that big banks like Citibank provide value by having a huge service network, and therefore he's skeptical of breaking up banks. Which is true--Citibank's size is the primary (and probabl…

What's a mystery is why it is taking so long for mainstream econ and op-ed writers to catch on.

I think they're quite familiar with the idea and have caught onto it long ago; they just don't want to be misrepresented as advocating a government takeover of the finance industry or as communists or whatever. It's not so much that they favor large institutions, as they're trying be moderate and consider both sides of the argument.

By contrast, read the editorial pages or the comment sections of the Wall Street Journal, in which Obama is regularly characterized as a Marxist ideologue and worse, and any sort of regulation or disciplinary action against the financial services sector is characterized a shakedown, at best. If the government actually proposed carving up the banks there would be (even more) howls for his impeachment. Much as only Nixon could go to China, a reset of the financial sector could only come from some prominent Republican, and a fiscally hawkish one at that.

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#64
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most people in the financial sector do not think Goldman, MS, or JPM would have failed without the bailout. Lehman and Bear Stearns did fail, but their failure was largely handled within the banking system itself (a lot of Lehman being bought by Barclays and Bear Stearns being absorbed by JPM). It's the smaller banks that struggled the most and continue to do so: http://articles.latimes.com/2012/jul/06/business/la-fi…

every well-informed person in the financial sector knows what I said is true. of course there are always some people who believe whatever they want to believe.

We will never know the truth. The CEO of every financial institution swears up and down about the strength of their company right up until the moment it goes bankrupt. Look at Jon Corzine and MF Global...

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#65
post #10
post #8

We already know how. The political will just isn't there.

Bullshit. If you're talking about the American people, the political will is there in spades. But thanks to gerrymandering and the filibuster, their voices been successfully nullified. The GOP holds the House by a wide majority, even though their members in it received fewer votes than the "minority" in opposition. And while the GOP has a numerical minority in the Senate, they still control the chamber since it (alon…

Vote totals for the bailout:

Aye: 171 D, 91 R. Nay: 63 D, 108 R.

http://www.opencongress.org/bill/110-h1424/show

Why are you complaining about the GOP holding the house? Based on their votes, they seem to be the party of letting banks pay for their mistakes.

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#66
Give me a break. The whole point of the banking system is to concentrate capital into a handful megacorps. When you have thousands of little competitors, profit plummets and risk increases enough to make banking not a viable business anymore.

Heck, that's how banking started. A handful Venetian traders got so rich they started lending money.

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#67

The criminal actions[1] of Wachovia, Lloyds, Credit Suisse, Barclays, HSBC, et al have shown that the megabanks cannot be trusted to follow existing laws. The robo-signing debacle[2] has demonstrated amply that the financial sector can't be bothered to verify their data before destroying the lives of thousands of people. The LIBOR manipulation scandal[3] proves that even the industry's own measuring rods are bent and…

I always remember what Milton Friedman used to say, he was amazed be people who see failure of regulation and propose a fix by seeking to introduce even more regulation.

"well this time it will surely work!" "if only we had the right kind of regulation/people in charge!" they say.

That's never gonna happen. Breaking the system in chunks artificially will not work, because it will consolidate again and buy up the regulators. The true solution here is Bitcoin, precisely because it is not controlled by anyone.

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#68
post #49
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you don't trust the bank, don't put your money there. Otherwise, put your money at the Bank of the United States, backed by and owned by the full faith of the US taxpayer. I will not bail out private money making banks via the FDIC via my tax dollar. If you put money into a private bank, then when it fails, you should lose that money.

I will not bail out private money making banks via the FDIC via my tax dollar. Never in American history has the FDIC had to take a "tax dollar" during a bank failure. The government does back it, yes--but the amount of private money in the FDIC makes it extremely unlikely that bank failures even at the scope we were looking at in 2008 will tap them out.

Have you heard of TARP?

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#69

My first reaction to hearing the term "too big to fail" was "then make them smaller." I'm surprised that it's taken this long for such an idea to be seriously considered.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gramm–Leach–Bliley_Act

The pendulum only started swinging toward complete consolidation recently. The culprits:

Sany Weil Robert Rubin Jamie Dimon Larry Summers

The politicians just do as they're told, so no sense naming anyone - Clinton or otherwise. Jon Corzine

Re: How to cut megabanks down to size

#70

The criminal actions[1] of Wachovia, Lloyds, Credit Suisse, Barclays, HSBC, et al have shown that the megabanks cannot be trusted to follow existing laws. The robo-signing debacle[2] has demonstrated amply that the financial sector can't be bothered to verify their data before destroying the lives of thousands of people. The LIBOR manipulation scandal[3] proves that even the industry's own measuring rods are bent and…

The real problem is that they are successful in duping governments to underwrite the risks they take. And they LEGALLY influence legislators to rewrite laws so they can LEGALLY take more risks. And when things blow up, they LEGALLY influence them again to get bailouts.

The incidents you cite above happened to exploit the fact that there is someone who will absorb all the risks of otherwise unprofitable practices.

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